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China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd HK$0.62, price HK$0.87, upside -28.3%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Healthcare · HK · ISIN BMG2133H1016

Thin data Sep 24, 2026

China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd

0383 · HK

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value HK$0.6200 · Overvalued (−28%)

!Quality 34/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -1.6% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (4/11)

!Narrow moat 14/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear HK$0.5900 to bull HK$0.6500 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 34/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.6229 – HK$4.71 · fair‑value band HK$0.5900 – HK$0.6500 · the HK$0.8650 price screens above the HK$0.6200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Tian An Medicare Limited, an investment holding company, primarily operates hospitals in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It operates through Healthcare, Eldercare, Property Development, Property Investment, Financial Services, and Securities Trading and Investments segments. The company is also involved in property development of independent living units and project management of health campus with a focus on eldercare and retirement community including elderly nursing home, service apartments, independent living units and commercial area comprising shopping mall, retail shops, and club hall facilities. In addition, it develops and sells properties and lands; leases properties; and provides loan financial and healthcare services, as well as trading of securities listed in overseas exchange. The company was formerly known as China Medical & HealthCare Group Limited and changed its name to Tian An Medicare Limited in April 2024. Tian An Medicare Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. The company operates as a subsidiary of Tian An China Investments Company Limited.

Stock analysis

China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383) currently trades at HK$0.8650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6200, implying the stock looks roughly 39.5% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$1.20 per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the HK$0.8650 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.2500, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.5900 (bear) to HK$0.6500 (bull), the price of HK$0.8650 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.6B in FY2026 versus HK$1.5B in FY2022, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$26.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap HK$935M (≈ $119M) · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin −1.6% · Return on equity −1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% · Operating margin 2.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at −28%, 0383 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.5900 Fair Value HK$0.6200 Bull HK$0.6500

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 3 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0024 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

EPV HK$0.5700 HK$0.6100 HK$0.6300 74

ROIC Compounder HK$0.5700 HK$0.6100 HK$0.6300 70

EV/EBITDA HK$1.83 HK$2.33 HK$2.84 67

All 8 models by family

Earnings-Based

EPV HK$0.5700 HK$0.6100 HK$0.6300 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$0.1600 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3400 66

DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1600 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2800 65

Multiples

EV/EBIT HK$0.9700 HK$1.20 HK$1.42 66

EV/EBITDA HK$1.83 HK$2.33 HK$2.84 67

EV/Revenue HK$0.7800 HK$0.9900 HK$1.19 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8800 HK$1.18 HK$1.75 54

Economic Profit

ROIC Compounder HK$0.5700 HK$0.6100 HK$0.6300 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 15

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 40

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 13

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 51

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 69

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 75

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 33

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 27

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 42

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+0.7%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+4.4%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+6.2%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.7% a year

Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−1.9%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−1.1% (2021) → 3.2% (2026)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

0383 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Care Facilities · 258 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −28% · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets 1% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 6% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.25× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33

FUTURE (revenue growth)31 · sector 28

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31

HEALTH (low debt)88 · sector 89

DIVIDEND (yield)53 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA	$438.12	$592.64	+35%
Fresenius SE FRE	€45.57	€34.54	−24%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013	227.50 SAR	109.45 SAR	−52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, 5225	8.00 MYR	4.87 MYR	−39%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC	$262.06	$399.58	+52%
DaVita Inc DVA	$183.72	$255.97	+39%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP	₹9,069	₹2,908	−68%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FME	€39.30	€71.28	+81%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015	¥8.07	¥10.86	+35%
Encompass Health Corporation EHC	$122.76	$96.51	−21%

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China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.6200 −40%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0383" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">China Medical &amp; HealthCare Group Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$0.6200</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−40%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0383

Frequently asked questions

Is China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6200 versus a price of HK$0.8650, about −28% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 0383?

Our model-based fair value for China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is HK$0.6200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.8650.

What is the quality score of 0383?

China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5900, optimistic scenario HK$0.6500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.6200, about −28% upside versus a price of HK$0.8650 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5900, optimistic scenario HK$0.6500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd pay a dividend?

China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd it is HK$0.6200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.8650. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 0383 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.8650, fair value HK$0.6200, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 0383?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.8650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.6200). For China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd the two are HK$0.2450 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd worth?

The market values China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd at about HK$935M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.8650; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.6200 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0383?

Our models span a range for China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.5900, base HK$0.6200, optimistic HK$0.6500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.8650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

Balance-sheet figures for China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.1%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 0383 from its 52-week high?

China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd trades at HK$0.8650, about 22% below its 52-week high of HK$1.11 and 11% above the low of HK$0.7800 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.6200 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd?

From the same area (Healthcare) we also value HCA Healthcare, Inc, Fresenius SE, Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group, IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.8650, calculated fair value HK$0.6200 (−28%), Quality Score 34/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 0383 calculated?

We run China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.6200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.8650. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.6200, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.6500). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.5900 to HK$0.6500), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Where does the earnings growth of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383) come from?

Earnings per share at China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd grew −15.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +35.5 %, EBIT margin −9.5 %, tax rate −5.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −27.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

The market capitalisation of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is HK$935M (≈ $119M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

The price-to-sales ratio of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is 0.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

Earnings per share at China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd are HK$0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

The dividend yield of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is 2.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

The net margin of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is −1.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

The return on equity (ROE) of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

The operating margin of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

Revenue at China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383)?

Earnings per share at China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd are growing −44.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383) generate?

The free cash flow of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is −HK$69.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd (0383) carry?

The net debt of China Medical & HealthCare Group Ltd is HK$149M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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