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China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd HK$0.39, price HK$0.26, upside +48.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · HK · ISIN KYG2116M1015

CS Thin data Sep 27, 2026

China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd

0691 · HK

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value HK$0.3864 · Undervalued (+48.6%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.42 HK$0.2210 Fair Value HK$0.3864 Jul 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2210 – HK$2.42 · fair‑value band HK$0.3226 – HK$0.4716 · the HK$0.2600 price screens below the HK$0.3864 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

China Shanshui Cement Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of cement, clinker, concrete, and related products and services in the People's Republic of China.

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China Shanshui Cement Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of cement, clinker, concrete, and related products and services in the People's Republic of China. The company develops, manufactures, and sells cement related equipment; provides technical consultation and financial leasing services; produces limestones; and sells coal. In addition, it is involved in production and sale of building materials and related products, as well as drinking water; production and sale of cement component parts; sale, import and export, and trade consultation of cement product and equipment; installation and maintenance of equipment and spare parts of cement machines; development and sale of machinery and electronics; management of construction projects; development and maintenance of special railway-lines; and wash and repair of steam locomotive. Further, the company provides project investment and management, and consulting services; and acts as a selling agent of cement products and building materials. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Jinan, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691) currently trades at HK$0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3864, implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$3.09 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the HK$0.2600 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$2.24, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.3226 (bear) to HK$0.4716 (bull), the price of HK$0.2600 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd reported revenue of 11.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 24.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −17.3%/yr. Reported net income was −983M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $144M) · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0600 · Net margin −8.5% · Return on equity −7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin −29.2% · Revenue (TTM) 11.1B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 49%, 0691 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.3226 Fair Value HK$0.3864 Bull HK$0.4716
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$1.91 HK$2.23 HK$2.75 82
Growth DCF HK$1.94 HK$2.24 HK$2.70 80
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.01 HK$2.60 HK$3.38 76
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.91 HK$2.23 HK$2.75 82
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.84 HK$2.32 HK$3.00 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.01 HK$2.60 HK$3.38 76
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.84 HK$2.16 HK$2.48 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.95 HK$2.31 HK$2.67 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$2.34 HK$2.90 HK$3.46 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.89 HK$2.42 HK$2.94 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.31 HK$3.09 HK$4.62 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.94 HK$2.24 HK$2.70 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.84 HK$2.35 HK$2.98 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.3% (2020) → −4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 250 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +48.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −9.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −29.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −27.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.48× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)98 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $85.04 $74.79 −12%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 67.26 CHF 33.08 −51%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $484.30 $207.85 −57%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,155 ₹4,719 −58%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $245.00 $131.66 −46%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥43.06 ¥28.26 −34%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,191 ₹1,245 −61%
Amrize AG AMRZ $38.22 $35.08 −8%
James Hardie Industries plc JHX A$36.98 A$8.06 −78%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.93 ¥28.02 +66%

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China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.3864 +33%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0691

Frequently asked questions

Is China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3864 versus a price of HK$0.2600, about +49% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0691?
Our model-based fair value for China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is HK$0.3864 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2600.
What is the quality score of 0691?
China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3864 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3226, optimistic scenario HK$0.4716. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3864, about +49% upside versus a price of HK$0.2600 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3226, optimistic scenario HK$0.4716. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd it is HK$0.3864 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2600. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0691 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2600, fair value HK$0.3864, a gap of about +49% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0691?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3864). For China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd the two are HK$0.1264 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd worth?
The market values China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd at about HK$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3864 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0691?
Our models span a range for China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3226, base HK$0.3864, optimistic HK$0.4716 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0691?
The PEG ratio of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is 0.48 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −7.0%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0691 from its 52-week high?
China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd trades at HK$0.2600, about 70% below its 52-week high of HK$0.8800 and 18% above the low of HK$0.2210 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3864 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2600, calculated fair value HK$0.3864 (+49%), Quality Score 45/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0691 calculated?
We run China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3864, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.2600. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3864, about +49% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3226). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
The market capitalisation of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is HK$1.1B (≈ $144M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
Earnings per share at China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd are HK$−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
The net margin of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is −8.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is −7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
The operating margin of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is −29.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
Revenue at China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is growing −27.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691)?
Earnings per share at China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd are growing −86.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691) generate?
The free cash flow of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is 504M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd (0691) carry?
The net debt of China Shanshui Cement Group Ltd is 2.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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