China Education Group Holdings Ltd (0839) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China Education Group Holdings Ltd HK$8.86, price HK$1.90, upside +366.3%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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China Education Group Holdings Ltd
0839 · HKCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.65 – HK$16.44 · fair‑value band HK$5.13 – HK$11.80 · the HK$1.90 price screens below the HK$8.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
China Education Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates private higher and secondary vocational education institutions in Mainland China and Australia. The company offers junior college diploma, bachelor's degree, master's degree, continuing education programs, and vocational education programs.
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China Education Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates private higher and secondary vocational education institutions in Mainland China and Australia. The company offers junior college diploma, bachelor's degree, master's degree, continuing education programs, and vocational education programs. It also provides educational consultancy services. China Education Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
China Education Group Holdings Ltd (0839) currently trades at HK$1.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.86, implying the stock looks roughly 78.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$12.00 per share, and 23 of the 23 models we run sit above the HK$1.90 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$4.68, and 0 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$5.13 (bear) to HK$11.80 (bull), the price of HK$1.90 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China Education Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 7.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was 966M CNY in FY2025, compounding −9.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$5.2B (≈ $666M) · P/E ratio 5.5 · P/S ratio 0.73 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 13.3% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 31.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at 366%, 0839 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 23 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare China Education Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 120 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU | $55.63 | $83.50 | +50% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $12.00 | $32.66 | +172% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $37.40 | $40.60 | +9% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $120.75 | $151.99 | +26% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹134.36 | ₹33.64 | −75% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $147.28 | $162.01 | +10% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $75.59 | $171.72 | +127% |
| McGraw Hill, Inc MH | $13.11 | $8.95 | −32% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $30.94 | $41.01 | +33% |
| Youdao, Inc DAO | $15.15 | $15.13 | +0% |
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Key figures of China Education Group Holdings Ltd
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