RTL Group (0MNC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of RTL Group €31.78, price €28.70, upside +10.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €22.13 – €42.25 · fair‑value band €21.30 – €43.12 · the €28.70 price screens below the €31.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
RTL Group S.A. operates as an entertainment company. The company operates television (TV) channels and radio stations; and provides streaming services, including RTL+, Videoland, and M6+ in France, Germany, Spain, Luxembourg, Hungary, and the Netherlands. It is also involved in radio and digital publishing business.
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RTL Group S.A. operates as an entertainment company. The company operates television (TV) channels and radio stations; and provides streaming services, including RTL+, Videoland, and M6+ in France, Germany, Spain, Luxembourg, Hungary, and the Netherlands. It is also involved in radio and digital publishing business. In addition, the company operates Fremantle, a producer and distributor of scripted and unscripted content; Bedrock, a streaming tech business; Smartclip, an ad-tech business; and social media business under the We Are Era name. The company was founded in 1924 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. RTL Group S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Bertelsmann Capital Holding GmbH.
Stock analysis
RTL Group (0MNC) currently trades at €28.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €31.78, implying the stock looks roughly 9.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €39.44 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the €28.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €9.05, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €21.30 (bear) to €43.12 (bull), the price of €28.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
RTL Group reported revenue of €6.0B in FY2020 versus €6.2B in FY2016, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was €492M in FY2020, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap €7.9B · P/S ratio 1.31 · Net margin 8.2% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8% · Operating margin 5.8% · Revenue (TTM) €6.0B · Revenue growth (YoY) −4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 11%, 0MNC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €21.30Fair Value €31.78Bull €43.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.1% (2016) → 15.5% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RTL Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0MNC
Frequently asked questions
Is RTL Group (0MNC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €31.78 versus a price of €28.70, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0MNC?
Our model-based fair value for RTL Group is €31.78 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €28.70.
What is the quality score of 0MNC?
RTL Group has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RTL Group (0MNC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €31.78 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €21.30, optimistic scenario €43.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the RTL Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €31.78, about +11% upside versus a price of €28.70 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €21.30, optimistic scenario €43.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of RTL Group (0MNC)?
RTL Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.0B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of RTL Group (0MNC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For RTL Group it is €31.78 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €28.70. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is RTL Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0MNC trades below its calculated fair value: price €28.70, fair value €31.78, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0MNC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€28.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€31.78). For RTL Group the two are €3.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is RTL Group worth?
The market values RTL Group at about €7.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €28.70; our models calculate a fair value of €31.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0MNC?
Our models span a range for RTL Group: cautious scenario €21.30, base €31.78, optimistic €43.12 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €28.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0MNC from its 52-week high?
RTL Group trades at €28.70, about 25% below its 52-week high of €38.24 and at the low of €28.70 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €31.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to RTL Group?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, Sun TV Network Limited, Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation, SES S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is RTL Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €28.70, calculated fair value €31.78 (+11%), Quality Score 49/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0MNC calculated?
We run RTL Group through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €31.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. RTL Group currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of RTL Group (0MNC)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €28.70. Our model-based fair value is €31.78, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with RTL Group right now?
A fairly wide model range (€21.30 to €43.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of RTL Group
How large is the market capitalisation of RTL Group (0MNC)?
The market capitalisation of RTL Group is €7.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of RTL Group (0MNC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of RTL Group is 1.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of RTL Group (0MNC)?
The net margin of RTL Group is 8.2% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of RTL Group (0MNC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of RTL Group is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of RTL Group (0MNC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of RTL Group is 12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of RTL Group (0MNC)?
The operating margin of RTL Group is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at RTL Group (0MNC)?
Revenue at RTL Group is growing −4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at RTL Group (0MNC)?
Earnings per share at RTL Group are growing +193% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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