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Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Beijing North Star Co Ltd HK$1.46, price HK$0.68, upside +114.7%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · HK · Home China · ISIN CNE100000262

BN Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Beijing North Star Co Ltd

0588 · HK

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value HK$1.46 · Strongly undervalued (+114.7%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −19.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -46.3% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.43 HK$0.5800 Fair Value HK$1.46 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.5800 – HK$1.43 · fair‑value band HK$0.6600 – HK$2.39 · the HK$0.6800 price screens below the HK$1.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Beijing North Star Company Limited engages in real estate development, property leasing, and hotel and property management in the People's Republic of China. It operates through the Real Estate Development; Convention and Exhibition and Commercial Properties; and Other segments.

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Beijing North Star Company Limited engages in real estate development, property leasing, and hotel and property management in the People's Republic of China. It operates through the Real Estate Development; Convention and Exhibition and Commercial Properties; and Other segments. The company is involved in the development and sale of residential properties; trading activities; multimedia information network development, system integration, and software development; and operation of rental apartments, office buildings, conference centers, and hotels. It also provides convention and exhibition services; hotel services; commercial and property management services; and hotel and restaurant management consulting services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588) currently trades at HK$0.6800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 53.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$2.81 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.6800 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$0.8000, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.6600 (bear) to HK$2.39 (bull), the price of HK$0.6800 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Beijing North Star Co Ltd reported revenue of 6.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 22.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −27.6%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.3B (≈ $291M) · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.5500 · Net margin −49.3% · Return on equity −30.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin 6.5% · Revenue (TTM) 6.1B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 115%, 0588 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.6600 Fair Value HK$1.46 Bull HK$2.39
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$1.38 HK$3.01 HK$5.01 77
Growth DCF HK$1.39 HK$2.81 HK$4.45 76
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a HK$0.7400 HK$1.78 72
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.38 HK$3.01 HK$5.01 77
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a HK$0.3300 69
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a HK$0.7400 HK$1.78 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.8000 HK$1.52 61
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4600 HK$1.37 HK$2.45 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.17 HK$1.56 HK$2.33 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.39 HK$2.81 HK$4.45 76
Rev-Margin DCF n/a n/a HK$0.5900 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.7% (2018) → −44.7% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 570 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −46.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.33× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 69
FUTURE (revenue growth)37 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$28.64 HK$71.60 +150%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$45.90 HK$71.49 +56%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹658.40 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.77 ¥5.87 +2%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%
The Wharf (Holdings) Limited 0004 HK$19.39 HK$8.31 −57%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing North Star Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0588

Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.46 versus a price of HK$0.6800, about +115% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0588?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing North Star Co Ltd is HK$1.46 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6800.
What is the quality score of 0588?
Beijing North Star Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.46 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6600, optimistic scenario HK$2.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing North Star Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.46, about +115% upside versus a price of HK$0.6800 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6600, optimistic scenario HK$2.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
Beijing North Star Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing North Star Co Ltd it is HK$1.46 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.6800. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing North Star Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0588 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.6800, fair value HK$1.46, a gap of about +115% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0588?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.6800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.46). For Beijing North Star Co Ltd the two are HK$0.7800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing North Star Co Ltd worth?
The market values Beijing North Star Co Ltd at about HK$2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.6800; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0588?
Our models span a range for Beijing North Star Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6600, base HK$1.46, optimistic HK$2.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.6800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing North Star Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −30.0%, debt of 2.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0588 from its 52-week high?
Beijing North Star Co Ltd trades at HK$0.6800, about 26% below its 52-week high of HK$0.9200 and 3% above the low of HK$0.6600 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing North Star Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing North Star Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.6800, calculated fair value HK$1.46 (+115%), Quality Score 45/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0588 calculated?
We run Beijing North Star Co Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing North Star Co Ltd currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.6800. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.46, about +115% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing North Star Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.6600 to HK$2.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Beijing North Star Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing North Star Co Ltd is HK$2.3B (≈ $291M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing North Star Co Ltd is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
Earnings per share at Beijing North Star Co Ltd are HK$−0.5500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
The net margin of Beijing North Star Co Ltd is −49.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing North Star Co Ltd is −30.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing North Star Co Ltd is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
The operating margin of Beijing North Star Co Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588)?
Revenue at Beijing North Star Co Ltd is growing +7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588) generate?
The free cash flow of Beijing North Star Co Ltd is 1.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Beijing North Star Co Ltd (0588) carry?
The net debt of Beijing North Star Co Ltd is 8.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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