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Alfa Laval AB (0NNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Alfa Laval AB SEK 150, price SEK 559, upside -73.1%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Sweden · ISIN SE0000695876

AL Thin data Oct 1, 2026

Alfa Laval AB

0NNF · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 150.41 · Strongly overvalued (−73.1%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +0.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!1.6% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 590.30 kr 223.34 Fair Value kr 150.41 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 223.34 – kr 590.30 · fair‑value band kr 103.14 – kr 212.18 · the kr 559.20 price screens above the kr 150.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Alfa Laval AB (publ) provides heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean.

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Alfa Laval AB (publ) provides heat transfer, separation, and fluid handling products and solutions worldwide. The company operates through three divisions: Energy, Food & Pharma, and Ocean. It offers ballast water management systems; oil/gas-fired steam and composite steam boilers, exhaust gas economizers, electric steam boilers, and exhaust gas steam boilers; and exhaust gas cleaning products, as well as decanters and separators. The company also provides sensing and control, cleaning validation, and condition monitoring automation products; hygienic fittings, hygienic tubes, ultrapure fittings, and ultrapure tubes; agitators, tank mixers, and powder mixers; and centrifugal pumps, circumferential piston pumps, rotary lobe pumps, twin screws, three screw pumps, gear pumps, and reciprocating pumps. In addition, it offers rotary jet heads, rotary spray heads, wall mounted cleaning devices for tank cleaning, and static spray balls; and tank covers and accessories, as well as valves. Further, the company provides plate heat exchangers, air cooled heat exchangers, scraped surface heat exchangers, and tubular heat exchangers. It serves energy and utilities, home and personal care, food, dairy and beverage, marine and transportation, pharma and biotech, and water and wastewater industries. Alfa Laval AB (publ) was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Alfa Laval AB (0NNF) currently trades at kr 559.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 150.41, 73.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 192.88 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the kr 559.20 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 51.27, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 103.14 (bear) to kr 212.18 (bull), the price of kr 559.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Alfa Laval AB reported revenue of 40.9B SEK in FY2021 versus 35.3B SEK in FY2017, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was 4.8B SEK in FY2021, compounding +12.5%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap 124B SEK (≈ $12.4B) · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) kr 10.97 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 19.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −73%, 0NNF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 103.14 Fair Value kr 150.41 Bull kr 212.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 76.95 kr 106.89 kr 162.33 76
Growth DCF kr 80.50 kr 109.56 kr 159.26 75
EPV kr 104.06 kr 121.29 kr 136.36 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 76.95 kr 106.89 kr 162.33 76
5Y Revenue Exit kr 99.34 kr 152.02 kr 228.73 69
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 133.08 kr 210.44 kr 312.90 71
5Y P/E Exit kr 124.08 kr 194.85 kr 279.19 67
10Y Revenue Exit kr 86.71 kr 125.22 kr 167.20 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 110.43 kr 161.34 kr 216.61 66
10Y P/E Exit kr 104.96 kr 151.70 kr 196.82 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 77.15 kr 94.29 kr 106.08 65
EPV kr 104.06 kr 121.29 kr 136.36 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 54.29 kr 59.42 kr 67.24 67
DDM Multi-Stage kr 54.29 kr 68.11 kr 87.49 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 178.69 kr 238.26 kr 297.82 63
P/S Multiple kr 144.66 kr 192.88 kr 241.10 58
P/B Multiple kr 144.66 kr 192.88 kr 241.10 55
EV/EBIT kr 186.92 kr 248.99 kr 311.06 66
EV/EBITDA kr 196.52 kr 261.79 kr 327.06 67
EV/Revenue kr 123.60 kr 176.27 kr 228.94 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 38.26 kr 51.27 kr 76.52 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 80.50 kr 109.56 kr 159.26 75
Rev-Margin DCF kr 99.34 kr 153.81 kr 219.84 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 76.23 kr 91.56 kr 117.24 73
ROIC Compounder kr 104.06 kr 125.62 kr 148.52 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 126.18 kr 180.26 kr 234.34 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.0% (2017) → 15.0% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0NNF screens overvalued: fair value 73% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 782 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −72.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 19.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.10× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.3× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.49 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alfa Laval AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0NNF

Frequently asked questions

Is Alfa Laval AB (0NNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 150.41 versus a price of kr 559.20, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0NNF?
Our model-based fair value for Alfa Laval AB is kr 150.41 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 559.20.
What is the quality score of 0NNF?
Alfa Laval AB has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 150.41 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 103.14, optimistic scenario kr 212.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alfa Laval AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 150.41, about −73% upside versus a price of kr 559.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 103.14, optimistic scenario kr 212.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
Alfa Laval AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 70.4B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Alfa Laval AB pay a dividend?
Alfa Laval AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.61% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alfa Laval AB it is kr 150.41 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of kr 559.20. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alfa Laval AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 0NNF trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 559.20, fair value kr 150.41, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 559.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 150.41). For Alfa Laval AB the two are kr 408.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alfa Laval AB worth?
The market values Alfa Laval AB at about 124B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is kr 559.20; our models calculate a fair value of kr 150.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NNF?
Our models span a range for Alfa Laval AB: cautious scenario kr 103.14, base kr 150.41, optimistic kr 212.18 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price kr 559.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0NNF?
Alfa Laval AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 150.41 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alfa Laval AB (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 19.1%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0NNF from its 52-week high?
Alfa Laval AB trades at kr 559.20, about 5% below its 52-week high of kr 590.30 and 32% above the low of kr 423.84 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 150.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alfa Laval AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alfa Laval AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price kr 559.20, calculated fair value kr 150.41 (−73%), Quality Score 56/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NNF calculated?
We run Alfa Laval AB through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 150.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Alfa Laval AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 559.20. Our model-based fair value is kr 150.41, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alfa Laval AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 212.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 103.14 to kr 212.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Alfa Laval AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
The market capitalisation of Alfa Laval AB is 124B SEK (≈ $12.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alfa Laval AB is 0.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
Earnings per share at Alfa Laval AB are kr 10.97 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
The dividend yield of Alfa Laval AB is 1.6% (payout 82.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
The net margin of Alfa Laval AB is 11.6% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alfa Laval AB is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alfa Laval AB is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
The operating margin of Alfa Laval AB is 16.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
Revenue at Alfa Laval AB is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alfa Laval AB (0NNF)?
Earnings per share at Alfa Laval AB are growing +0.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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