Allied Group (0373) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$7.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$4.46 to HK$4.47 (+0.2%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 101% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.88). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.34 – HK$3.51 · fair‑value band HK$2.88 – HK$4.80 · the HK$2.23 price screens below the HK$4.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Allied Group (0373) currently trades at HK$2.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.47, implying the stock looks roughly 100.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Allied Group generated revenue of HK$15.6B at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue grew 24.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at HK$6.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$2.88 (bear case) to HK$4.80 (bull case); at HK$2.23, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 101%, 0373 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$11.21) versus Dividend Discount (HK$1.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Allied Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment and development, and financial service businesses in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
Allied Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property investment and development, and financial service businesses in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Investment and Finance, Consumer Finance, Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, Elderly Care Services, and Healthcare Services segments. The Investment and Finance segment is involved in the investment activities, and provision of mortgage loan and term loan financing services. The Consumer Finance segment offers consumer, small and medium enterprises, and other financing products. The Property Development segment engages in the development and sale of properties. The Property Investment segment is involved in the property rental, as well as hotel operations managed by third parties. The Property Management segment provides property management, and cleaning and security guarding services. The Elderly Care Services segment offers elderly care services and related business operations. The Healthcare services segment engages in the operations of hospitals. It also engages in the property holding; securities trading; money lending; management and consultancy; real estate agency; and corporate and building management and maintenance services. In addition, the company involved in the medical equipment supplies distribution activities; and offers credits including consumer finance. Allied Group Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Allied Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Lee and Lee Trust.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Allied Group reported revenue of HK$15.6B in FY2025 versus HK$6.0B in FY2021, a compound +26.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.2B in FY2025, compounding −24.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Credit Services · 333 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $359.42 | $198.27 | -45% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $561.44 | $221.87 | -60% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,094 | ₹397.61 | -64% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,117 | ₹553.83 | -50% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,918 | ₹796.52 | -58% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹367.05 | ₹149.40 | -59% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹376.50 | ₹615.85 | +64% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹2,876 | ₹3,429 | +19% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.35 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
| REC Limited RECLTD | ₹346.00 | ₹692.00 | +100% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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