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Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG5217R1011

KS Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd

0822 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.8200 · Strongly undervalued (+173%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.12 HK$0.1890 Fair Value HK$0.8200 Sep 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1890 – HK$1.12 · fair‑value band HK$0.6900 – HK$1.04 · the HK$0.3000 price screens below the HK$0.8200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Ka Shui International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of zinc, magnesium, and aluminum alloy and plastic products and components in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, the United States, and internationally.

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Ka Shui International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of zinc, magnesium, and aluminum alloy and plastic products and components in Hong Kong, the People's Republic of China, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through nine segments: Zinc Alloy; Magnesium Alloy; Aluminium Alloy; Plastic Products and components; Trading of Lighting Products; Provision of Motor Vehicle Repairing Services; Sales of Special Purpose Vehicles; Provision of New Energy Vehicles Power Systems; and Production of Other Products. It offers plastic injection products and components. The company is also involved in the trading and marketing of LED and plasma lighting products; trading of home appliance products; marketing of zinc, magnesium, aluminum alloy die casting, and plastic injection products and components; and research and development, and trading of germ repellent plastic related products. In addition, it researches, manufactures, and sells plastic injection moldings and components of car-related products; repair and maintenance of motor vehicles for commercial use; sales of special purpose vehicles; trades in healthcare products; sells and manufactures metallic materials; and provides new engine vehicle power systems. Further, the company engages in property investment; research and development, manufacture, and trading of light alloy moulds; and sales of vehicle auto parts and components in outdoor displays. The company sells its products to households, communication, computer, consumer electronics, automotive parts, and precision components industries. Ka Shui International Holdings Limited was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822) currently trades at HK$0.3000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.8200, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.8800 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$0.3000 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at HK$0.7500, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.6900 (bear) to HK$1.04 (bull), the price of HK$0.3000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.5B in FY2025 versus HK$1.7B in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$27.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$340M (≈ $43.3M) · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0400 · Net margin −1.9% · Return on equity −2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% · Operating margin 3.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$1.5B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 173%, 0822 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.6900 Fair Value HK$0.8200 Bull HK$1.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.6600 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9200 82
Growth DCF HK$0.6700 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9000 80
Owner Earnings HK$0.3700 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4100 78
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6600 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9200 82
Owner Earnings HK$0.3700 HK$0.3800 HK$0.4100 78
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6600 HK$0.8000 HK$1.02 74
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.9500 HK$1.30 HK$1.77 76
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.6400 HK$0.7600 HK$0.9000 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.8200 HK$1.07 HK$1.35 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$1.31 HK$1.64 HK$1.97 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.6800 HK$0.8500 HK$1.01 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6500 HK$0.8800 HK$1.31 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.6700 HK$0.7500 HK$0.9000 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.6600 HK$0.8100 HK$1.01 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.0% (2020) → −0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 260 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 26

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $443.19 $101.35 −77%
ATI Inc ATI $198.77 $35.74 −82%
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $60.48 $59.33 −2%
Aurubis AG NDA €173.30 €109.36 −37%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.17 ¥12.34 +35%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $67.17 $13.01 −81%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥24.78 ¥6.84 −72%
Viohalco S.A VIO €16.60 €14.88 −10%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $70.69 $52.40 −26%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥85.98 ¥44.23 −49%

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Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.8200 +63%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0822

Frequently asked questions

Is Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.8200 versus a price of HK$0.3000, about +173% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0822?
Our model-based fair value for Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is HK$0.8200 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3000.
What is the quality score of 0822?
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.8200 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6900, optimistic scenario HK$1.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.8200, about +173% upside versus a price of HK$0.3000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6900, optimistic scenario HK$1.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -15.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.1 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0822 use?
Our models discount Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.30, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd that is -15.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd grew -0.1 % a year. The price currently implies -15.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (-15.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.74 %: that much free cash flow Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.8200 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3000. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 0822 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3000, fair value HK$0.8200, a gap of about +173% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0822?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.8200). For Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd at about HK$340M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3000; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.8200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0822?
Our models span a range for Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6900, base HK$0.8200, optimistic HK$1.04 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$0.3000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −2.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0822 from its 52-week high?
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3000, about 32% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4400 and 7% above the low of HK$0.2800 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.8200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.3000, calculated fair value HK$0.8200 (+173%), Quality Score 52/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0822 calculated?
We run Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.8200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd currently trades 173 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
The market capitalisation of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is HK$340M (≈ $43.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
Earnings per share at Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
The net margin of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is −1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
The operating margin of Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
Revenue at Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd is growing −5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822)?
Earnings per share at Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd are growing −29.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd (0822) hold?
Ka Shui International Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$26.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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