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Forvia SE (0MGR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Forvia SE €25.04, price €8.64, upside +189.9%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GB · Home France · ISIN FR0000121147

FS Some data Sep 23, 2026

Forvia SE

0MGR · LSE

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value €25.04 · Strongly undervalued (+189.9%)
!Quality 34/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −5.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.8% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€42.61 €5.27 Fair Value €25.04 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €5.27 – €42.61 · fair‑value band €18.63 – €30.33 · the €8.64 price screens below the €25.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Forvia SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive technology solutions in France, Germany, other European countries, other Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Seating, Interiors, Clean Mobility, Electronics, Lighting, and Lifecycle Solutions segments.

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Forvia SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automotive technology solutions in France, Germany, other European countries, other Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Seating, Interiors, Clean Mobility, Electronics, Lighting, and Lifecycle Solutions segments. The Seating segment designs and manufactures vehicle seats, seating frames, and adjustment mechanisms. The Interiors segment designs, manufactures, and assembles instrument panels, door panels, and modules. The Clean Mobility segment designs and manufactures exhaust systems, solutions for fuel cell electric vehicles, and aftertreatment solutions for commercial vehicles. The Electronics segment designs and manufactures display technologies, driver assistance systems, and cockpit electronics, including HELLA electronics and Clarion electronics. The Lighting segment designs and manufactures lighting technologies. The Lifecycle Solutions segment provides solutions extending the vehicle lifecycle, as well as workshop equipment and special original equipment. The company was formerly known as Faurecia S.E. and changed its name to Forvia SE in June 2023. Forvia SE was founded in 1914 and is headquartered in Nanterre, France.

Stock analysis

Forvia SE (0MGR) currently trades at €8.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €25.04, implying the stock looks roughly 65.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €27.24 per share, and 8 of the 11 models we run sit above the €8.64 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €3.32, and 3 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €18.63 (bear) to €30.33 (bull), the price of €8.64 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Forvia SE reported revenue of €14.4B in FY2020 versus €18.7B in FY2016, a compound −6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€379M in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap €5.9B · P/S ratio 0.28 · Net margin −2.6% · Return on equity −28.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 5.1% · Revenue (TTM) €21.3B · Revenue growth (YoY) −0.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 190%, 0MGR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €18.63 Fair Value €25.04 Bull €30.33
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €31.71 €43.91 €65.79 76
Growth DCF €33.12 €44.87 €64.34 75
5Y EBITDA Exit €20.14 €27.24 €36.66 72
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €31.71 €43.91 €65.79 76
5Y Revenue Exit €11.99 €13.13 €14.69 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €20.14 €27.24 €36.66 72
10Y Revenue Exit €19.74 €21.30 €22.50 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €24.60 €29.83 €35.10 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.73 €1.88 €2.12 67
DDM Multi-Stage €1.73 €2.14 €2.69 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €14.83 €20.32 €25.81 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.48 €3.32 €4.96 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €33.12 €44.87 €64.34 75
Rev-Margin DCF €11.99 €13.94 €16.86 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 3
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.6% (2016) → 0.3% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 441,000 KRW 485,100 KRW +10%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Forvia SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0MGR

Frequently asked questions

Is Forvia SE (0MGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €25.04 versus a price of €8.64, about +190% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0MGR?
Our model-based fair value for Forvia SE is €25.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €8.64.
What is the quality score of 0MGR?
Forvia SE has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Forvia SE (0MGR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €25.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €18.63, optimistic scenario €30.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Forvia SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €25.04, about +190% upside versus a price of €8.64 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €18.63, optimistic scenario €30.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
Forvia SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €21.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Forvia SE it is €25.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €8.64. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Forvia SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0MGR trades below its calculated fair value: price €8.64, fair value €25.04, a gap of about +190% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0MGR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€8.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€25.04). For Forvia SE the two are €16.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Forvia SE worth?
The market values Forvia SE at about €5.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €8.64; our models calculate a fair value of €25.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0MGR?
Our models span a range for Forvia SE: cautious scenario €18.63, base €25.04, optimistic €30.33 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €8.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0MGR from its 52-week high?
Forvia SE trades at €8.64, about 42% below its 52-week high of €14.97 and 2% above the low of €8.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €25.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Forvia SE?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Samsung C&T Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Forvia SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €8.64, calculated fair value €25.04 (+190%), Quality Score 34/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0MGR calculated?
We run Forvia SE through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €25.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Forvia SE currently trades 66 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €8.64. Our model-based fair value is €25.04, about +190% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Forvia SE right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€18.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Forvia SE

How large is the market capitalisation of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
The market capitalisation of Forvia SE is €5.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Forvia SE is 0.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
The net margin of Forvia SE is −2.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Forvia SE is −28.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Forvia SE is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Forvia SE (0MGR)?
The operating margin of Forvia SE is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Forvia SE (0MGR)?
Revenue at Forvia SE is growing −0.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Forvia SE (0MGR)?
Earnings per share at Forvia SE are growing −86.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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