Krones AG (0LQ4) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Krones AG €162, price €105, upside +53.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €63.52 – €140.04 · fair‑value band €123.79 – €201.93 · the €105.40 price screens below the €161.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Krones AG, together with its subsidiaries, plans, develops, manufactures, and sells machines and lines for the fields of process, filling, and packaging technology in Germany, the rest of Europe, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, China, the Americas, and internationally.
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Krones AG, together with its subsidiaries, plans, develops, manufactures, and sells machines and lines for the fields of process, filling, and packaging technology in Germany, the rest of Europe, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, China, the Americas, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Filling and Packaging Technology, Process Technology, and Intralogistics. The Filling and Packaging Technology segment offers machines and systems for producing PET bottles; recycling systems for converting used plastic bottles into food-grade recycled materials. The Process Technology segment supplies machines and lines for producing and processing beer, soft drinks, fruit juices, milk, dairy drinks, and alternative proteins; and provides water treatment solutions and components under the Evoguard and Ampco Pumps brands. The Intralogistics segment is involved in the planning and design of automated warehousing, and order-picking and material flow systems with automated guided vehicle systems and matching software tools. It also provides system and software solutions. The company also offers logistics systems, and custom IT and digitalization solutions that manage and optimize all production processes. It serves beverage producers; and companies from the food, chemical, pharmaceutical, and cosmetic industries. Krones AG was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Neutraubling, Germany.
Stock analysis
Krones AG (0LQ4) currently trades at €105.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €161.59, implying the stock looks roughly 34.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €174.54 per share, and 7 of the 12 models we run sit above the €105.40 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €31.02, and 5 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €123.79 (bear) to €201.93 (bull), the price of €105.40 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Krones AG reported revenue of €3.3B in FY2020 versus €3.4B in FY2016, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was −€79.7M in FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap €2.7B · P/S ratio 0.48 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin −2.4% · Return on equity 13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% · Operating margin 4.2% · Revenue (TTM) €5.7B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 53%, 0LQ4 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €123.79Fair Value €161.59Bull €201.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−16.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
’16
’17
’18
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.7% (2016) → −1.2% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Krones AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0LQ4
Frequently asked questions
Is Krones AG (0LQ4) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €161.59 versus a price of €105.40, about +53% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0LQ4?
Our model-based fair value for Krones AG is €161.59 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €105.40.
What is the quality score of 0LQ4?
Krones AG has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Krones AG (0LQ4)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €161.59 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €123.79, optimistic scenario €201.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Krones AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €161.59, about +53% upside versus a price of €105.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €123.79, optimistic scenario €201.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
Krones AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Krones AG pay a dividend?
Krones AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Krones AG it is €161.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €105.40. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Krones AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0LQ4 trades below its calculated fair value: price €105.40, fair value €161.59, a gap of about +53% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0LQ4?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€105.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€161.59). For Krones AG the two are €56.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Krones AG worth?
The market values Krones AG at about €2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €105.40; our models calculate a fair value of €161.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0LQ4?
Our models span a range for Krones AG: cautious scenario €123.79, base €161.59, optimistic €201.93 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €105.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0LQ4 from its 52-week high?
Krones AG trades at €105.40, about 24% below its 52-week high of €139.06 and 1% above the low of €104.40 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €161.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Krones AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Krones AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €105.40, calculated fair value €161.59 (+53%), Quality Score 59/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0LQ4 calculated?
We run Krones AG through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €161.59, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Krones AG currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €105.40. Our model-based fair value is €161.59, about +53% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Krones AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€123.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Krones AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
The market capitalisation of Krones AG is €2.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Krones AG is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
The dividend yield of Krones AG is 2.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
The net margin of Krones AG is −2.4% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Krones AG is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Krones AG is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Krones AG (0LQ4)?
The operating margin of Krones AG is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Krones AG (0LQ4)?
Revenue at Krones AG is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Krones AG (0LQ4)?
Earnings per share at Krones AG are growing −9.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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