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Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A €22.63, price €32.99, upside -31.4%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · GB · Home Italy · ISIN IT0000076486

DC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A

0N4I · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €22.63 · Overvalued (−31.4%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +5.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓0.9% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€52.00 €6.06 Fair Value €22.63 Sep 2016 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.06 – €52.00 · fair‑value band €16.98 – €28.29 · the €32.99 price screens above the €22.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. designs, builds, and sells plants for the iron and steel industry in Europe, the Middle East, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. It operates through two segments, Plant Making and Steel Making.

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Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. designs, builds, and sells plants for the iron and steel industry in Europe, the Middle East, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. It operates through two segments, Plant Making and Steel Making. The company designs and builds plants for various process areas, including mines; pellet production plants; blast furnaces; direct reduction; scrap shredders; steelworks for production of liquid steel; and continuous casting for blooms and billets, slabs, and thin slabs. It designs and builds rolling mills for long products and seamless tubes; hot and cold rolling mills for flat products; process lines for flat products; and conditioning plants. In addition, the company offers plants for secondary processing, such as peeling, straightening, 2-roll reeling, and drawing machines; forging presses and manipulators, and forging plants; extrusion presses for ferrous and non-ferrous materials; plants for longitudinal cutting and for transversal cutting; and cranes and lifting equipment. Further, it is involved in the production and sale of special steel comprising ingots, blooms, billets, and forged and rolled products; and structural steel comprising high carbon steel, as well as case-hardened, hardened and tempered, and surface hardened steel for use in various engineering components. The company was founded in 1914 and is based in Buttrio, Italy.

Stock analysis

Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I) currently trades at €32.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €22.63, 31.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €85.06 per share, and 12 of the 25 models we run sit above the €32.99 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €4.04, and 13 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €16.98 (bear) to €28.29 (bull), the price of €32.99 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A reported revenue of €3.0B in FY2021 versus €2.6B in FY2017, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was €80.2M in FY2021, compounding +12.2%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap €4.0B · P/E ratio 0.3 · EPS (TTM) €1.70 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 8.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −31%, 0N4I screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €16.98 Fair Value €22.63 Bull €28.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €101.79 €147.95 €214.73 76
Growth DCF €103.26 €144.19 €199.93 75
EPV €20.96 €22.66 €24.12 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €101.79 €147.95 €214.73 76
5Y Revenue Exit €54.20 €67.02 €81.81 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €62.59 €82.58 €104.68 73
5Y P/E Exit €53.14 €65.07 €76.66 69
10Y Revenue Exit €70.81 €86.38 €104.70 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €76.53 €96.89 €121.61 67
10Y P/E Exit €70.66 €85.06 €100.89 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €7.33 €21.82 €28.88 62
Lynch FV €4.60 €6.57 €8.55 58
PEG = 1.0 €4.60 €6.57 €8.55 55
EPV €20.96 €22.66 €24.12 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.53 €5.05 €7.64 64
DDM Multi-Stage €2.53 €4.04 €5.33 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €16.98 €22.63 €28.29 63
P/S Multiple €13.74 €18.32 €22.90 58
P/B Multiple €13.74 €18.32 €22.90 55
EV/EBIT €34.86 €43.08 €51.29 66
EV/EBITDA €43.96 €55.22 €66.47 67
EV/Revenue €27.80 €35.34 €42.88 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €13.54 €18.14 €27.07 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €103.26 €144.19 €199.93 75
Rev-Margin DCF €54.20 €68.55 €85.50 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income €19.88 €19.49 €20.11 73
ROIC Compounder €20.96 €22.66 €24.12 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €13.82 €19.75 €25.67 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.8% (2017) → 4.8% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0N4I screens overvalued: fair value 31% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −50.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8.0% · Above median
Return on assets 2.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −16.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.49 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A · Fair Value
€22.63 −31%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0N4I

Frequently asked questions

Is Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €22.63 versus a price of €32.99, about −31% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0N4I?
Our model-based fair value for Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A is €22.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €32.99.
What is the quality score of 0N4I?
Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €22.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €16.98, optimistic scenario €28.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €22.63, about −31% upside versus a price of €32.99 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €16.98, optimistic scenario €28.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A pay a dividend?
Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.94% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A it is €22.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €32.99. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0N4I trades above its calculated fair value: price €32.99, fair value €22.63, a gap of about −31% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0N4I?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€32.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€22.63). For Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A the two are €10.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A worth?
The market values Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A at about €4.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €32.99; our models calculate a fair value of €22.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0N4I?
Our models span a range for Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A: cautious scenario €16.98, base €22.63, optimistic €28.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €32.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0N4I?
Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €22.63 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
Balance-sheet figures for Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.0%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0N4I from its 52-week high?
Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A trades at €32.99, about 37% below its 52-week high of €52.00 and 9% above the low of €30.23 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €22.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €32.99, calculated fair value €22.63 (−31%), Quality Score 63/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0N4I calculated?
We run Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €22.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was €32.99. Our model-based fair value is €22.63, about −31% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€28.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
The market capitalisation of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A is €4.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
Earnings per share at Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A are €1.70 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
The dividend yield of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A is 0.9% (payout 18.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
The net margin of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A is 2.7% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
The operating margin of Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
Revenue at Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A is growing −16.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A (0N4I)?
Earnings per share at Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A are growing +8.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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