GEA Group (0MPJ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of GEA Group €17.34, price €66.30, upside -73.9%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €29.36 – €67.73 · fair‑value band €13.01 – €21.68 · the €66.30 price screens above the €17.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
GEA Group produces and supplies systems and components to the food, beverage, and pharmaceutical industries worldwide. The company operates through Separation & Flow Technologies; Liquid & Power Technologies; Food & Health Technologies; Farm Technologies; and Heating & Refrigeration Technologies segments.
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GEA Group produces and supplies systems and components to the food, beverage, and pharmaceutical industries worldwide. The company operates through Separation & Flow Technologies; Liquid & Power Technologies; Food & Health Technologies; Farm Technologies; and Heating & Refrigeration Technologies segments. It manufactures process-related components and machinery, notably separators, decanters, homogenizers, valves, and pumps; and process solutions, including brewing systems, liquid processing and filling, concentration, fermentation, crystallization, purification, drying, powder handling, and packaging, as well as systems for carbon capture and emission control for dairy, new-food, beverage, food, chemical, and other industries. The company also prepares, marinates, and processes meat, poultry, seafood, vegan products, and snack and pasta, as well as slicing, packaging lines, freeze drying, granulators, and tablet presses for pharmaceutical industry. In addition, it offers customer solutions for milk production and livestock farming comprising automatic milking and feeding system, conventional milking solutions, manure handling, and digital herd management tools; and energy solutions in the field of industrial refrigeration and heating for various industries, including food, beverage, dairy, oil and gas, supporting automation, digital, and service platform. The company was formerly known as mg technologies ag and changed its name to GEA Group in 2005. GEA Group was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany.
Stock analysis
GEA Group (0MPJ) currently trades at €66.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €17.34, 73.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €40.59 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the €66.30 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €7.14, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €13.01 (bear) to €21.68 (bull), the price of €66.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
GEA Group reported revenue of €4.6B in FY2020 versus €4.5B in FY2016, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was €96.8M in FY2020, compounding −23.6%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap €7.5B · P/S ratio 1.36 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 16.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% · Operating margin 10.7% · Revenue (TTM) €5.5B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −74%, 0MPJ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €13.01Fair Value €17.34Bull €21.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
’16
’17
’18
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’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.5% (2016) → 4.8% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GEA Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0MPJ
Frequently asked questions
Is GEA Group (0MPJ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €17.34 versus a price of €66.30, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0MPJ?
Our model-based fair value for GEA Group is €17.34 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €66.30.
What is the quality score of 0MPJ?
GEA Group has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GEA Group (0MPJ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €17.34 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €13.01, optimistic scenario €21.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GEA Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €17.34, about −74% upside versus a price of €66.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €13.01, optimistic scenario €21.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
GEA Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €5.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does GEA Group pay a dividend?
GEA Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GEA Group it is €17.34 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €66.30. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GEA Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0MPJ trades above its calculated fair value: price €66.30, fair value €17.34, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0MPJ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€66.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€17.34). For GEA Group the two are €48.96 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GEA Group worth?
The market values GEA Group at about €7.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €66.30; our models calculate a fair value of €17.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0MPJ?
Our models span a range for GEA Group: cautious scenario €13.01, base €17.34, optimistic €21.68 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €66.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0MPJ from its 52-week high?
GEA Group trades at €66.30, about 2% below its 52-week high of €67.73 and 24% above the low of €53.47 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €17.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GEA Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GEA Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €66.30, calculated fair value €17.34 (−74%), Quality Score 63/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0MPJ calculated?
We run GEA Group through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €17.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. GEA Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €66.30. Our model-based fair value is €17.34, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GEA Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€21.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of GEA Group
How large is the market capitalisation of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
The market capitalisation of GEA Group is €7.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GEA Group is 1.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
The dividend yield of GEA Group is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
The net margin of GEA Group is 2.1% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GEA Group is 16.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GEA Group is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GEA Group (0MPJ)?
The operating margin of GEA Group is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GEA Group (0MPJ)?
Revenue at GEA Group is growing +1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GEA Group (0MPJ)?
Earnings per share at GEA Group are growing +6.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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