CHK Oil Ltd (0632) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of CHK Oil Ltd HK$0.21, price HK$0.14, upside +50.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0580 – HK$0.8900 · fair‑value band HK$0.2100 – HK$0.2300 · the HK$0.1400 price screens below the HK$0.2100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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CHK Oil Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, exploitation, and sale of oil and natural gas in the United States and the People Republic of China. The company holds 100% exploitation interest in the Utah Gas and Oil Field project located in Utah, the United States.
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CHK Oil Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, exploitation, and sale of oil and natural gas in the United States and the People Republic of China. The company holds 100% exploitation interest in the Utah Gas and Oil Field project located in Utah, the United States. It also trades in oil, oil-related, and other products, as well as engages in the provision of corporate services. The company was formerly known as Pearl Oriental Oil Limited and changed its name to CHK Oil Limited in February 2020. The company is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. CHK Oil Limited operates as a subsidiary of Xin Hua Petroleum (Hong Kong) Limited.
Stock analysis
CHK Oil Ltd (0632) currently trades at HK$0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2100, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$0.7000 per share, and 9 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$0.1400 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1800, and 1 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2100 (bear) to HK$0.2300 (bull), the price of HK$0.1400 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
CHK Oil Ltd reported revenue of HK$58.8M in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −55.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$16.2M in FY2025, compounding −42.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$232M (≈ $29.6M) · P/E ratio 12.2 · P/S ratio 3.35 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin 27.6% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.5% · Operating margin 180%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 84% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 50%, 0632 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.2100Fair Value HK$0.2100Bull HK$0.2300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−61.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−45.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−39.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +52.1% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−27.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−27.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.7% vs −31.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → −47%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 11.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 292 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Above median
Fair Value upside+50.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.7% · Above median
Return on assets4.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)27.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)179.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−82.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
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As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2100 versus a price of HK$0.1400, about +50% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0632?
Our model-based fair value for CHK Oil Ltd is HK$0.2100 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1400.
What is the quality score of 0632?
CHK Oil Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2100 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2100, optimistic scenario HK$0.2300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CHK Oil Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2100, about +50% upside versus a price of HK$0.1400 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2100, optimistic scenario HK$0.2300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
CHK Oil Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$58.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CHK Oil Ltd it is HK$0.2100 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1400. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CHK Oil Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0632 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1400, fair value HK$0.2100, a gap of about +50% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0632?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2100). For CHK Oil Ltd the two are HK$0.0700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CHK Oil Ltd worth?
The market values CHK Oil Ltd at about HK$232M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1400; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0632?
Our models span a range for CHK Oil Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2100, base HK$0.2100, optimistic HK$0.2300 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0632?
CHK Oil Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 4.0, EV/EBITDA 24.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Balance-sheet figures for CHK Oil Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.7%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0632 from its 52-week high?
CHK Oil Ltd trades at HK$0.1400, about 84% below its 52-week high of HK$0.8900 and at the low of HK$0.1400 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CHK Oil Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CHK Oil Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1400, calculated fair value HK$0.2100 (+50%), Quality Score 49/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0632 calculated?
We run CHK Oil Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. CHK Oil Ltd currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.1400. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2100, about +50% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CHK Oil Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.2100 to HK$0.2300), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of CHK Oil Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The market capitalisation of CHK Oil Ltd is HK$232M (≈ $29.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CHK Oil Ltd is 3.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Earnings per share at CHK Oil Ltd are HK$−0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The net margin of CHK Oil Ltd is 27.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CHK Oil Ltd is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CHK Oil Ltd is −2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
The operating margin of CHK Oil Ltd is 180% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Revenue at CHK Oil Ltd is growing −82.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −45.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CHK Oil Ltd (0632)?
Earnings per share at CHK Oil Ltd are growing −64.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CHK Oil Ltd (0632) generate?
The free cash flow of CHK Oil Ltd is −HK$29.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CHK Oil Ltd (0632) carry?
The net debt of CHK Oil Ltd is HK$24.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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