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Engie SA (0LD0) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Engie SA €5.64, price €22.76, upside -75.2%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · GB · Home France · ISIN FR0010208488

ES Broad data Oct 3, 2026

Engie SA

0LD0 · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €5.64 · Strongly overvalued (−75.2%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
·5.9% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Narrow moat 40/100

What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

€28.64 €7.23 Fair Value €5.64 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €7.23 – €28.64 · fair‑value band €5.64 – €10.14 · the €22.76 price screens above the €5.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Engie SA engages in renewables and decentralized and low-carbon energy networks in France, Europe, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Oceania, South America, Africa, and internationally.

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Engie SA engages in renewables and decentralized and low-carbon energy networks in France, Europe, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Oceania, South America, Africa, and internationally. The Renewables & Flex Power segment comprises renewable energy generation activities, including financing, construction, operation, and maintenance of renewable energy, such as hydroelectric, onshore wind, photovoltaic solar, biomass, offshore wind, geothermal, and battery storage. It also offers flexible thermal generation and electricity, pumping, and battery storage facilities; solutions for decarbonizing industry with low-carbon hydrogen; and operation of desalination plants. The Networks segment comprises the gas and power infrastructure activities, including the management and development of gas and electricity transportation networks and natural gas distribution networks in and outside of Europe, natural gas underground storage, and regasification infrastructure. The Local Energy Infrastructures provides the construction and management of decentralized energy networks, including heating and cooling networks, distributed power generation plants, distributed solar power parks, low-carbon mobility, low-carbon cities and public lighting, energy efficiency, technical maintenance, and sustainable development consulting. The Supply & Energy Management segment optimizes the Group's energy assets, manages market and portfolio risks, and supplies natural gas, green and low-carbon gas, and electricity to residential, business, industrial customers, develops green energy contracts, and digital consumption management. The Other segment manages nuclear power production and holds drawing rights, focusing on operational management, safety, and decommissioning. It offers renewable electricity, green gas, energy management. The company was formerly known as GDF SUEZ S.A. and changed its name to Engie SA in April 2015. Engie SA was founded in 1880 and is based in La Garenne-Colombes, France.

Stock analysis

Engie SA (0LD0) currently trades at €22.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.64, 75.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €40.05 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the €22.76 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €4.63, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €5.64 (bear) to €10.14 (bull), the price of €22.76 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Engie SA reported revenue of €55.8B in FY2020 versus €64.8B in FY2016, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.5B in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap €34.4B · P/S ratio 0.48 · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin −2.8% · Return on equity 11.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin 10.5% · Revenue (TTM) €71.9B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −75%, 0LD0 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €5.64 Fair Value €5.64 Bull €10.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €45.15 €66.85 €107.04 75
Growth DCF €47.72 €68.78 €104.81 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €27.00 €40.05 €57.36 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €45.15 €66.85 €107.04 75
5Y Revenue Exit €16.21 €21.37 €28.72 70
5Y EBITDA Exit €27.00 €40.05 €57.36 72
10Y Revenue Exit €26.91 €31.78 €36.33 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €33.70 €43.33 €53.14 67
Earnings-Based
EPV n/a n/a €0.9400 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €16.21 €17.74 €20.08 67
DDM Multi-Stage €16.21 €20.34 €26.12 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.9400 €4.63 €8.32 59
EV/EBITDA €19.98 €30.02 €40.05 66
EV/Revenue n/a €2.66 €6.50 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.59 €12.85 €19.17 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €47.72 €68.78 €104.81 74
Rev-Margin DCF €16.21 €22.66 €31.31 70
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder n/a n/a €0.9400 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.3% (2016) → 2.7% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0LD0 screens overvalued: fair value 75% below the price. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.73 €9.92 −52%
Enel SpA ENEL €8.67 €3.30 −62%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €59.10 €43.37 −27%
Sempra SRE $78.05 $43.34 −44%
E.ON SE EOAN €17.02 €8.95 −47%
ACWA Power Company 2082 171.00 SAR 27.47 SAR −84%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIP $35.79 $18.02 −50%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €68.00 €21.11 −69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.84 €3.81 −21%
Origin Energy Limited ORG A$10.84 A$11.45 +6%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Engie SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0LD0

Frequently asked questions

Is Engie SA (0LD0) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.64 versus a price of €22.76, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0LD0?
Our model-based fair value for Engie SA is €5.64 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €22.76.
What is the quality score of 0LD0?
Engie SA has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Engie SA (0LD0)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.64 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.64, optimistic scenario €10.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Engie SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.64, about −75% upside versus a price of €22.76 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €5.64, optimistic scenario €10.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Engie SA (0LD0)?
Engie SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €71.9B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Engie SA pay a dividend?
Engie SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.93% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Engie SA (0LD0)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Engie SA it is €5.64 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €22.76. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Engie SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0LD0 trades above its calculated fair value: price €22.76, fair value €5.64, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0LD0?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€22.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.64). For Engie SA the two are €17.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Engie SA worth?
The market values Engie SA at about €34.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €22.76; our models calculate a fair value of €5.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0LD0?
Our models span a range for Engie SA: cautious scenario €5.64, base €5.64, optimistic €10.14 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €22.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0LD0 from its 52-week high?
Engie SA trades at €22.76, about 21% below its 52-week high of €28.64 and 29% above the low of €17.63 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Engie SA?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Iberdrola, S.A, Enel SpA, RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and, Sempra, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Engie SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €22.76, calculated fair value €5.64 (−75%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0LD0 calculated?
We run Engie SA through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.64, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Engie SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Engie SA (0LD0)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €22.76. Our model-based fair value is €5.64, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Engie SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€10.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Engie SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Engie SA (0LD0)?
The market capitalisation of Engie SA is €34.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Engie SA (0LD0)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Engie SA is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Engie SA (0LD0)?
The dividend yield of Engie SA is 5.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Engie SA (0LD0)?
The net margin of Engie SA is −2.8% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Engie SA (0LD0)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Engie SA is 11.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Engie SA (0LD0)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Engie SA is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Engie SA (0LD0)?
The operating margin of Engie SA is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Engie SA (0LD0)?
Revenue at Engie SA is growing −6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Engie SA (0LD0)?
Earnings per share at Engie SA are growing −59.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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