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Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG €12.38, price €21.50, upside -42.4%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GB · Home Germany

HH Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG

0NBI · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €12.38 · Strongly overvalued (−42.4%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +1.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.2% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 18 out of 100
!Weak on past: 11 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€23.15 €9.98 Fair Value €12.38 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €9.98 – €23.15 · fair‑value band €9.29 – €15.48 · the €21.50 price screens above the €12.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate.

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Hamburger Hafen und Logistik, together with its subsidiaries, provides container handling, transport, and logistics services in Germany, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Container, Intermodal, Logistics, and Real Estate. The company handles loading, discharging, and transshipping containers to other carriers, including rail, truck, feeder, or inland waterway ships; operates container terminals; and offers container maintenance and repair services. It also provides transportation and terminal networks for containers in seaport-hinterland traffic; various maritime and continental logistics; and transports containers by road, both locally and over long-haul distances. In addition, the company engages in the operation of handling facilities for dry bulk, motor vehicles, and fruit; consultancy and management services; and process automation, digital, and leasing services. Further, it is involved in district/project development, letting, and commercial and technical management of properties. The company was formerly known as Hamburger Hafen- und Lagerhaus-AG and changed its name to Hamburger Hafen und Logistik in January 2005. Hamburger Hafen und Logistik was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany. The company operated as a subsidiary of HGV Hamburger Gesellschaft für Vermögens- und Beteiligungsmanagement mbH. The company operates as a subsidiary of Port of Hamburg Beteiligungsgesellschaft SE.

Stock analysis

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI) currently trades at €21.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.38, 42.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €13.02 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the €21.50 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €3.85, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €9.29 (bear) to €15.48 (bull), the price of €21.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG reported revenue of €1.3B in FY2020 versus €1.2B in FY2016, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was €42.6M in FY2020, compounding −12.6%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €998M · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) €1.51 · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% · Operating margin 6.7% · Revenue (TTM) €1.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −42%, 0NBI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €9.29 Fair Value €12.38 Bull €15.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €9.25 €12.84 €19.18 76
Growth DCF €9.60 €13.02 €18.58 75
EPV €2.90 €3.85 €4.63 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €9.25 €12.84 €19.18 76
Owner Earnings €1.35 €2.81 €5.37 69
5Y Revenue Exit €9.90 €15.99 €24.91 68
5Y EBITDA Exit €21.15 €35.11 €53.68 70
5Y P/E Exit €6.25 €9.78 €14.07 67
10Y Revenue Exit €9.16 €14.09 €19.71 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €15.83 €25.63 €36.92 65
10Y P/E Exit €7.46 €10.35 €13.23 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.01 €6.80 €8.30 64
EPV €2.90 €3.85 €4.63 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €6.46 €7.79 €9.08 67
DDM Multi-Stage €6.46 €8.24 €10.17 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €9.29 €12.38 €15.48 63
P/S Multiple €7.52 €10.03 €12.53 58
P/B Multiple €7.52 €10.03 €12.53 55
EV/EBIT €17.81 €25.08 €32.36 65
EV/EBITDA €35.50 €48.67 €61.84 67
EV/Revenue €11.56 €18.23 €24.91 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.96 €5.30 €7.91 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €9.60 €13.02 €18.58 75
Rev-Margin DCF €9.90 €16.25 €24.24 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income €6.20 €6.49 €7.03 73
ROIC Compounder €2.90 €3.85 €4.63 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €6.56 €9.37 €12.18 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.9% (2016) → 9.5% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0NBI screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Marine Ports & Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks

Beats the sector median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2.9% · Below median
Return on assets 2.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.52× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)18 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)74 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0NBI

Frequently asked questions

Is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.38 versus a price of €21.50, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0NBI?
Our model-based fair value for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG is €12.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €21.50.
What is the quality score of 0NBI?
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €12.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.29, optimistic scenario €15.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €12.38, about −42% upside versus a price of €21.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €9.29, optimistic scenario €15.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG it is €12.38 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €21.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0NBI trades above its calculated fair value: price €21.50, fair value €12.38, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NBI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€21.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€12.38). For Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG the two are €9.12 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG worth?
The market values Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG at about €998M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €21.50; our models calculate a fair value of €12.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NBI?
Our models span a range for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG: cautious scenario €9.29, base €12.38, optimistic €15.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €21.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0NBI?
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €12.38 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0NBI from its 52-week high?
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG trades at €21.50, about 7% below its 52-week high of €23.15 and 3% above the low of €20.90 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €12.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Samsung C&T Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €21.50, calculated fair value €12.38 (−42%), Quality Score 39/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NBI calculated?
We run Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €12.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €21.50. Our model-based fair value is €12.38, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€15.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
The market capitalisation of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG is €998M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
Earnings per share at Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG are €1.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
The net margin of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG is 3.3% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
The operating margin of Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
Revenue at Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG (0NBI)?
Earnings per share at Hamburger Hafen und Logistik AG are growing −90.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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