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Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv €2.00, price €12.49, upside -84.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GB · ISIN NL0000337319

KB Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Koninklijke BAM Groep nv

0LNQ · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €2.00 · Strongly overvalued (−84.0%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +1.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.0% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
·12.9% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€13.04 €1.54 Fair Value €2.00 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.54 – €13.04 · fair‑value band €1.86 – €2.22 · the €12.49 price screens above the €2.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, together with its subsidiaries, provides products and services in the construction and property and civil engineering sectors in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Germany, Belgium, and internationally.

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Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, together with its subsidiaries, provides products and services in the construction and property and civil engineering sectors in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Germany, Belgium, and internationally. The company designs, builds, and maintains sustainable buildings, homes, and infrastructure for public and private clients. It is also involved in the development and construction of property; and operation of maintenance and service contracts. Koninklijke BAM Groep nv was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Bunnik, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, (0LNQ) currently trades at €12.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.00, 84.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €5.43 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the €12.49 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.26, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €1.86 (bear) to €2.22 (bull), the price of €12.49 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, reported revenue of €6.8B in FY2020 versus €7.0B in FY2016, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€122M in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap €900M · P/S ratio 0.13 · Dividend yield 12.9% · Net margin −1.8% · Return on equity 22.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.2% · Operating margin 3.5% · Revenue (TTM) €7.0B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −84%, 0LNQ screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.86 Fair Value €2.00 Bull €2.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €2.10 €2.26 €2.51 67
DDM Multi-Stage €2.10 €2.50 €3.01 65
NCAV (Graham) €4.05 €5.43 €8.10 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.10 €2.26 €2.51 67
DDM Multi-Stage €2.10 €2.50 €3.01 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €4.05 €5.43 €8.10 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 13
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.5% (2016) → −3.3% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0LNQ screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Vinci SA DG €105.60 €186.22 +76%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €407.40 €203.86 −50%
EMCOR Group EME $769.03 $525.05 −32%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.00 €62.20 −35%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, · Fair Value
€2.00 −84%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0LNQ

Frequently asked questions

Is Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.00 versus a price of €12.49, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0LNQ?
Our model-based fair value for Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is €2.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €12.49.
What is the quality score of 0LNQ?
Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.86, optimistic scenario €2.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.00, about −84% upside versus a price of €12.49 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.86, optimistic scenario €2.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €7.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, pay a dividend?
Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, it is €2.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €12.49. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0LNQ trades above its calculated fair value: price €12.49, fair value €2.00, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0LNQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€12.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.00). For Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, the two are €10.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, worth?
The market values Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, at about €900M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €12.49; our models calculate a fair value of €2.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0LNQ?
Our models span a range for Koninklijke BAM Groep nv,: cautious scenario €1.86, base €2.00, optimistic €2.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €12.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0LNQ from its 52-week high?
Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, trades at €12.49, about 4% below its 52-week high of €13.04 and 75% above the low of €7.13 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Koninklijke BAM Groep nv,?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €12.49, calculated fair value €2.00 (−84%), Quality Score 45/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0LNQ calculated?
We run Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €12.49. Our model-based fair value is €2.00, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv,

How large is the market capitalisation of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
The market capitalisation of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is €900M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
The dividend yield of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is 12.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
The net margin of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is −1.8% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is 22.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is −0.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
The operating margin of Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
Revenue at Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, is growing +7.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (0LNQ)?
Earnings per share at Koninklijke BAM Groep nv, are growing +90.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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