SIG Group (0P4G) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of SIG Group £5.01, price £24.60, upside -79.6%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range £7.81 – £27.21 · fair‑value band £4.84 – £5.50 · the £24.60 price screens above the £5.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
SIG Group AG provides aseptic carton packaging systems and solutions for beverage and food products primarily in Europe, India, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas.
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SIG Group AG provides aseptic carton packaging systems and solutions for beverage and food products primarily in Europe, India, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas. The company provides carton, bag-in-box, and spouted pouch packaging solutions; filling lines and other related equipment, packaging material, and after-sales services; carton sleeves, closures, and barrier film and fitments; and commodity hedging products. It operates in China, the United States, Germany, India, Brazil, the Netherlands, Australia, Austria, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Switzerland, Taiwan, Thailand, Spain, and the United Arab Emirates. The company was formerly known as SIG Combibloc Group AG and changed its name to SIG Group AG in April 2022. SIG Group AG was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in Neuhausen am Rheinfall, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
SIG Group (0P4G) currently trades at £24.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £5.01, 79.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £13.48 per share, and 1 of the 21 models we run sit above the £24.60 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £3.28, and 20 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £4.84 (bear) to £5.50 (bull), the price of £24.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SIG Group reported revenue of £1.8B in FY2020 versus £1.7B in FY2016, a compound +1.3%/yr. Reported net income was £68.0M in FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap £6.5B · P/S ratio 1.99 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity −3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 10.3% · Revenue (TTM) £3.2B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 215% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −80%, 0P4G screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £4.84Fair Value £5.01Bull £5.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
’16
’17
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’19
’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.3% (2016) → 8.4% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−78.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets3.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−2.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)10.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.85× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIG Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0P4G
Frequently asked questions
Is SIG Group (0P4G) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £5.01 versus a price of £24.60, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0P4G?
Our model-based fair value for SIG Group is £5.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £24.60.
What is the quality score of 0P4G?
SIG Group has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SIG Group (0P4G)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £5.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario £4.84, optimistic scenario £5.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SIG Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £5.01, about −80% upside versus a price of £24.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £4.84, optimistic scenario £5.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SIG Group (0P4G)?
SIG Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £3.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does SIG Group pay a dividend?
SIG Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SIG Group (0P4G)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SIG Group it is £5.01 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £24.60. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SIG Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0P4G trades above its calculated fair value: price £24.60, fair value £5.01, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0P4G?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£24.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£5.01). For SIG Group the two are £19.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SIG Group worth?
The market values SIG Group at about £6.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £24.60; our models calculate a fair value of £5.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0P4G?
Our models span a range for SIG Group: cautious scenario £4.84, base £5.01, optimistic £5.50 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £24.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SIG Group (0P4G)?
Balance-sheet figures for SIG Group (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.0%, debt of 0.85 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0P4G from its 52-week high?
SIG Group trades at £24.60, at its 52-week high of £24.60 and 215% above the low of £7.81 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £5.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SIG Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SIG Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £24.60, calculated fair value £5.01 (−80%), Quality Score 50/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0P4G calculated?
We run SIG Group through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £5.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SIG Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SIG Group (0P4G)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £24.60. Our model-based fair value is £5.01, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SIG Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£5.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (£4.84 to £5.50), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of SIG Group
How large is the market capitalisation of SIG Group (0P4G)?
The market capitalisation of SIG Group is £6.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SIG Group (0P4G)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SIG Group is 1.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of SIG Group (0P4G)?
The dividend yield of SIG Group is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SIG Group (0P4G)?
The net margin of SIG Group is 3.7% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SIG Group (0P4G)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SIG Group is −3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SIG Group (0P4G)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SIG Group is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SIG Group (0P4G)?
The operating margin of SIG Group is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SIG Group (0P4G)?
Revenue at SIG Group is growing −4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SIG Group (0P4G)?
Earnings per share at SIG Group are growing +8.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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