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L.K. Technology Holdings (0558) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$2.1B

LK L.K. Technology Holdings 0558 · HK
PriceHK$1.49
Fair ValueHK$4.43
Upside+197.3%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
5.28% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$3.10 – HK$5.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +8.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 197% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.10). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$3.10 to HK$5.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$23.39 HK$1.36 Fair Value HK$4.43 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.36 – HK$23.39 · fair‑value band HK$3.10 – HK$5.76 · the HK$1.49 price screens below the HK$4.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

L.K. Technology Holdings (0558) currently trades at HK$1.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.43, implying the stock looks roughly 197.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, L.K. Technology Holdings generated revenue of HK$6.5B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 25.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.8%. Net debt stands at HK$658M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$3.10 (bear case) to HK$5.76 (bull case); at HK$1.49, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 197%, 0558 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$1.63 HK$2.14 HK$6.80 76
ROIC Compounder HK$4.23 HK$4.96 HK$5.74 72
Growth-Adj P/E HK$3.10 HK$4.43 HK$5.76 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.74 HK$7.14 HK$9.72 54
Lynch FV HK$1.79 HK$2.56 HK$3.33 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$1.79 HK$2.56 HK$3.33 46
EPV HK$4.04 HK$4.53 HK$4.95 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$4.04 HK$5.39 HK$6.74 63
P/S Multiple HK$3.27 HK$4.36 HK$5.45 58
P/B Multiple HK$3.27 HK$4.36 HK$5.45 55
EV/EBIT HK$5.96 HK$7.63 HK$9.30 53
EV/EBITDA HK$6.64 HK$8.53 HK$10.43 54
EV/Revenue HK$4.53 HK$6.06 HK$7.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7300 HK$0.9800 HK$1.46 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.63 HK$2.14 HK$6.80 76
ROIC Compounder HK$4.23 HK$4.96 HK$5.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$3.10 HK$4.43 HK$5.76 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$5.39) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.9800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$6.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.7%
Net margin 5.3%
Return on equity 9.8%
Free cash flow −HK$913M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.2 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1500
Dividend yield 5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.7%
Net debt HK$658M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

L.K. Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and sells machines, machining centres, and related accessories in Mainland China, Europe, North America, Central America, South America, and internationally.

Full company description

L.K. Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and sells machines, machining centres, and related accessories in Mainland China, Europe, North America, Central America, South America, and internationally. It operates through Die-Casting Machine (DCM), Plastic Injection Moulding Machine (IMM), and Computerised Numerical Controlled (CNC) Machining Centre segments. The company offers DCM machines comprising cold and hot chambers, and special casting machines; IMM machines consisting of toggle type, two-platen, multi-component, electric, and direct press; CNC machines, such as vertical, horizontal, high-speed gantry, and five-axis machining centers, as well as high-speed drilling and tapping centers and horizontal lathes. It also provides automation, including robot automation solutions, robotic workstations, industrial robots, and robot arms; and steel casting activities. In addition, the company manufactures and sells peripheral equipment; and provides technical services. Its products are used in various applications, such as transportation, smart 3C, daily necessities, industrial supplies, household appliances, and health care. L.K. Technology Holdings Limited was founded in 1979 and is based in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong. L.K. Technology Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Girgio Industries Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

L.K. Technology Holdings reported revenue of HK$5.8B in FY2025 versus HK$4.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$350M in FY2025, compounding +0.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$5.8B
Latest YoY
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY21 HK$4.0B
FY22 HK$5.4B
FY23 HK$5.9B
FY24 HK$5.8B
FY25 HK$5.8B
Net income +0.5%/yr
FY21 HK$344M
FY22 HK$626M
FY23 HK$532M
FY24 HK$484M
FY25 HK$350M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +24.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.7 pp

of which total revenue +8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp

EBIT margin +10.4 pp
Tax rate +1.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "L.K. Technology Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0558

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +197% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.38× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 39 · sector 28
HEALTH 94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €899.80 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €281.75 €91.93 -67%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.75 -28%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 210.00 kr 112.59 -46%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 358.60 kr 193.01 -46%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥39.17 ¥22.68 -42%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥24.06 ¥18.71 -22%
ABB India Limited ABB ₹7,700 ₹1,322 -83%
Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL ₹420.00 ₹96.51 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is L.K. Technology Holdings (0558) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$4.43 versus a price of HK$1.49, about +197% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0558?
Our model-based fair value for L.K. Technology Holdings is HK$4.43 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.49.
What is the quality score of 0558?
L.K. Technology Holdings has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of L.K. Technology Holdings (0558)?
L.K. Technology Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0558?
The net profit margin of L.K. Technology Holdings is about 5.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does L.K. Technology Holdings pay a dividend?
L.K. Technology Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.28% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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