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Arcadis NV (0N6B) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Arcadis NV €7.44, price €39.81, upside -81.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · ISIN NL0006237562

AN Some data Sep 24, 2026

Arcadis NV

0N6B · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €7.44 · Strongly overvalued (−81.3%)
✓Quality 62/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +0.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
·2.6% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

€62.90 €25.64 Fair Value €7.44 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €25.64 – €62.90 · fair‑value band €7.44 – €7.52 · the €39.81 price screens above the €7.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Arcadis NV engages in the design, engineering, architecture, and consultancy solutions for natural and built assets in The Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Places, Mobility, Resilience, and Intelligence segments.

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Arcadis NV engages in the design, engineering, architecture, and consultancy solutions for natural and built assets in The Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through Places, Mobility, Resilience, and Intelligence segments. It provides architecture and urbanism services; and asset management services, such as asset management strategy and planning, asset management decision making and operational optimization, life cycle planning and asset management systems, asset information/condition assessment, risk and review, organization and people, and asset management/O&M. The company also provides business advisory services, including asset strategy and performance, business transformation and resiliency, investment and finance, operations and maintenance, and technology and information; contract solutions; cost and commercial management services; and design and engineering solutions for highways, railways, bridges, tunnels, power utilities, water utilities, ports and waterways, geotechnics, architecture, and structures, as well as building mechanical, electrical, and plumbing. In addition, it offers digital environmental health safety and sustainability, environmental restoration, and project management solutions. Further, the company provides mobility solutions for connected highways, intelligent rail and transit, integrated airports, and new mobility; places solutions; resilience solutions, such as energy transition, climate adaption, water optimization, enviro socio permitting, sustainable advisory, environmental restoration, and sustainable operations; and water supply and treatment, distribution, resource management, and industrial water and wastewater services. The company was formerly known as Heidemij NV and changed its name to Arcadis N.V. in October 1997. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

Arcadis NV (0N6B) currently trades at €39.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.44, 81.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €26.68 per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the €39.81 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €2.06, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €7.44 (bear) to €7.52 (bull), the price of €39.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Arcadis NV reported revenue of €2.5B in FY2020 versus €2.5B in FY2016, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was €21.9M in FY2020, compounding −23.6%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €3.5B · P/S ratio 0.72 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 0.9% · Return on equity 18.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 6.6% · Revenue (TTM) €4.9B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −81%, 0N6B screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €7.44 Fair Value €7.44 Bull €7.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €30.16 €41.08 €60.68 77
Growth DCF €31.42 €41.95 €59.37 75
EPV €5.62 €6.46 €7.18 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €30.16 €41.08 €60.68 77
5Y Revenue Exit €18.08 €23.19 €30.54 70
5Y EBITDA Exit €24.57 €34.41 €47.45 72
5Y P/E Exit €14.23 €16.52 €19.36 69
10Y Revenue Exit €22.50 €26.68 €30.87 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €26.62 €33.46 €40.57 67
10Y P/E Exit €20.48 €22.65 €24.45 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.69 €2.06 €2.32 65
EPV €5.62 €6.46 €7.18 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €11.57 €12.61 €14.18 67
DDM Multi-Stage €11.57 €14.30 €18.02 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.91 €5.21 €6.51 63
P/S Multiple €3.16 €4.22 €5.27 58
P/B Multiple €3.16 €4.22 €5.27 55
EV/EBIT €15.21 €20.18 €25.15 66
EV/EBITDA €24.31 €32.32 €40.32 67
EV/Revenue €10.95 €15.51 €20.07 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €5.17 €6.93 €10.34 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €31.42 €41.95 €59.37 75
Rev-Margin DCF €18.08 €23.91 €31.37 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income €7.34 €7.16 €7.16 73
ROIC Compounder €5.62 €6.46 €7.18 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.76 €3.94 €5.12 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.6% (2016) → 4.1% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0N6B screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Quanta Services, Inc PWR $642.51 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €105.60 €186.22 +76%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €407.40 €203.86 −50%
EMCOR Group EME $769.03 $525.05 −32%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.00 €62.20 −35%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Arcadis NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0N6B

Frequently asked questions

Is Arcadis NV (0N6B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €7.44 versus a price of €39.81, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0N6B?
Our model-based fair value for Arcadis NV is €7.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €39.81.
What is the quality score of 0N6B?
Arcadis NV has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €7.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €7.44, optimistic scenario €7.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Arcadis NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €7.44, about −81% upside versus a price of €39.81 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €7.44, optimistic scenario €7.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
Arcadis NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Arcadis NV pay a dividend?
Arcadis NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Arcadis NV it is €7.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €39.81. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Arcadis NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0N6B trades above its calculated fair value: price €39.81, fair value €7.44, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0N6B?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€39.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€7.44). For Arcadis NV the two are €32.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Arcadis NV worth?
The market values Arcadis NV at about €3.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €39.81; our models calculate a fair value of €7.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0N6B?
Our models span a range for Arcadis NV: cautious scenario €7.44, base €7.44, optimistic €7.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €39.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0N6B from its 52-week high?
Arcadis NV trades at €39.81, about 19% below its 52-week high of €49.35 and 55% above the low of €25.64 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €7.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Arcadis NV?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Arcadis NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €39.81, calculated fair value €7.44 (−81%), Quality Score 62/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0N6B calculated?
We run Arcadis NV through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €7.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Arcadis NV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €39.81. Our model-based fair value is €7.44, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Arcadis NV right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€7.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (€7.44 to €7.52), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Arcadis NV

How large is the market capitalisation of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
The market capitalisation of Arcadis NV is €3.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Arcadis NV is 0.72 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
The dividend yield of Arcadis NV is 2.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
The net margin of Arcadis NV is 0.9% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Arcadis NV is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Arcadis NV is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
The operating margin of Arcadis NV is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
Revenue at Arcadis NV is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Arcadis NV (0N6B)?
Earnings per share at Arcadis NV are growing −21.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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