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AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of AF Gruppen ASA NOK 235, price NOK 195, upside +20.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
AF Gruppen ASA
0DH7 · LSEUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value kr 234.65 · Undervalued (+20.3%)
✓Quality 62/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +3.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
✓3.3% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 93.58 – kr 200.50 · fair‑value band kr 175.98 – kr 293.31 · the kr 195.00 price screens below the kr 234.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
AF Gruppen ASA, a contracting and industrial company, provides civil engineering, construction, energy and environment, and property and offshore services in Norway and Sweden.
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AF Gruppen ASA, a contracting and industrial company, provides civil engineering, construction, energy and environment, and property and offshore services in Norway and Sweden. It offers civil engineering services, including construction of various projects, such as roads, railways, bridges, port facilities, airports, tunnels, foundation work, renovation and construction of concrete structures, power and energy plants, and onshore facilities for oil and gas; and concrete technology, groundwork and earthmoving, geomatics and surveying, and project support services. The company also operates as a turnkey contractor for the development and planning to buildings comprising residential, commercial, public buildings, and rehabilitation and rebuilding, as well as offers extension work services. In addition, it provides energy solutions, which includes energy performing contracting, technical turnkey contract, local power supply, and technical services and maintenance; and energy solutions for existing and new buildings. Further, the company manages construction and decommissioning projects, including removal and recycling of offshore installations; offers turnkey services in the areas of cooling and ventilation for onshore and offshore installations, rigs, and ships, as well as offshore wind services; and operates as a contractor for demolition and environmental clean-up services for buildings and structures, such as blasting, dredging, handling of contaminated bulk material, and removal of shipwrecks. Additionally, it provides office spaces on rental basis, and sale of homes. AF Gruppen ASA was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
Stock analysis
AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7) currently trades at kr 195.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 234.65, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 357.19 per share, and 14 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 195.00 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at kr 67.49, and 11 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 175.98 (bear) to kr 293.31 (bull), the price of kr 195.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
AF Gruppen ASA reported revenue of 32.0B NOK in FY2025 versus 27.8B NOK in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B NOK in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 21.5B NOK (≈ $2.2B) · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) kr 9.40 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 33.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2% · Operating margin 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 20%, 0DH7 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 175.98
Fair Value kr 234.65
Bull kr 293.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 2.20 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
kr 304.72
kr 460.15
kr 682.74
78
Growth DCF
kr 303.38
kr 445.79
kr 640.26
76
Residual Income
kr 55.80
kr 67.49
kr 107.77
74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
kr 304.72
kr 460.15
kr 682.74
78
5Y Revenue Exit
kr 213.97
kr 308.94
kr 429.28
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
kr 256.37
kr 392.27
kr 553.66
72
5Y P/E Exit
kr 229.51
kr 339.49
kr 457.47
68
10Y Revenue Exit
kr 243.33
kr 337.28
kr 464.72
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
kr 272.28
kr 391.59
kr 555.54
66
10Y P/E Exit
kr 256.30
kr 357.19
kr 485.31
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
kr 75.98
kr 295.86
kr 401.35
64
Lynch FV
kr 72.66
kr 103.80
kr 134.94
61
PEG = 1.0
kr 72.66
kr 103.80
kr 134.94
57
EPV
kr 115.88
kr 128.34
kr 138.74
70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
kr 78.31
kr 141.12
kr 194.27
68
DDM Multi-Stage
kr 78.31
kr 128.91
kr 150.75
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
kr 175.98
kr 234.65
kr 293.31
63
P/S Multiple
kr 142.46
kr 189.95
kr 237.44
58
P/B Multiple
kr 100.06
kr 133.41
kr 166.76
55
EV/EBIT
kr 217.74
kr 282.17
kr 346.61
63
EV/EBITDA
kr 249.11
kr 323.99
kr 398.88
64
EV/Revenue
kr 162.40
kr 221.53
kr 280.66
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
kr 14.82
kr 19.86
kr 29.65
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
kr 303.38
kr 445.79
kr 640.26
76
Rev-Margin DCF
kr 213.97
kr 311.04
kr 430.77
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
kr 55.80
kr 67.49
kr 107.77
74
ROIC Compounder
kr 117.56
kr 132.08
kr 145.33
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
kr 130.23
kr 186.04
kr 241.85
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
62/100
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Profitability
63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
70
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.0% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
’14
’15
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’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +1.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.4% vs 3.1%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 52% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Norway: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.1% a year for the price.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 234.65 versus a price of kr 195.00, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0DH7?
Our model-based fair value for AF Gruppen ASA is kr 234.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 195.00.
What is the quality score of 0DH7?
AF Gruppen ASA has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 234.65 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 175.98, optimistic scenario kr 293.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AF Gruppen ASA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 234.65, about +20% upside versus a price of kr 195.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 175.98, optimistic scenario kr 293.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
AF Gruppen ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.8B NOK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does AF Gruppen ASA pay a dividend?
AF Gruppen ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AF Gruppen ASA would have to grow free cash flow by -7.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0DH7 use?
Our models discount AF Gruppen ASA at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AF Gruppen ASA that is -7.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AF Gruppen ASA grew +3.5 % a year. The price currently implies -7.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AF Gruppen ASA (-7.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.77 %: that much free cash flow AF Gruppen ASA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AF Gruppen ASA it is kr 234.65 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 195.00. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AF Gruppen ASA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0DH7 trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 195.00, fair value kr 234.65, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0DH7?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 195.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 234.65). For AF Gruppen ASA the two are kr 39.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AF Gruppen ASA worth?
The market values AF Gruppen ASA at about 21.5B NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 195.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 234.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0DH7?
Our models span a range for AF Gruppen ASA: cautious scenario kr 175.98, base kr 234.65, optimistic kr 293.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 195.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0DH7 from its 52-week high?
AF Gruppen ASA trades at kr 195.00, about 3% below its 52-week high of kr 200.50 and 24% above the low of kr 156.65 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 234.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AF Gruppen ASA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AF Gruppen ASA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 195.00, calculated fair value kr 234.65 (+20%), Quality Score 62/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0DH7 calculated?
We run AF Gruppen ASA through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 234.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AF Gruppen ASA currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 195.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 234.65, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AF Gruppen ASA right now?
Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7) come from?
Earnings per share at AF Gruppen ASA grew +0.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.6 %, EBIT margin −6.9 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of AF Gruppen ASA
How large is the market capitalisation of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
The market capitalisation of AF Gruppen ASA is 21.5B NOK (≈ $2.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AF Gruppen ASA is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
Earnings per share at AF Gruppen ASA are kr 9.40. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
The dividend yield of AF Gruppen ASA is 3.3% (payout 69.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
The net margin of AF Gruppen ASA is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AF Gruppen ASA is 33.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AF Gruppen ASA is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
The operating margin of AF Gruppen ASA is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
Revenue at AF Gruppen ASA is growing +11.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7)?
Earnings per share at AF Gruppen ASA are growing +44.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7) carry?
The net debt of AF Gruppen ASA is 219M NOK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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