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BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft €2.95, price €2.63, upside +12.5%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · GB · Home Germany · ISIN DE0005194062

BA Some data Sep 24, 2026

BayWa Aktiengesellschaft

0AH7 · LSE

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value €2.95 · Undervalued (+12.5%)
!Quality 40/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€26.85 €2.27 Fair Value €2.95 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.27 – €26.85 · fair‑value band €2.16 – €3.87 · the €2.63 price screens below the €2.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

BayWa provides wholesale, retail, logistics, and support and consultancy services in Germany and internationally. The company's Renewable Energies segment is involved in the planning, managing, and construction of wind farms and solar parks; production of power; and sale of photovoltaic systems and components.

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BayWa provides wholesale, retail, logistics, and support and consultancy services in Germany and internationally. The company's Renewable Energies segment is involved in the planning, managing, and construction of wind farms and solar parks; production of power; and sale of photovoltaic systems and components. Its Energy segment supplies heating oil, fuels, and lubricants; and provides wood pellets and heating solutions, as well as solutions in the fields of electromobility, liquified natural gas, and digital mobility. The Cefetra Group segment trades in grains and oilseeds, starch products, rice and legumes, and organic products. The company's Agri Trade & Service segment supplies seeds, fertilizers, crop protection products, and feedstuffs and products for livestock farming; and collects and markets agricultural products, such as grains, oilseeds, and hops. Its Agricultural Equipment segment sells machinery, equipment, and systems for agriculture, forestry, and the public sector, as well as new and used machinery; and provides maintenance and repair service, including spare parts. The Global Produce segment sells dessert pome fruits for the food retail sector. The company's Building Materials segment trades in building materials for construction companies, trades, commercial enterprises, and municipalities, as well as private developers and homeowners. Its Innovation & Digitalisation segment develops and markets NEXT Farming PRO and NEXT Farming LIVE software solutions, as well as offers hardware components. BayWa was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.

Stock analysis

BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7) currently trades at €2.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.95, implying the stock looks roughly 11.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 8 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Scenario range: €2.16 (bear) to €3.87 (bull), the price of €2.63 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

BayWa Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €21.2B in FY2024 versus €16.5B in FY2020, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.2B in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap €94.8M · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) €2.81 · Net margin −5.5% · Return on equity −467% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin −3.7% · Revenue (TTM) €19.7B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 13%, 0AH7 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €2.16 Fair Value €2.95 Bull €3.87
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.81 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €145.01 €194.65 €251.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF €97.53 €144.80 €198.24 73
Gordon GGM €4.01 €6.71 €8.71 68
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €4.01 €6.71 €8.71 68
DDM Multi-Stage €4.01 €5.69 €7.13 67
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €145.01 €194.65 €251.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF €97.53 €144.80 €198.24 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.1% (2019) → −4.9% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 360 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +31.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −3.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −3.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 53.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 20.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $55.36 $78.34 +42%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BayWa Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0AH7

Frequently asked questions

Is BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.95 versus a price of €2.63, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0AH7?
Our model-based fair value for BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is €2.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.63.
What is the quality score of 0AH7?
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.16, optimistic scenario €3.87. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BayWa Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.95, about +13% upside versus a price of €2.63 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €2.16, optimistic scenario €3.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BayWa Aktiengesellschaft it is €2.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €2.63. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is BayWa Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0AH7 trades below its calculated fair value: price €2.63, fair value €2.95, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0AH7?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.95). For BayWa Aktiengesellschaft the two are €0.3280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BayWa Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values BayWa Aktiengesellschaft at about €94.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €2.63; our models calculate a fair value of €2.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0AH7?
Our models span a range for BayWa Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €2.16, base €2.95, optimistic €3.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €2.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0AH7?
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.95 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
Balance-sheet figures for BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −466.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0AH7 from its 52-week high?
BayWa Aktiengesellschaft trades at €2.63, about 65% below its 52-week high of €7.60 and 16% above the low of €2.27 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BayWa Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BayWa Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €2.63, calculated fair value €2.95 (+13%), Quality Score 40/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0AH7 calculated?
We run BayWa Aktiengesellschaft through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. BayWa Aktiengesellschaft currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €2.63. Our model-based fair value is €2.95, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BayWa Aktiengesellschaft right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft

How large is the market capitalisation of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
The market capitalisation of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is €94.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
Earnings per share at BayWa Aktiengesellschaft are €2.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
The net margin of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is −5.5% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is −467% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
The operating margin of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
Revenue at BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is growing +53.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7)?
Earnings per share at BayWa Aktiengesellschaft are growing +474% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7) generate?
The free cash flow of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is €340M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does BayWa Aktiengesellschaft (0AH7) carry?
The net debt of BayWa Aktiengesellschaft is €5.4B (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 16.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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