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Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Cboe Global Markets Inc. $217, price $275, upside -21.3%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · GB · Home US

CG Some data Sep 24, 2026

Cboe Global Markets Inc.

0HQN · LSE

Great Company, Expensive PriceHigh Quality, but the stock trades above estimated Fair Value.

!Fair value $216.85 · Overvalued (−21.3%)
✓Quality 77/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 25.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.0% dividend yield · Well covered
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
✓Wide moat 84/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $129.40 to $398.86
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$368.55 $74.62 Fair Value $216.85 Jan 2018 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $74.62 – $368.55 · fair‑value band $129.40 – $398.86 · the $275.39 price screens above the $216.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Cboe Global Markets, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a derivatives and securities exchange network that delivers cutting-edge trading, clearing, and investment solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Options, North American Equities, Europe and Asia Pacific, Futures, and Global FX.

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Cboe Global Markets, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a derivatives and securities exchange network that delivers cutting-edge trading, clearing, and investment solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Options, North American Equities, Europe and Asia Pacific, Futures, and Global FX. The Options segment includes options on market indices, as well as on the stocks of individual corporations and on trading solutions and products in multiple asset classes, including equities, derivatives, and FX, across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific (ETPs), such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and exchange-traded notes (ETNs); and trading in listed options through a single system. The North American Equities segment comprising U.S. equities and ETP transaction services. This segment also includes listing services on Cboe Canada, ETP listings on BZX, the Cboe Global Markets, Inc. common stock listing, and applicable market data. The Europe and Asia Pacific segment provides pan-European derivatives transaction services, ETPs, including exchange traded funds, exchange traded notes, and exchange traded commodities, and international depository receipts; and ETP listings business on regulated markets and clearing activities, as well as the equities services. The Futures segment offers transaction services, which includes trading of VIX futures and other futures products, the licensing of proprietary market data, as well as access and capacity services. The Global FX segment provides institutional foreign exchange (FX) trading and non-deliverable forward FX transactions services. It has strategic relationships with S&P Dow Jones Indices, LLC; Frank Russell Company; and FTSE International Limited. The company was formerly known as CBOE Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Cboe Global Markets, Inc. in October 2017. Cboe Global Markets, Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Stock analysis

Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN) currently trades at $275.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $216.85, 21.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $209.57 per share, and 3 of the 11 models we run sit above the $275.39 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $30.68, and 8 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $129.40 (bear) to $398.86 (bull), the price of $275.39 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Cboe Global Markets Inc. reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $3.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +19.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $28.9B · P/E ratio 0.6 · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) $4.67 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 23.2% · Return on equity 25.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −33% fair-value upside, at −21%, 0HQN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $129.40 Fair Value $216.85 Bull $398.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.42 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $147.31 $279.09 $477.48 76
Owner Earnings $150.48 $288.77 $542.78 73
Residual Income $60.53 $82.92 $151.86 72
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $150.48 $288.77 $542.78 73
5Y P/E Exit $114.78 $199.89 $301.50 69
10Y P/E Exit $125.73 $209.57 $336.57 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $66.35 $382.39 $531.87 63
Lynch FV $107.85 $154.07 $200.29 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $95.13 $126.85 $158.56 63
P/B Multiple $48.08 $64.11 $80.14 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.90 $30.68 $45.80 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $147.31 $279.09 $477.48 76
Rev-Margin DCF $93.96 $152.89 $234.64 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $60.53 $82.92 $151.86 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.2% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+19.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.7% vs 18.4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 32%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−7.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.8% a year for the price and −9.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−39.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.7%

0HQN screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with S&P Global Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 52 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −22.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 25.1% · Above median
Return on assets 10.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 25.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 39.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.25× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)33 · sector 66
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 79
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)20 · sector 36

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ $91.85 $41.61 −55%
MSCI Inc MSCI $539.76 $262.25 −51%
Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 ¥204.10 ¥135.82 −33%
Singapore Exchange Limited S68 22.40 SGD 10.44 SGD −53%

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Cboe Global Markets Inc. · Fair Value
$216.85 −21%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cboe Global Markets Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0HQN

Frequently asked questions

Is Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $216.85 versus a price of $275.39, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0HQN?
Our model-based fair value for Cboe Global Markets Inc. is $216.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $275.39.
What is the quality score of 0HQN?
Cboe Global Markets Inc. has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $216.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $129.40, optimistic scenario $398.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cboe Global Markets Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $216.85, about −21% upside versus a price of $275.39 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $129.40, optimistic scenario $398.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
Cboe Global Markets Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Cboe Global Markets Inc. pay a dividend?
Cboe Global Markets Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cboe Global Markets Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +16.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0HQN use?
Our models discount Cboe Global Markets Inc. at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cboe Global Markets Inc. that is +16.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cboe Global Markets Inc. grew +6.6 % a year. The price currently implies +16.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cboe Global Markets Inc. (+16.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.01 %: that much free cash flow Cboe Global Markets Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cboe Global Markets Inc. it is $216.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $275.39. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cboe Global Markets Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0HQN trades above its calculated fair value: price $275.39, fair value $216.85, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0HQN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($275.39); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($216.85). For Cboe Global Markets Inc. the two are $58.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cboe Global Markets Inc. worth?
The market values Cboe Global Markets Inc. at about $28.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $275.39; our models calculate a fair value of $216.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0HQN?
Our models span a range for Cboe Global Markets Inc.: cautious scenario $129.40, base $216.85, optimistic $398.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $275.39). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0HQN?
Cboe Global Markets Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $216.85 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cboe Global Markets Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 25.1%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0HQN from its 52-week high?
Cboe Global Markets Inc. trades at $275.39, about 25% below its 52-week high of $368.55 and 18% above the low of $232.43 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $216.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cboe Global Markets Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value S&P Global Inc, CME Group, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc, Moody's Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cboe Global Markets Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $275.39, calculated fair value $216.85 (−21%), Quality Score 77/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0HQN calculated?
We run Cboe Global Markets Inc. through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $216.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Cboe Global Markets Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $275.39. Our model-based fair value is $216.85, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cboe Global Markets Inc. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The model range is unusually wide ($129.40 to $398.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN) come from?
Earnings per share at Cboe Global Markets Inc. grew +15.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +23.3 %, EBIT margin −1.9 %, tax rate +2.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Cboe Global Markets Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
The market capitalisation of Cboe Global Markets Inc. is $28.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cboe Global Markets Inc. is 0.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
Earnings per share at Cboe Global Markets Inc. are $4.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
The dividend yield of Cboe Global Markets Inc. is 1.0% (payout 59.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
The net margin of Cboe Global Markets Inc. is 23.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cboe Global Markets Inc. is 25.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cboe Global Markets Inc. is 14.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
The operating margin of Cboe Global Markets Inc. is 39.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
Revenue at Cboe Global Markets Inc. is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN)?
Earnings per share at Cboe Global Markets Inc. are growing +54.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Cboe Global Markets Inc. (0HQN) hold?
Cboe Global Markets Inc. holds more cash than debt, $505M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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