MSCI Inc (MSCI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MSCI Inc stock $261, price $674, that is 61.2% below the price, quality 79 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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MSCI Inc
MSCI · USOur calculation puts a fair price 61% below what the stock costs today.
Risks from the AI analysis
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $359.25 – $674.30 · fair‑value band $161.24 – $421.32 · the $674.30 price screens above the $261.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Company profile
MSCI Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides research-based data, analytics, and indexes, supported by advanced technology worldwide.
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The Index segment provides indexes for use in various areas of the investment process, including indexed financial products, such as ETFs, mutual funds, annuities, futures, options, structured products, and over-the-counter derivatives; performance benchmarking; portfolio construction and rebalancing; and asset allocation, as well as licenses GICS and GICS Direct.
The Analytics segment offers risk management, performance attribution and portfolio management content, application, an integrated view of risk and return service, and an analysis of market, credit, liquidity, counterparty, and climate risk across asset classes; managed services, including consolidation of client portfolio data, review and reconciliation of input data and results, and customized reporting; and HedgePlatform to measure, evaluate, and monitor the risk of hedge fund investments.
The Sustainability and Climate segment provides products and services that help institutional investors understand how ESG impacts the long-term risk and return of their portfolio and individual security-level investments; and data, ratings, research, and tools to assist investors navigate increasing regulation.
The All Other " Private Assets segment comprises private credit, real estate and infrastructure data, benchmarks, return-analytics, climate assessments and market insights; business intelligence to real estate owners, managers, developers, and brokers; and offers investment decision support tools for private capital.
The Private Capital Solutions segment offers tools to help private asset investors across mission-critical workflows, such as sourcing terms and conditions, evaluating operating performance, managing risk and other activities supporting private capital investment.
MSCI Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
MSCI Inc (MSCI) currently trades at $674.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $261.33, 61% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $261.33 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $674.30 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $112.01, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $161.24 (bear) to $421.32 (bull), the price of $674.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
MSCI Inc reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $2.0B in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $49.3B Large · P/E ratio 34.8 · P/S ratio 14.4 · EPS (TTM) $19.40 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 40.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.4% · Operating margin 56.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 94 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −61%, MSCI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 10 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $3.2M, most recently on Sep 2, 2026. Over the same period, 2 people sold shares worth $2.0M. Buying cluster
- SaleRobert J. GutowskiGeneral Counsel2× since Nov 24, 2025: 3,005 shares, avg. $610.11$1.8MOct 22, 2026
- SaleAndrew C. WiechmannChief Financial Officer4× since Dec 11, 2025: 1,800 shares, avg. $571.14$1.0MOct 12, 202610b5-1 plan
- BuyRajat TanejaDirector1,786 shares at $560.00$1.0MSep 2, 2026
- BuyHenry A FernandezChairman and CEO, Director3× since Dec 5, 2025: 23,300 shares, avg. $536.98$12.5MMay 15, 2026
- SaleAlvise J. MunariChief Product Officer10,000 shares at $592.04$5.9MApr 24, 2026
- BuyRobert G. AsheDirector3,681 shares at $543.21$2.0MFeb 18, 2026
Plus 7 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 4, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
MSCI screens overvalued: fair value 61% below the price. Compare with S&P Global Inc →
Earlier news
- Polen Focus Growth Strategy Exits MSCI Inc. (MSCI) to Fund Meta Platforms Position
- ‘They are trying to intimidate us’: Indonesia’s Prabowo remains defiant in the face of an MSCI double downgrade
- MSCI (MSCI) Stock Gains Ground As Q3 Earnings Showcase Pricing Power
- Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: Accenture, Hasbro and MSCI
Compare MSCI Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 49 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Dividend yield by industry
- EV/EBITDA by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coinbase Global, Inc COIN | $151.50 | $184.32 | +22% | vs MSCI |
| Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited 0388 | HK$394.60 | HK$306.61 | −22% | vs MSCI |
| Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE | $345.21 | $247.78 | −28% | vs MSCI |
| Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE | $174.92 | $122.85 | −30% | vs MSCI |
| Deutsche Börse AG DB1 | €327.50 | €229.53 | −30% | vs MSCI |
| CME Group CME | $308.27 | $200.80 | −35% | vs MSCI |
| Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 | ¥209.10 | ¥113.78 | −46% | vs MSCI |
| S&P Global Inc SPGI | $481.69 | $207.66 | −57% | vs MSCI |
| Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ | $109.70 | $41.61 | −62% | vs MSCI |
| Moody's Corporation MCO | $528.34 | $198.89 | −62% | vs MSCI |
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Key figures of MSCI Inc
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