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Kingdom Holding (4280) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SA · Market cap 44.9B SAR

KH Kingdom Holding 4280 · SR
Price12.15 SAR
Fair Value9.83 SAR
Upside-19.1%
Quality63/100
Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 78.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.69% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
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Evidence: High Range 7.37 SAR – 12.29 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price +4.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

15.03 SAR 6.73 SAR Fair Value 9.83 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 6.73 SAR – 15.03 SAR · fair‑value band 7.37 SAR – 12.29 SAR · the 12.15 SAR price screens above the 9.83 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Kingdom Holding (4280) currently trades at 12.15 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.83 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 19.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kingdom Holding generated revenue of 2.5B SAR at a net margin of 78.5%. Revenue declined 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at 10.0B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 7.37 SAR (bear case) to 12.29 SAR (bull case); at 12.15 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -19%, 4280 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.7%
Net margin 78.5%
Return on equity 3.9%
Free cash flow 550M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 22.8
More key figures
Operating margin 34.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.5300 SAR
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -37.7%
Net debt 10.0B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100
Profitability 33
Quality Growth 65
Cashflow 55
Fin. Strength 48
Investment 19
Low Volatility 78
Momentum 88
52W Momentum 81
Net Issuance 84

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kingdom Holding Company is a public equity firm specializing in making investments in equities, private investments, real estate and hospitality assets, supported by robust risk management, governance, banking and financial services, luxury hotels and hotel management, AI, digital services, e-commerce, investment funds, aviation, hotel, ride sharing, media …

Full company description

Kingdom Holding Company is a public equity firm specializing in making investments in equities, private investments, real estate and hospitality assets, supported by robust risk management, governance, banking and financial services, luxury hotels and hotel management, AI, digital services, e-commerce, investment funds, aviation, hotel, ride sharing, media and publishing, entertainment, healthcare including healthcare provision and healthcare management and consultancy, education, energy, manufacturing, consumer and retail, agriculture, social media, technology and industrial sectors. The firm seeks to invest primarily in Saudi Arabia and developing markets within the Middle East and Africa but also invests internationally including the United States. Kingdom Holding Company was founded in 1980 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kingdom Holding reported revenue of 2.6B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.5B SAR in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +20.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +14.9%/yr
FY21 1.5B SAR
FY22 2.5B SAR
FY23 2.7B SAR
FY24 2.4B SAR
FY25 2.6B SAR
Net income +20.5%/yr
FY21 1.0B SAR
FY22 7.0B SAR
FY23 1.0B SAR
FY24 1.2B SAR
FY25 2.1B SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingdom Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4280

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 / 16
FUTURE 0 / 16
PAST 16 / 19
HEALTH 90 / 89
DIVIDEND 34 / 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kingdom Holding (4280) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.83 SAR versus a price of 12.15 SAR, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4280?
Our model-based fair value for Kingdom Holding is 9.83 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 12.15 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4280?
Kingdom Holding has a Quality Score of 63/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Kingdom Holding (4280)?
Kingdom Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 4280?
The net profit margin of Kingdom Holding is about 78.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 78.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kingdom Holding pay a dividend?
Kingdom Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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