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China LNG Group Ltd (0931) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China LNG Group Ltd stock HK$0.20, price HK$0.28, that is 27.7% below the price, quality 21 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Energy HK · ISIN KYG2117J1316

CL China LNG Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

China LNG Group Ltd

0931 · HK

Expensive (fair value 28% below the price), weak company and falling price: meets none of the 3 rules.

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Revenue last quarter +22% vs. a year ago. 
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −15.6 %/yr in HKD) 
Fair value HK$0.1988 · Overvalued 
Quality 21/100 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Loss-making · -20.5% net margin (TTM) 
High debt 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (0/10) 
Narrow moat 7/100
Thin data 
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.7200 HK$0.1810 Fair Value HK$0.1988 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1810 – HK$0.7200 · fair‑value band HK$0.1491 – HK$0.2485 · the HK$0.2750 price screens above the HK$0.1988 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

China HK Power Smart Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, sells and distributes liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company engages in the wholesale and point-to-point supply of LNG; LNG pipeline network; and LNG logistic services.

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It provides finance leasing services for LNG vehicles and equipment; and securities brokerage, money lending, and asset management services.

In addition, the company develops LNG refueling facilities on floating barges; develops LNG related technologies; operates LNG refueling stations; trades in gas ignition equipment; utilizes new energy sources; and supplies and manages LNG. Further, it is involved in the construction and operation of natural gas filling stations; wholesale of ethanol and liquefied petroleum gas; trading of natural gas and transportation; and dealing in securities.

China HK Power Smart Energy Group Limited was formerly known as China LNG Group Limited and changed its name to China HK Power Smart Energy Group Limited in November 2023. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

China LNG Group Ltd (0931) currently trades at HK$0.2750, while our estimate is HK$0.1988, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: HK$0.1491 (bear) to HK$0.2485 (bull), the price of HK$0.2750 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2011: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2011.

China LNG Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$796M in FY2025 versus HK$433M in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$167M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.2B (≈ $281M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.86 · Net margin −20.9% · Return on equity −69.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −14.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$815M · Revenue growth (YoY) +21.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 7 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −28%, 0931 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear HK$0.1491 Fair Value HK$0.1988 Bull HK$0.2485
Price HK$0.2750 · Downside -27.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 4
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 11
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 84
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2011: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2011.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.9% (2020) → −17.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0931 screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 119 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 21 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −9.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −20.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −14.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 21.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.09× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.49× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.71× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 48
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹144.04 ₹245.43 +70% vs 0931
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹302.00 ₹434.58 +44% vs 0931
SK Innovation Co 096770 109,200 KRW 117,049 KRW +7% vs 0931
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,340 ₹865.31 −35% vs 0931
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $102.18 $52.92 −48% vs 0931
Neste Oyj NESTE €27.62 €11.70 −58% vs 0931
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $414.65 $172.57 −58% vs 0931
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 92.50 TWD 35.53 TWD −62% vs 0931
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $379.83 $131.30 −65% vs 0931
Phillips 66 PSX $264.90 $90.80 −66% vs 0931

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China LNG Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China LNG Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0931

Frequently asked questions

Is China LNG Group Ltd (0931) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is HK$0.1988 versus a price of HK$0.2750, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0931?
Our estimate for China LNG Group Ltd is HK$0.1988 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2750.
What is the quality score of 0931?
China LNG Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of HK$0.1988 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario HK$0.1491, optimistic scenario HK$0.2485. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the China LNG Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at HK$0.1988, about 28% lower versus a price of HK$0.2750 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1491, optimistic scenario HK$0.2485. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
China LNG Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$815M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China LNG Group Ltd it is HK$0.1988 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2750.
Is China LNG Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 0931 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2750, fair value HK$0.1988, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0931?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1988). For China LNG Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0762 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China LNG Group Ltd worth?
The market values China LNG Group Ltd at about HK$2.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2750; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1988 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0931?
Our models span a range for China LNG Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1491, base HK$0.1988, optimistic HK$0.2485 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$0.2750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
Balance-sheet figures for China LNG Group Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −69.6%, debt of 2.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 21/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0931 from its 52-week high?
China LNG Group Ltd trades at HK$0.2750, about 53% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5900 and 10% above the low of HK$0.2500 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1988 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China LNG Group Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China LNG Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$0.2750, calculated fair value HK$0.1988 (−28%), Quality Score 21/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. China LNG Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.2750. Our estimate is HK$0.1988, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China LNG Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2485). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of China LNG Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
The market capitalisation of China LNG Group Ltd is HK$2.2B (≈ $281M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China LNG Group Ltd is 2.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
The net margin of China LNG Group Ltd is −20.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China LNG Group Ltd is −69.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China LNG Group Ltd is −7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
The operating margin of China LNG Group Ltd is −14.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China LNG Group Ltd (0931)?
Revenue at China LNG Group Ltd is growing 21.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +55.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China LNG Group Ltd (0931) generate?
The free cash flow of China LNG Group Ltd is −HK$144M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China LNG Group Ltd (0931) carry?
The net debt of China LNG Group Ltd is HK$696M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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