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China Shun Ke Long Holdings (0974) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$224M

CS China Shun Ke Long Holdings 0974 · HK
PriceHK$0.7900
Fair ValueHK$2.15
Upside+172.2%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -3.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$1.46 – HK$2.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 172% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.46). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$1.46 to HK$2.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$6.80 HK$0.4550 Fair Value HK$2.15 Sep 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4550 – HK$6.80 · fair‑value band HK$1.46 – HK$2.84 · the HK$0.7900 price screens below the HK$2.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Shun Ke Long Holdings (0974) currently trades at HK$0.7900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.15, implying the stock looks roughly 172.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Shun Ke Long Holdings generated revenue of HK$482M at a net margin of -3.5%. Revenue declined 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.2%. Net debt stands at HK$47.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.46 (bear case) to HK$2.84 (bull case); at HK$0.7900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at 172%, 0974 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.27 HK$1.54 HK$1.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.34 HK$1.89 HK$2.57 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2200 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.24 HK$1.53 HK$1.99 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.34 HK$1.86 HK$2.62 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.26 HK$1.60 HK$1.96 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$1.53 HK$2.13 HK$2.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1100 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.27 HK$1.54 HK$1.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.34 HK$1.89 HK$2.57 74

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$2.13) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$482M
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.2%
Net margin -3.5%
Return on equity -23.2%
Free cash flow HK$44.4M FY2025
Operating margin -1.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
Net debt HK$47.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Shun Ke Long Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates and manages supermarket chain stores in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Retail Outlet Operation and Wholesale Distribution segments. The company retails food, non-staple food, and household products; and wholesales fast consumable and non-staple food products.

Full company description

China Shun Ke Long Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates and manages supermarket chain stores in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Retail Outlet Operation and Wholesale Distribution segments. The company retails food, non-staple food, and household products; and wholesales fast consumable and non-staple food products. It also franchises its retail outlets, as well as operates online platforms. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Foshan, China, with an additional office in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. China Shun Ke Long Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of CCOOP International Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Shun Ke Long Holdings reported revenue of HK$482M in FY2025 versus HK$742M in FY2021, a compound −10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$17.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$482M
Latest YoY
−18.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Revenue −10.2%/yr
FY21 HK$742M
FY22 HK$639M
FY23 HK$667M
FY24 HK$593M
FY25 HK$482M
Net income
FY21 −HK$38.0M
FY22 −HK$25.0M
FY23 −HK$26.8M
FY24 −HK$68.0M
FY25 −HK$17.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Shun Ke Long Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0974

Peer Group

Grocery Stores · 82 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside +172% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.45× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 36
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 51
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$62.09 C$44.44 -28%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €31.87 €53.50 +68%
The Kroger Co KR $56.06 $28.19 -50%
Woolworths Group WOW A$39.72 A$8.33 -79%
George Weston Limited WN C$99.75 C$147.70 +48%
Coles Group COL A$23.44 A$15.86 -32%
Metro Inc MRU C$89.98 C$94.01 +4%
Carrefour SA CA €15.73 €11.19 -29%
CP ALL Public Company TCPD 1.85 SGD 2.36 SGD +28%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 385.75 TRY 267.12 TRY -31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Shun Ke Long Holdings (0974) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.15 versus a price of HK$0.7900, about +172% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0974?
Our model-based fair value for China Shun Ke Long Holdings is HK$2.15 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.7900.
What is the quality score of 0974?
China Shun Ke Long Holdings has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Shun Ke Long Holdings (0974)?
China Shun Ke Long Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$482M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0974?
The net profit margin of China Shun Ke Long Holdings is about -3.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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