Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Mercedes-Benz Group €38.98, price €39.79, upside -2.0%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €39.79 – €66.12 · fair‑value band €30.72 – €49.42 · the €39.79 price screens above the €38.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates as an automotive company in Europe, Germany, North America, the United States, Asia, China, and internationally. It operates through Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Financial Services segments.
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Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates as an automotive company in Europe, Germany, North America, the United States, Asia, China, and internationally. It operates through Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Financial Services segments. The company develops, manufactures, and sells cars and vans under the Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, G-Class brands, as well as related spare parts and accessories. It also provides financing, leasing, vehicle subscription and rental, fleet management, insurance, and digital services related to charging electric vehicles. The company was formerly known as Daimler AG and changed its name to Mercedes-Benz Group AG in February 2022. Mercedes-Benz Group AG was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Stuttgart, Germany.
Stock analysis
Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX) currently trades at €39.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €38.98, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €45.04 per share, and 7 of the 21 models we run sit above the €39.79 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €16.59, and 14 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €30.72 (bear) to €49.42 (bull), the price of €39.79 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Mercedes-Benz Group reported revenue of €154B in FY2020 versus €153B in FY2016, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was €3.6B in FY2020, compounding −19.2%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap €72.3B · P/S ratio 0.55 · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 6.0% · Revenue (TTM) €131B · Revenue growth (YoY) −4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −2%, 0NXX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €30.72Fair Value €38.98Bull €49.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.9% (2016) → 4.0% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mercedes-Benz Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0NXX
Frequently asked questions
Is Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €38.98 versus a price of €39.79, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0NXX?
Our model-based fair value for Mercedes-Benz Group is €38.98 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €39.79.
What is the quality score of 0NXX?
Mercedes-Benz Group has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €38.98 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario €30.72, optimistic scenario €49.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mercedes-Benz Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €38.98, about −2% upside versus a price of €39.79 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €30.72, optimistic scenario €49.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
Mercedes-Benz Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €131B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mercedes-Benz Group it is €38.98 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €39.79. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mercedes-Benz Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0NXX trades above its calculated fair value: price €39.79, fair value €38.98, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0NXX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€39.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€38.98). For Mercedes-Benz Group the two are €0.8050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mercedes-Benz Group worth?
The market values Mercedes-Benz Group at about €72.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €39.79; our models calculate a fair value of €38.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0NXX?
Our models span a range for Mercedes-Benz Group: cautious scenario €30.72, base €38.98, optimistic €49.42 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €39.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0NXX from its 52-week high?
Mercedes-Benz Group trades at €39.79, about 36% below its 52-week high of €61.89 and at the low of €39.79 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €38.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mercedes-Benz Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tesla, Inc, Toyota Motor Corporation, BYD Company, General Motors Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mercedes-Benz Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €39.79, calculated fair value €38.98 (−2%), Quality Score 48/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0NXX calculated?
We run Mercedes-Benz Group through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €38.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mercedes-Benz Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €39.79. Our model-based fair value is €38.98, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mercedes-Benz Group right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Mercedes-Benz Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
The market capitalisation of Mercedes-Benz Group is €72.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mercedes-Benz Group is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
The net margin of Mercedes-Benz Group is 2.4% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mercedes-Benz Group is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mercedes-Benz Group is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
The operating margin of Mercedes-Benz Group is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
Revenue at Mercedes-Benz Group is growing −4.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mercedes-Benz Group (0NXX)?
Earnings per share at Mercedes-Benz Group are growing −14.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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