AB SKF (publ) (0NWX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of AB SKF (publ) SEK 315, price SEK 276, upside +14.2%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 129.05 – kr 277.85 · fair‑value band kr 212.98 – kr 426.86 · the kr 275.50 price screens below the kr 314.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
AB SKF (publ) designs, manufactures, and sells bearings and units, seals, lubrication systems, condition monitoring, and services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Industrial and Automotive.
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AB SKF (publ) designs, manufactures, and sells bearings and units, seals, lubrication systems, condition monitoring, and services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Industrial and Automotive. The company offers rolling, mounted and housings, super-precision, slewing, plain, magnetic, and thin section bearings; industrial and automotive seals; lubricants, manual lubrication tools, lubricators, automatic lubrication systems, and lubrication system components; maintenance products, such as hydraulic, mechanical, and alignment tools, as well as heaters; belts, pulleys, chains, sprockets, bushings and hubs, couplings, and bolts and tightening systems; condition monitoring systems; test and measuring equipment, such as waviness and roundness analyzers, noise and vibration testers, and grease test rigs, as well as calibration with traceability, machine training and support, and upgrades and refurbishment services; and vehicle aftermarket products. It provides application engineering services consisting of technical consultancy, numerical simulation and design, and root cause analysis; asset management services, such as assessment and benchmarking, maintenance strategy review, spare parts and inventory management, and lubrication management; condition-based maintenance, including vibration analysis and diagnostics, thermography, lubrication analysis, and condition monitoring system installation; mechanical maintenance comprising mounting and dismounting, precision alignment, and balancing; remanufacturing and customization; and training solutions, which include instructor-led training, e-learning courses, and webinar recordings. It serves the aerospace, agriculture, automotive, construction, food and beverage, general machinery, machine tools, marine, material handling, metals, mining, mineral processing, ocean energy, pulp and paper, railways, and wind industries. The company was incorporated in 1907 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Stock analysis
AB SKF (publ) (0NWX) currently trades at kr 275.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 314.55, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 436.76 per share, and 15 of the 23 models we run sit above the kr 275.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 92.26, and 8 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 212.98 (bear) to kr 426.86 (bull), the price of kr 275.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
AB SKF (publ) reported revenue of 81.7B SEK in FY2021 versus 77.9B SEK in FY2017, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 7.3B SEK in FY2021, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2017.
Key figures
Market cap 87.3B SEK (≈ $8.7B) · P/S ratio 0.98 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% · Operating margin 9.6% · Revenue (TTM) 89.5B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 14%, 0NWX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 212.98Fair Value kr 314.55Bull kr 426.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.0% (2017) → 13.2% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tools & Accessories · 127 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside+21.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.3% · Above median
Return on assets4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)9.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
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Is AB SKF (publ) (0NWX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 314.55 versus a price of kr 275.50, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0NWX?
Our model-based fair value for AB SKF (publ) is kr 314.55 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 275.50.
What is the quality score of 0NWX?
AB SKF (publ) has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 314.55 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 212.98, optimistic scenario kr 426.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AB SKF (publ) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 314.55, about +14% upside versus a price of kr 275.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 212.98, optimistic scenario kr 426.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
AB SKF (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 89.5B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does AB SKF (publ) pay a dividend?
AB SKF (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.65% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AB SKF (publ) it is kr 314.55 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of kr 275.50. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AB SKF (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0NWX trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 275.50, fair value kr 314.55, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NWX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 275.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 314.55). For AB SKF (publ) the two are kr 39.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AB SKF (publ) worth?
The market values AB SKF (publ) at about 87.3B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is kr 275.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 314.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NWX?
Our models span a range for AB SKF (publ): cautious scenario kr 212.98, base kr 314.55, optimistic kr 426.86 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price kr 275.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
Balance-sheet figures for AB SKF (publ) (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0NWX from its 52-week high?
AB SKF (publ) trades at kr 275.50, about 1% below its 52-week high of kr 277.85 and 30% above the low of kr 212.05 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 314.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AB SKF (publ)?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Techtronic Industries Company, Snap-on Incorporated, RBC Bearings Incorporated, Lincoln Electric Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AB SKF (publ) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price kr 275.50, calculated fair value kr 314.55 (+14%), Quality Score 61/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NWX calculated?
We run AB SKF (publ) through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 314.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AB SKF (publ) currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 275.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 314.55, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AB SKF (publ) right now?
A fairly wide model range (kr 212.98 to kr 426.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of AB SKF (publ)
How large is the market capitalisation of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
The market capitalisation of AB SKF (publ) is 87.3B SEK (≈ $8.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AB SKF (publ) is 0.98 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
The dividend yield of AB SKF (publ) is 3.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
The net margin of AB SKF (publ) is 9.0% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AB SKF (publ) is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AB SKF (publ) is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
The operating margin of AB SKF (publ) is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
Revenue at AB SKF (publ) is growing +0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AB SKF (publ) (0NWX)?
Earnings per share at AB SKF (publ) are growing +145% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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