FLSmidth & Co (0OJA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of FLSmidth & Co DKK 165, price DKK 561, upside -70.6%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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FLSmidth & Co. A/S provides flowsheet technology and service solutions for the mining industries in Denmark, the United States of America, Canada, Chile, Brazil, Peru, Australia, North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company operates through three segments: Service; Products; and Pumps, Cyclones & Valves (PC&V).
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FLSmidth & Co. A/S provides flowsheet technology and service solutions for the mining industries in Denmark, the United States of America, Canada, Chile, Brazil, Peru, Australia, North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. The company operates through three segments: Service; Products; and Pumps, Cyclones & Valves (PC&V). The company offers mineral processing equipment, such as hydrocyclones and REFLUX classifiers; cone and roll crushers, crushing stations, gyratory and jaw crushers, and sizers; centrifuges, thickeners and clarifiers, and filters; apron and belt feeders, buffalo and vibrating feeders, mine hoists, hybrid apron feeders, and mine shaft equipment; and attrition scrubbers, column and forced-air flotation cells, mixed and self-aspirated flotation cells, and REFLUX and coarse flotation cells. It also includes ball and vertical fine grinding mills, and SAG and AG mills; laboratory equipment, such as automated laboratories, crushing, dividing, drying, drying, pulverizing, and thermogravimetric analysis equipment; carbon ADR plants and regeneration kilns, precious metals electrowinning and refinery, gravity concentration, mercury retort and abatement systems, Merrill Crowe systems, and cyanide leaches; flash dryers and heaters, gas suspension calciners, gear drive rotary and temperature shaft kilns, indirectly heated rotary kilns, multiple hearth furnaces, and rotary dryers; screening equipment; and froth, heavy duty, high pressure, large solids, medium duty, mills, recessed impeller, split case, sump pumps, and valves. In addition, the company offers consumables; digital services; mining education; minerals testing laboratories; mining field services; process automation; service centers; spare parts; and upgrade, rebuild, and exchange services. The company was formerly known as FLS Industries and changed its name to FLSmidth & Co. A/S in January 2005. The company was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.
Stock analysis
FLSmidth & Co (0OJA) currently trades at kr 560.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 164.68, 70.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 285.18 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the kr 560.50 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 34.08, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 123.51 (bear) to kr 205.85 (bull), the price of kr 560.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
FLSmidth & Co reported revenue of 16.4B DKK in FY2020 versus 18.2B DKK in FY2016, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 210M DKK in FY2020, compounding −20.2%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap 12.5B DKK (≈ $1.9B) · P/S ratio 0.88 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% · Operating margin 13.0% · Revenue (TTM) 14.2B DKK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −71%, 0OJA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 123.51Fair Value kr 164.68Bull kr 205.85
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.8% (2016) → 2.6% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−63.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.7% · Above median
Return on assets4.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)13.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FLSmidth & Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0OJA
Frequently asked questions
Is FLSmidth & Co (0OJA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 164.68 versus a price of kr 560.50, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0OJA?
Our model-based fair value for FLSmidth & Co is kr 164.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 560.50.
What is the quality score of 0OJA?
FLSmidth & Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 164.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 123.51, optimistic scenario kr 205.85. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FLSmidth & Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 164.68, about −71% upside versus a price of kr 560.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 123.51, optimistic scenario kr 205.85. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
FLSmidth & Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.2B DKK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does FLSmidth & Co pay a dividend?
FLSmidth & Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FLSmidth & Co it is kr 164.68 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 560.50. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FLSmidth & Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0OJA trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 560.50, fair value kr 164.68, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0OJA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 560.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 164.68). For FLSmidth & Co the two are kr 395.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FLSmidth & Co worth?
The market values FLSmidth & Co at about 12.5B DKK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 560.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 164.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0OJA?
Our models span a range for FLSmidth & Co: cautious scenario kr 123.51, base kr 164.68, optimistic kr 205.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 560.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
Balance-sheet figures for FLSmidth & Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.7%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0OJA from its 52-week high?
FLSmidth & Co trades at kr 560.50, about 8% below its 52-week high of kr 608.50 and 44% above the low of kr 388.18 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 164.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FLSmidth & Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FLSmidth & Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 560.50, calculated fair value kr 164.68 (−71%), Quality Score 54/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0OJA calculated?
We run FLSmidth & Co through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 164.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. FLSmidth & Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 560.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 164.68, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FLSmidth & Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 205.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of FLSmidth & Co
How large is the market capitalisation of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
The market capitalisation of FLSmidth & Co is 12.5B DKK (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of FLSmidth & Co is 0.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
The dividend yield of FLSmidth & Co is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
The net margin of FLSmidth & Co is 1.3% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FLSmidth & Co is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FLSmidth & Co is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
The operating margin of FLSmidth & Co is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
Revenue at FLSmidth & Co is growing −11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at FLSmidth & Co (0OJA)?
Earnings per share at FLSmidth & Co are growing +195% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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