CHK Oil Limited (0632) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · HK · Market cap HK$232M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.2400 to HK$0.1900 (−20.8%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −14.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear) to HK$0.1900 (bull), base HK$0.1900. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0580 – HK$0.8900 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.1900 · the HK$0.1770 price screens below the HK$0.1900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
CHK Oil Limited (0632) currently trades at HK$0.1770, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1900, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CHK Oil Limited generated revenue of HK$58.8M at a net margin of 27.6%. Revenue declined 82.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at HK$24.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear case) to HK$0.1900 (bull case); at HK$0.1770, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 7%, 0632 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.7000) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
CHK Oil Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, exploitation, and sale of oil and natural gas in the United States and the People Republic of China. The company holds 100% exploitation interest in the Utah Gas and Oil Field project located in Utah, the United States.
Full company description
CHK Oil Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, exploitation, and sale of oil and natural gas in the United States and the People Republic of China. The company holds 100% exploitation interest in the Utah Gas and Oil Field project located in Utah, the United States. It also trades in oil, oil-related, and other products, as well as engages in the provision of corporate services. The company was formerly known as Pearl Oriental Oil Limited and changed its name to CHK Oil Limited in February 2020. The company is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. CHK Oil Limited operates as a subsidiary of Xin Hua Petroleum (Hong Kong) Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CHK Oil Limited reported revenue of HK$58.8M in FY2025 versus HK$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −55.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$16.2M in FY2025, compounding −42.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 312 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥32.85 | ¥32.55 | -1% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $125.92 | $90.15 | -28% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $47.57 | $31.14 | -35% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $143.14 | $130.19 | -9% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $58.55 | $30.06 | -49% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $201.71 | $105.24 | -48% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $44.86 | $27.06 | -40% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$32.55 | A$20.71 | -36% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $54.06 | $42.85 | -21% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $342.77 | $77.26 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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