China Pipe Group (0380) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$179M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.2066 to HK$0.2088 (+1.1%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 68% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1566). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0580 – HK$0.1850 · fair‑value band HK$0.1566 – HK$0.2610 · the HK$0.1240 price screens below the HK$0.2088 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Pipe Group (0380) currently trades at HK$0.1240, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2088, implying the stock looks roughly 68.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Pipe Group generated revenue of HK$645M at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue declined 22.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$389M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1566 (bear case) to HK$0.2610 (bull case); at HK$0.1240, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 68%, 0380 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.35) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Pipe Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading of construction materials in Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China. It engages in the wholesale and retail of copper tube, ductile iron, and steel pipe related products, as well as fittings. The company also provides warehousing and logistics services.
Full company description
China Pipe Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading of construction materials in Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China. It engages in the wholesale and retail of copper tube, ductile iron, and steel pipe related products, as well as fittings. The company also provides warehousing and logistics services. It offers its products to contractors, designers, consultants, and government agencies. The company was formerly known as Softpower International Limited and changed its name to China Pipe Group Limited in June 2021. China Pipe Group Limited was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Mong Kok, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Pipe Group reported revenue of HK$645M in FY2025 versus HK$682M in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$56.0M in FY2025, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 0380: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Home Depot, Inc HD | $354.48 | $236.85 | -33% |
| Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW | $215.97 | $186.32 | -14% |
| Wesfarmers Limited WES | A$88.48 | A$50.50 | -43% |
| Floor & Decor Holdings FND | $59.33 | $27.30 | -54% |
| Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 | 1.52 MYR | 1.47 MYR | -3% |
| Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR | 6.70 THB | 6.31 THB | -6% |
| Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL | 7.50 THB | 5.96 THB | -21% |
| Dohome Public Company DOHOME | 3.78 THB | 2.75 THB | -27% |
| Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT | $28.30 | $22.53 | -20% |
| Test-Rite International Co 2908 | 21.85 TWD | 4.97 TWD | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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