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Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust HK$1.14, price HK$1.34, upside -14.9%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · HK · ISIN HK0808032913

PR Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust

0808 · HK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value HK$1.14 · Overvalued (−14.9%)
!Quality 54/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓8.5% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.07 HK$0.8938 Fair Value HK$1.14 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.8938 – HK$2.07 · fair‑value band HK$0.7600 – HK$1.76 · the HK$1.34 price screens above the HK$1.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is a Hong Kong collective investment scheme authorized under section 104 of the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong).

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Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is a Hong Kong collective investment scheme authorized under section 104 of the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong). Prosperity REIT owns a diverse portfolio of seven high-quality properties in the decentralized business districts of Hong Kong, comprising all, or a portion of, three Grade A office buildings, one commercial building, two industrial/office buildings and one industrial building, with a total gross rentable area of about 1.28 million sq. ft.. Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust was established and incorporated on November 29, 2005.

Stock analysis

Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808) currently trades at HK$1.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.14, 14.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$2.63 per share, and 2 of the 8 models we run sit above the HK$1.34 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$0.7600, and 6 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.7600 (bear) to HK$1.76 (bull), the price of HK$1.34 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust reported revenue of HK$409M in FY2025 versus HK$445M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$252M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.1B (≈ $273M) · P/S ratio 5.41 · Dividend yield 8.5% · Net margin −61.6% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 62.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$403M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −15%, 0808 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.7600 Fair Value HK$1.14 Bull HK$1.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.6700 HK$1.05 HK$1.72 79
Growth DCF HK$0.7100 HK$1.07 HK$1.65 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4200 HK$0.8900 HK$1.60 69
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6700 HK$1.05 HK$1.72 79
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.4200 HK$0.8900 HK$1.60 69
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.5100 HK$0.8700 HK$1.26 66
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$1.63 HK$2.49 HK$3.36 65
EV/Revenue HK$0.2900 HK$0.8300 HK$1.37 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.96 HK$2.63 HK$3.92 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.7100 HK$1.07 HK$1.65 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2900 HK$0.7600 HK$1.33 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 66
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
67.1% (2019) → 61.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.6% a year for the price.

0808 screens overvalued: fair value 15% below the price. Compare with BXP, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Office · 69 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −14.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 1.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −4.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 62.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.25× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Office median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)13 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 66
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 100

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Office stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BXP, Inc BXP $63.40 $38.36 −39%
Vornado Realty Trust VNORP $50.11 $49.54 −1%
MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A MRL €12.26 €9.69 −21%
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc ARE $49.93 $98.03 +96%
Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc HPP $11.65 $2.97 −75%
Gecina GFC €63.75 €75.43 +18%
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust N2IU 1.22 SGD 1.26 SGD +3%
Cousins Properties Incorporated CUZ $28.65 $8.26 −71%
Keppel DC REIT AJBU 2.12 SGD 2.70 SGD +27%
Kilroy Realty Corporation KRC $34.23 $35.64 +4%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0808

Frequently asked questions

Is Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.14 versus a price of HK$1.34, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0808?
Our model-based fair value for Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is HK$1.14 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.34.
What is the quality score of 0808?
Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.14 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.7600, optimistic scenario HK$1.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.14, about −15% upside versus a price of HK$1.34 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.7600, optimistic scenario HK$1.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$403M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust pay a dividend?
Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust would have to grow free cash flow by +12.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0808 use?
Our models discount Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust at 12.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust that is +12.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust grew -2.0 % a year. The price currently implies +12.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (+12.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.95 %: that much free cash flow Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust it is HK$1.14 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.34. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0808 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.34, fair value HK$1.14, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0808?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.14). For Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust the two are HK$0.2000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust worth?
The market values Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust at about HK$2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.34; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0808?
Our models span a range for Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust: cautious scenario HK$0.7600, base HK$1.14, optimistic HK$1.76 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
Balance-sheet figures for Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0808 from its 52-week high?
Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust trades at HK$1.34, about 9% below its 52-week high of HK$1.47 and 7% above the low of HK$1.26 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value BXP, Inc, Vornado Realty Trust, MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.34, calculated fair value HK$1.14 (−15%), Quality Score 54/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0808 calculated?
We run Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.34. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.14, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.7600 to HK$1.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust

How large is the market capitalisation of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
The market capitalisation of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is HK$2.1B (≈ $273M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is 5.41 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
The dividend yield of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is 8.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
The net margin of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is −61.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
The operating margin of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is 62.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
Revenue at Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808)?
Earnings per share at Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust are growing +1.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust (0808) carry?
The net debt of Prosperity Real Estate Investment Trust is HK$2.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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