Tiangong International Company (0826) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$9.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −13.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$2.01 to HK$2.22), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.33 – HK$4.96 · fair‑value band HK$2.01 – HK$2.22 · the HK$2.95 price screens above the HK$2.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tiangong International Company (0826) currently trades at HK$2.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.22, implying the stock looks roughly 24.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Tiangong International Company generated revenue of HK$4.7B at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at HK$3.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$2.01 (bear case) to HK$2.22 (bull case); at HK$2.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -25%, 0826 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.59) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.83). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tiangong International Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells alloy steel and related products. The company operates through Die Steel, High Speed Steel, Cutting Tools, Titanium Alloy, and Other segments. It provides tools and mould steel and powder metallurgy.
Full company description
Tiangong International Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells alloy steel and related products. The company operates through Die Steel, High Speed Steel, Cutting Tools, Titanium Alloy, and Other segments. It provides tools and mould steel and powder metallurgy. The company is also involved in the trading of goods and special steel; provision of investment management and advisory related services; processes and sells electric tool sets; manufacturing and selling of die steel and high-speed steel; and assembling and selling power tools kits. Its products are used in aviation, automotive, high-speed trains and petroleum chemical, railway construction, machinery manufacturing, home appliances, consumer electronics, aerospace, marine engineering, biological sciences, electronics, and other industries. The company operates in the People's Republic of China, North America, Europe, rest of Asia, and internationally. Tiangong International Company Limited was founded in 1981 and is based in Danyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tiangong International Company reported revenue of HK$4.7B in FY2025 versus HK$5.7B in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$400M in FY2025, compounding −11.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
0826 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 380 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,269 | ₹1,140 | -10% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.20 | ₹145.39 | -22% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 37.25 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 325,000 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -52% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,838 ARS | +16% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,112 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,894 | ₹771.10 | -59% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 39.22 MXN | -53% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,472 ARS | +55% |
| NMDC Limited NMDC | ₹85.00 | ₹112.98 | +33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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