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Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Duke Energy Corp. $75.11, price $114, upside -34.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · GB · Home US

DE Some data Sep 24, 2026

Duke Energy Corp.

0ID1 · LSE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $75.11 · Overvalued (−34.2%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.7% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!3.7% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$133.59 $76.24 Fair Value $75.11 Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $76.24 – $133.59 · fair‑value band $56.27 – $116.31 · the $114.11 price screens above the $75.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Duke Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I); and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I).

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Duke Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I); and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I). The EU&I segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to customers in the Southeast and Midwest regions. It generates electricity through coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel. This segment also engages in the wholesale of electricity to municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and other load-serving entities. The GU&I segment distributes natural gas to customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation natural gas sectors; and invests in pipeline transmission projects, renewable natural gas projects, and natural gas storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Duke Energy Holding Corp. and changed its name to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2006. Duke Energy Corporation was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Stock analysis

Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1) currently trades at $114.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $75.11, 34.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $113.05 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the $114.11 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $37.30, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $56.27 (bear) to $116.31 (bull), the price of $114.11 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Duke Energy Corp. reported revenue of $32.2B in FY2025 versus $24.6B in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $5.0B in FY2025, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $88.7B · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.04 · EPS (TTM) $4.76 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 15.4% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −34%, 0ID1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $56.27 Fair Value $75.11 Bull $116.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3947 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $62.80 $68.70 $80.82 76
EPV $21.76 $37.30 $50.71 71
ROIC Compounder $21.76 $37.30 $50.71 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $47.39 $113.52 $146.48 65
PEG = 1.0 $19.90 $28.43 $36.96 57
EPV $21.76 $37.30 $50.71 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $40.66 $69.62 $103.80 67
DDM Multi-Stage $40.66 $59.62 $79.61 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $94.08 $125.44 $156.80 63
P/S Multiple $84.79 $113.05 $141.32 58
P/B Multiple $88.85 $118.47 $148.09 55
EV/EBIT $58.67 $103.79 $148.91 64
EV/EBITDA $80.09 $132.35 $184.60 65
EV/Revenue $2.46 $36.37 $70.29 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $36.36 $48.72 $72.72 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $62.80 $68.70 $80.82 76
ROIC Compounder $21.76 $37.30 $50.71 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $72.45 $103.50 $134.55 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.7% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +11.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.7% vs 5.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 27%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 74% above its own trend.

0ID1 screens overvalued: fair value 34% below the price. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −34.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.7% · Below median
Return on assets 2.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 15.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.06× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)57 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)39 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)47 · sector 52
DIVIDEND (yield)74 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $75.74 $29.97 −60%
The Southern Company SO $82.89 $57.57 −31%
American Electric Power Company AEP $118.64 $100.03 −16%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $60.76 $37.84 −38%
Entergy Corporation ETR $98.10 $37.37 −62%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $69.39 $54.92 −21%
Exelon Corporation EXC $40.32 $36.01 −11%
Consolidated Edison, Inc ED $103.33 $47.76 −54%
PG&E Corporation PCG $12.34 $17.85 +45%
Public Service Enterprise Group PEG $67.89 $33.50 −51%

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Duke Energy Corp. · Fair Value
$75.11 −34%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Duke Energy Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0ID1

Frequently asked questions

Is Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $75.11 versus a price of $114.11, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0ID1?
Our model-based fair value for Duke Energy Corp. is $75.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $114.11.
What is the quality score of 0ID1?
Duke Energy Corp. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $75.11 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $56.27, optimistic scenario $116.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Duke Energy Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $75.11, about −34% upside versus a price of $114.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $56.27, optimistic scenario $116.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
Duke Energy Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $32.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Duke Energy Corp. pay a dividend?
Duke Energy Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Duke Energy Corp. it is $75.11 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $114.11. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Duke Energy Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0ID1 trades above its calculated fair value: price $114.11, fair value $75.11, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0ID1?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($114.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($75.11). For Duke Energy Corp. the two are $39.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Duke Energy Corp. worth?
The market values Duke Energy Corp. at about $88.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $114.11; our models calculate a fair value of $75.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0ID1?
Our models span a range for Duke Energy Corp.: cautious scenario $56.27, base $75.11, optimistic $116.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $114.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0ID1?
Duke Energy Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $75.11 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Duke Energy Corp. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 1.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0ID1 from its 52-week high?
Duke Energy Corp. trades at $114.11, about 15% below its 52-week high of $133.59 and 1% above the low of $113.18 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $75.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Duke Energy Corp.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, American Electric Power Company, Dominion Energy, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Duke Energy Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $114.11, calculated fair value $75.11 (−34%), Quality Score 49/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0ID1 calculated?
We run Duke Energy Corp. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $75.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Duke Energy Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $114.11. Our model-based fair value is $75.11, about −34% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Duke Energy Corp. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($56.27 to $116.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1) come from?
Earnings per share at Duke Energy Corp. grew +3.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.3 %, EBIT margin +1.1 %, tax rate +2.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Duke Energy Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
The market capitalisation of Duke Energy Corp. is $88.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Duke Energy Corp. is 0.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
Earnings per share at Duke Energy Corp. are $4.76 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
The dividend yield of Duke Energy Corp. is 3.7% (payout 89.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
The net margin of Duke Energy Corp. is 15.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Duke Energy Corp. is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Duke Energy Corp. is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
The operating margin of Duke Energy Corp. is 25.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
Revenue at Duke Energy Corp. is growing +11.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1)?
Earnings per share at Duke Energy Corp. are growing +12.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1) generate?
The free cash flow of Duke Energy Corp. is −$1.7B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Duke Energy Corp. (0ID1) carry?
The net debt of Duke Energy Corp. is $91.7B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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