CHK Oil Ltd (0632) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CHK Oil Ltd stock HK$0.25, price HK$0.09, upside +173.9%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0580 – HK$0.8900 · fair‑value band HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3240 · the HK$0.0920 price screens below the HK$0.2520 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 12, 2026.
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CHK Oil Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, exploitation, and sale of oil and natural gas in the United States and the People Republic of China. The company holds 100% exploitation interest in the Utah Gas and Oil Field project located in Utah, the United States.
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It also trades in oil, oil-related, and other products, as well as engages in the provision of corporate services. The company was formerly known as Pearl Oriental Oil Limited and changed its name to CHK Oil Limited in February 2020. The company is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.
CHK Oil Limited operates as a subsidiary of Xin Hua Petroleum (Hong Kong) Limited.
Stock analysis
CHK Oil Ltd (0632) currently trades at HK$0.0920, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2520, implying the stock looks roughly 63% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.4200 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$0.0920 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0300, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1800 (bear) to HK$0.3240 (bull), the price of HK$0.0920 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
CHK Oil Ltd reported revenue of HK$58.8M in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −55.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$16.2M in FY2025, compounding −42.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$88.0M (≈ $11.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 9.3 · P/S ratio 2.57 · Net margin 27.6% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −137% · Revenue (TTM) HK$32.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 90% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 174%, 0632 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.1800Fair Value HK$0.2520BullHK$0.3240
Price HK$0.0920 · Upside +173.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−53.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.7% vs −31.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → −47%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 119 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+173.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.8% · Below median
Return on assets4.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)37.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−136.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−69.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
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As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2520 versus a price of HK$0.0920, about +174% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0632?
Our model-based fair value for CHK Oil Ltd is HK$0.2520 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0920.
What is the quality score of 0632?
CHK Oil Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2520 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3240. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CHK Oil Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2520, about +174% upside versus a price of HK$0.0920 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3240. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
CHK Oil Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$32.0M (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CHK Oil Ltd it is HK$0.2520 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0920. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is CHK Oil Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 0632 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0920, fair value HK$0.2520, a gap of about +174% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0632?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0920); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2520). For CHK Oil Ltd the two are HK$0.1600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CHK Oil Ltd worth?
The market values CHK Oil Ltd at about HK$88.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0920; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2520 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0632?
Our models span a range for CHK Oil Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1800, base HK$0.2520, optimistic HK$0.3240 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price HK$0.0920). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0632?
CHK Oil Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2520 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 2.7, EV/EBITDA 12.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Balance-sheet figures for CHK Oil Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0632 from its 52-week high?
CHK Oil Ltd trades at HK$0.0920, about 90% below its 52-week high of HK$0.8900 and 2% above the low of HK$0.0900 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2520 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CHK Oil Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CHK Oil Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price HK$0.0920, calculated fair value HK$0.2520 (+174%), Quality Score 47/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0632 calculated?
We run CHK Oil Ltd through 10 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.2520 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. CHK Oil Ltd currently trades 63% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.0920. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2520, about +174% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CHK Oil Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (47/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1800 to HK$0.3240) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of CHK Oil Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The market capitalisation of CHK Oil Ltd is HK$88.0M (≈ $11.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CHK Oil Ltd is 2.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The net margin of CHK Oil Ltd is 27.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CHK Oil Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CHK Oil Ltd is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The operating margin of CHK Oil Ltd is −137% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Revenue at CHK Oil Ltd is down 69.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −53.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Earnings per share at CHK Oil Ltd are down 64.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CHK Oil Ltd (0632) generate?
The free cash flow of CHK Oil Ltd is −HK$29.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CHK Oil Ltd (0632) carry?
The net debt of CHK Oil Ltd is HK$24.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 12, 2026