Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Medical Properties Trust Inc. $7.07, price $3.31, upside +113.6%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.43 – $16.02 · fair‑value band $2.46 – $7.86 · the $3.31 price screens below the $7.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Medical Properties Trust, Inc. is a self-advised real estate investment trust to acquire and develop net-leased hospital facilities.
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Medical Properties Trust, Inc. is a self-advised real estate investment trust to acquire and develop net-leased hospital facilities. From its inception in Birmingham, Alabama, the Company has grown to become one of the world's largest owners of hospital real estate with 388 facilities and approximately 39,000 licensed beds in nine countries and across three continents as of September 30, 2025. MPT's financing model facilitates acquisitions and recapitalizations and allows operators of hospitals to unlock the value of their real estate assets to fund facility improvements, technology upgrades and other investments in operations. Medical Properties Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2003.
Stock analysis
Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ) currently trades at $3.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.07, implying the stock looks roughly 53.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $7.83 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the $3.31 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $2.87, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.46 (bear) to $7.86 (bull), the price of $3.31 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Medical Properties Trust Inc. reported revenue of $972M in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$277M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) $1.89 · Dividend yield 10.3% · Net margin −28.5% · Return on equity −2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin 58.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 114%, 0JZZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.46Fair Value $7.07Bull $7.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.17 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
66.3% (2020) → 55.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.9% a year for the price and +2.1% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Healthcare Facilities · 25 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Medical Properties Trust Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0JZZ
Frequently asked questions
Is Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.07 versus a price of $3.31, about +114% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0JZZ?
Our model-based fair value for Medical Properties Trust Inc. is $7.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.31.
What is the quality score of 0JZZ?
Medical Properties Trust Inc. has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.46, optimistic scenario $7.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Medical Properties Trust Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.07, about +114% upside versus a price of $3.31 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.46, optimistic scenario $7.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
Medical Properties Trust Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Medical Properties Trust Inc. pay a dividend?
Medical Properties Trust Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Medical Properties Trust Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +35.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0JZZ use?
Our models discount Medical Properties Trust Inc. at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 1.46, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Medical Properties Trust Inc. that is +35.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Medical Properties Trust Inc. grew -4.9 % a year. The price currently implies +35.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Medical Properties Trust Inc. (+35.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.76 %: that much free cash flow Medical Properties Trust Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Medical Properties Trust Inc. it is $7.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.31. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Medical Properties Trust Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0JZZ trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.31, fair value $7.07, a gap of about +114% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0JZZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.07). For Medical Properties Trust Inc. the two are $3.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Medical Properties Trust Inc. worth?
The market values Medical Properties Trust Inc. at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.31; our models calculate a fair value of $7.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0JZZ?
Our models span a range for Medical Properties Trust Inc.: cautious scenario $2.46, base $7.07, optimistic $7.86 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0JZZ?
Medical Properties Trust Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $7.07 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 13.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Medical Properties Trust Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.7%, debt of 2.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0JZZ from its 52-week high?
Medical Properties Trust Inc. trades at $3.31, about 43% below its 52-week high of $5.76 and at the low of $3.31 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Medical Properties Trust Inc.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Welltower Inc, Ventas, Inc, Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc, Healthpeak Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Medical Properties Trust Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.31, calculated fair value $7.07 (+114%), Quality Score 56/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0JZZ calculated?
We run Medical Properties Trust Inc. through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $7.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Medical Properties Trust Inc. currently trades 53 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $3.31. Our model-based fair value is $7.07, about +114% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Medical Properties Trust Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($2.46 to $7.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Medical Properties Trust Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
The market capitalisation of Medical Properties Trust Inc. is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
Earnings per share at Medical Properties Trust Inc. are $1.89 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
The dividend yield of Medical Properties Trust Inc. is 10.3% (payout 18.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
The net margin of Medical Properties Trust Inc. is −28.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Medical Properties Trust Inc. is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Medical Properties Trust Inc. is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
The operating margin of Medical Properties Trust Inc. is 58.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
Revenue at Medical Properties Trust Inc. is growing +12.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ)?
Earnings per share at Medical Properties Trust Inc. are growing −48.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Medical Properties Trust Inc. (0JZZ) carry?
The net debt of Medical Properties Trust Inc. is $9.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 40.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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