China HK Power Smart Energy Group (0931) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · HK · Market cap HK$2.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2040). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0680 to HK$0.2040). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1810 – HK$0.7200 · fair‑value band HK$0.0680 – HK$0.2040 · the HK$0.2900 price screens above the HK$0.1360 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
China HK Power Smart Energy Group (0931) currently trades at HK$0.2900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1360, implying the stock looks roughly 53.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, China HK Power Smart Energy Group generated revenue of HK$714M at a net margin of -17.4%. Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -42.7%. Net debt stands at HK$669M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0680 (bear case) to HK$0.2040 (bull case); at HK$0.2900, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -53%, 0931 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China HK Power Smart Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, sells and distributes liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company engages in the wholesale and point-to-point supply of LNG; LNG pipeline network; and LNG logistic services.
Full company description
China HK Power Smart Energy Group Limited, an investment holding company, sells and distributes liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company engages in the wholesale and point-to-point supply of LNG; LNG pipeline network; and LNG logistic services. It provides finance leasing services for LNG vehicles and equipment; and securities brokerage, money lending, and asset management services. In addition, the company develops LNG refueling facilities on floating barges; develops LNG related technologies; operates LNG refueling stations; trades in gas ignition equipment; utilizes new energy sources; and supplies and manages LNG. Further, it is involved in the construction and operation of natural gas filling stations; wholesale of ethanol and liquefied petroleum gas; trading of natural gas and transportation; and dealing in securities. China HK Power Smart Energy Group Limited was formerly known as China LNG Group Limited and changed its name to China HK Power Smart Energy Group Limited in November 2023. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
China HK Power Smart Energy Group reported revenue of HK$713M in FY2024 versus HK$1.9B in FY2020, a compound −21.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$106M in FY2024.
0931 screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,329 | ₹751.26 | -43% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $330.21 | $127.32 | -61% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $348.25 | $133.18 | -62% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $225.58 | $99.41 | -56% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €29.61 | €3.83 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 70.20 TWD | 15.32 TWD | -78% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹317.00 | ₹846.81 | +167% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 122,400 KRW | 53,541 KRW | -56% |
| S-Oil Corporation 010950 | 140,900 KRW | 19,441 KRW | -86% |
| HD Hyundai Co 267250 | 230,500 KRW | 286,077 KRW | +24% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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