Convenience Retail Asia Limited (0831) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$266M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +5.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 143% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2120 – HK$3.04 · fair‑value band HK$0.6800 – HK$1.13 · the HK$0.3750 price screens below the HK$0.9100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Convenience Retail Asia Limited (0831) currently trades at HK$0.3750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9100, implying the stock looks roughly 142.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Convenience Retail Asia Limited generated revenue of HK$1.4B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.6800 (bear case) to HK$1.13 (bull case); at HK$0.3750, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 143%, 0831 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.78) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.3800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Convenience Retail Asia Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of bakeries and pâtisseries in Hong Kong and the Mainland China. It operates through Bakery and Eyewear segments.
Full company description
Convenience Retail Asia Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of bakeries and pâtisseries in Hong Kong and the Mainland China. It operates through Bakery and Eyewear segments. The company operates a chain of bakeries under the Saint Honore brand name; pâtisserie under the Mon cher brand; and fast-fashion eyewear stores under the Zoff brand. In addition, it is involved in wholesale business providing bakery and festive products; food factory operator and wholesale; eyewear, bakery chain operator and leaseholder. Further, the company offers its products online through Cake Easy application. Convenience Retail Asia Limited was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Convenience Retail Asia Limited reported revenue of HK$1.4B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$33.8M in FY2025, compounding −19.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −12.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 0831: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 82 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$62.09 | C$44.44 | -28% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €31.87 | €53.50 | +68% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $56.06 | $28.19 | -50% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.72 | A$8.33 | -79% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$99.75 | C$147.70 | +48% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.44 | A$15.86 | -32% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$89.98 | C$94.01 | +4% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €15.73 | €11.19 | -29% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.85 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +28% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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