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China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Water Affairs Group Ltd stock HK$7.27, price HK$3.65, upside +99.2%, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities HK · ISIN BMG210901242

CW China Water Affairs Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 12, 2026

China Water Affairs Group Ltd

0855 · HK

Cheap (50% below fair value), but weak company and falling price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Fair value HK$7.27 · Strongly undervalued 
Ranks above peers (8/13) 
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 95% above the price (HK$7.10). 
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin (TTM) 
Moderate debt 
7.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Quality 37/100 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.0 %/yr in HKD) 
Negative free cash flow 
Narrow moat 42/100
Thin data 
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Price vs Fair Value

HK$9.11 HK$3.27 Fair Value HK$7.27 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$3.27 – HK$9.11 · fair‑value band HK$7.10 – HK$9.25 · the HK$3.65 price screens below the HK$7.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.

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Company profile

China Water Affairs Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the water supply, environmental protection, and property businesses in the People's Republic of China.

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It operates through City Water Supply, Pipeline Direct Drinking Water Supply, Environmental Protection, Main Contractor Construction, and Property Development and Investment segments.

The City Water Supply segment is involved in the provision of water supply operation and construction, installation and maintenance, and other services.

Its Pipeline Direct Drinking Water Supply segment is involved in the provision of pipeline direct drinking water supply operations and construction, installation and maintenance services, and other services.

The Environmental Protection segment engages in sewage treatment, drainage operation, construction services, solid and hazardous waste, environmental sanitation, and water environment management businesses.

Its Main Contractor Construction segment is involved in the provision of municipal public construction services. The Property Development and Investment segment develops, sells, and invests in properties.

It also involved in the development and infrastructure of sightseeing area; provision of water environmental renovation infrastructure; construction and operations in urban water treatment business, remediation and rural water improvement; and investment, construction, and operation of water conservation and hydropower related projects, as well as energy conservation and environmental protection and hotel operations.

In addition, the company offers warehousing, storage, trading and distribution of oil related products. The company was formerly known as China Silver Dragon Group Limited and changed its name to China Water Affairs Group Limited in December 2004.

China Water Affairs Group Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855) currently trades at HK$3.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.27, implying the stock looks roughly 50% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$13.85 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$3.65 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$2.30, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$7.10 (bear) to HK$9.25 (bull), the price of HK$3.65 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

China Water Affairs Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$10.3B in FY2026 versus HK$12.9B in FY2022, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$986M in FY2026, compounding −15.0%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap HK$6.0B (≈ $762M) Small · P/E ratio 6.0 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.6043 · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at 99%, 0855 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$7.10 Fair Value HK$7.27 Bull HK$9.25
Price HK$3.65 · Upside +99.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0562 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income HK$7.10 HK$7.27 HK$7.85 76
EPV HK$1.31 HK$2.18 HK$2.92 71
ROIC Compounder HK$1.31 HK$2.18 HK$2.92 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$4.12 HK$25.11 HK$35.02 63
Lynch FV HK$7.78 HK$11.11 HK$14.44 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$7.78 HK$11.11 HK$14.44 57
EPV HK$1.31 HK$2.18 HK$2.92 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.30 HK$2.43 HK$3.46 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.30 HK$2.17 HK$2.58 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$8.18 HK$10.91 HK$13.64 63
P/S Multiple HK$6.59 HK$8.78 HK$10.98 57
EV/EBIT HK$2.55 HK$5.90 HK$9.25 61
EV/EBITDA HK$2.26 HK$5.51 HK$8.76 62
EV/Revenue n/a HK$1.28 HK$3.91 49
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$7.10 HK$7.27 HK$7.85 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.31 HK$2.18 HK$2.92 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$9.69 HK$13.85 HK$18.00 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 29
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 16
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 50
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 89
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 11
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 84
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+0.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10.7% vs 5.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.36% → 26%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 66 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +99.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 7.6% · Below median
Return on assets 2.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 17.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 25.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −9.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 7.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.22× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 6.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.40× · book value is mostly intangible assets ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets (such as prices paid for past acquisitions, brands, licences or film and series rights) are larger than the equity. So we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 1.05× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.41× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 3
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)30 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)39 · sector 67
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 52

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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China Water Affairs Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Water Affairs Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0855

Frequently asked questions

Is China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.27 versus a price of HK$3.65, about +99% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0855?
Our model-based fair value for China Water Affairs Group Ltd is HK$7.27 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.65.
What is the quality score of 0855?
China Water Affairs Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$7.27 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$7.10, optimistic scenario HK$9.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Water Affairs Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$7.27, about +99% upside versus a price of HK$3.65 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$7.10, optimistic scenario HK$9.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
China Water Affairs Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$10.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does China Water Affairs Group Ltd pay a dividend?
China Water Affairs Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 7.12% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855) and when is the ex-dividend date?
China Water Affairs Group Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.26 per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 22, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2009. The payout ratio is 74.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Water Affairs Group Ltd it is HK$7.27 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of HK$3.65. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is China Water Affairs Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 0855 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$3.65, fair value HK$7.27, a gap of about +99% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0855?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$7.27). For China Water Affairs Group Ltd the two are HK$3.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Water Affairs Group Ltd worth?
The market values China Water Affairs Group Ltd at about HK$6.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.65; our models calculate a fair value of HK$7.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0855?
Our models span a range for China Water Affairs Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$7.10, base HK$7.27, optimistic HK$9.25 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price HK$3.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0855?
China Water Affairs Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.0 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$7.27 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 7.7. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 0.4, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 9.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 0855?
The PEG ratio of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is 0.41 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 12, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Water Affairs Group Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 7.6%, debt of 1.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0855 from its 52-week high?
China Water Affairs Group Ltd trades at HK$3.65, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$6.22 and at the low of HK$3.65 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$7.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Water Affairs Group Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, American States Water Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Water Affairs Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price HK$3.65, calculated fair value HK$7.27 (+99%), Quality Score 37/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0855 calculated?
We run China Water Affairs Group Ltd through 14 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$7.27 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. China Water Affairs Group Ltd currently trades 50% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$3.65. Our model-based fair value is HK$7.27, about +99% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Water Affairs Group Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.10). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855) come from?
Earnings per share at China Water Affairs Group Ltd grew +7.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.2 %, EBIT margin −0.7 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Water Affairs Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
The market capitalisation of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is HK$6.0B (≈ $762M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is 0.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
Earnings per share at China Water Affairs Group Ltd are HK$0.6043 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
The dividend yield of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is 7.1% (payout 43.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
The net margin of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is 9.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
The operating margin of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is 25.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
Revenue at China Water Affairs Group Ltd is growing −9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855)?
Earnings per share at China Water Affairs Group Ltd are growing +30.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855) generate?
The free cash flow of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is −HK$1.6B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Water Affairs Group Ltd (0855) carry?
The net debt of China Water Affairs Group Ltd is HK$22.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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