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Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited (0827) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$387M

KY Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited 0827 · HK
PriceHK$0.0470
Fair ValueHK$0.1013
Upside+115.5%
Quality31/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -34.6% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0788 – HK$0.1238 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0920 to HK$0.1013 (+10.1%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −7.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 116% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0788). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3550 HK$0.0220 Fair Value HK$0.1013 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0220 – HK$0.3550 · fair‑value band HK$0.0788 – HK$0.1238 · the HK$0.0470 price screens below the HK$0.1013 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited (0827) currently trades at HK$0.0470, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1013, implying the stock looks roughly 115.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited generated revenue of HK$2.2B at a net margin of -34.6%. Revenue declined 19.5% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$2.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0788 (bear case) to HK$0.1238 (bull case); at HK$0.0470, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at 116%, 0827 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 74
Gordon GGM HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 70
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1700 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1800 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.1100 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1000 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.1400) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.5%
Net margin -34.6%
Return on equity -3,966%
Free cash flow HK$63.2M FY2025
Operating margin -40.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -36.4%
Net debt HK$2.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 23
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of chemical products and chemical fertilizers in the People's Republic of China. The company offers Urea, Ammonia, Methanol, N-methylpyrrolidone, and N,N-dimethylformamide.

Full company description

Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, marketing, and distribution of chemical products and chemical fertilizers in the People's Republic of China. The company offers Urea, Ammonia, Methanol, N-methylpyrrolidone, and N,N-dimethylformamide. It is also involved in the exploration and exploitation of phosphorous mine; production of phosphoric acid and propylene oxide; and manufacture and sale of engineering plastics. Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited reported revenue of HK$2.2B in FY2025 versus HK$3.1B in FY2021, a compound −8.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$747M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.2B
Latest YoY
−16.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Revenue −8.4%/yr
FY21 HK$3.1B
FY22 HK$3.2B
FY23 HK$2.9B
FY24 HK$2.6B
FY25 HK$2.2B
Net income
FY21 HK$379M
FY22 HK$202M
FY23 −HK$152M
FY24 −HK$505M
FY25 −HK$747M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0827

Peer Group

Chemicals · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +113% · Top 25%
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -35% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -40% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 20
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 33

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 467.04 MXN -55%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,950 IDR 1,608 IDR -18%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 275,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +113%
SRF Limited 503806 ₹2,609 ₹749.17 -71%
542812 542812 ₹4,709 ₹791.05 -83%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,357 ₹2,146 -74%
506285 506285 ₹4,048 ₹1,589 -61%
Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited 500165 ₹209.25 ₹80.51 -62%
Deepak Nitrite Limited DEEPAKNTR ₹1,718 ₹679.17 -60%
KCC Corporation 002380 454,000 KRW 1,763,304 KRW +288%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited (0827) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1013 versus a price of HK$0.0470, about +116% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0827?
Our model-based fair value for Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited is HK$0.1013 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0470.
What is the quality score of 0827?
Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited (0827)?
Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0827?
The net profit margin of Ko Yo Chemical (Group) Limited is about -34.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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