Inficon Holding AG (0QK5) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Inficon Holding AG CHF 606, price CHF 203, upside +198.4%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 59.29 – CHF 203.00 · fair‑value band CHF 402.19 – CHF 885.55 · the CHF 203.00 price screens below the CHF 605.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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INFICON Holding AG develops instruments for gas analysis, measurement, and control in Switzerland and internationally.
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INFICON Holding AG develops instruments for gas analysis, measurement, and control in Switzerland and internationally. The company offers industrial gas analyzers, mass spectrometers, and process control sensors; vacuum gauges, controllers, components, and feedthroughs; leak detectors; thin film controllers; application-based software solutions; quartz crystal, RF sensing, and xParts coating technologies; chemical detectors and monitors; micro gas chromatography; and service tools. It also provides toxic chemical analysis products for emergency response, security, and environmental monitoring, as well as instruments for energy and petrochemical applications. The company's analysis, measurement, and control products are used for gas leak detection in air conditioning, refrigeration, and automotive manufacturing; and for equipment manufacturers and end-users in the fabrication of semiconductors and thin film coatings for optics, flat panel displays, solar cells, LED lighting, and industrial vacuum coating applications. Its products are also used in the life sciences, research, aerospace, packaging, heat treatment, laser cutting, and other industrial sectors. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Bad Ragaz, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Inficon Holding AG (0QK5) currently trades at CHF 203.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 605.65, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of CHF 791.74 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the CHF 203.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 129.66, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: CHF 402.19 (bear) to CHF 885.55 (bull), the price of CHF 203.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Inficon Holding AG reported revenue of £706M in FY2025 versus £516M in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was £89.9M in FY2025, compounding +2.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 340M · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) CHF 31.80 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 12.7% · Return on equity 21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.1% · Operating margin 15.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 122% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 198%, 0QK5 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 402.19Fair Value CHF 605.65Bull CHF 885.55
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 22.14 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.96/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11.2% vs 8.7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 17%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+43.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.2% a year for the price and +9.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electronic Equipment & Instruments” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5321 stocks
Beats the sector median on 7/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+198.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets12.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−0.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Inficon Holding AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QK5
Frequently asked questions
Is Inficon Holding AG (0QK5) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 605.65 versus a price of CHF 203.00, about +198% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0QK5?
Our model-based fair value for Inficon Holding AG is CHF 605.65 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 203.00.
What is the quality score of 0QK5?
Inficon Holding AG has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 605.65 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 402.19, optimistic scenario CHF 885.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Inficon Holding AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 605.65, about +198% upside versus a price of CHF 203.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario CHF 402.19, optimistic scenario CHF 885.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
Inficon Holding AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £674M (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Inficon Holding AG pay a dividend?
Inficon Holding AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Inficon Holding AG would have to grow free cash flow by +43.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.2 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QK5 use?
Our models discount Inficon Holding AG at 13.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.55, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Inficon Holding AG that is +43.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Inficon Holding AG (0QK5) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Inficon Holding AG grew +12.2 % a year. The price currently implies +43.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Inficon Holding AG (+43.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.45 %: that much free cash flow Inficon Holding AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Inficon Holding AG it is CHF 605.65 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of CHF 203.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Inficon Holding AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 0QK5 trades below its calculated fair value: price CHF 203.00, fair value CHF 605.65, a gap of about +198% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QK5?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 203.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 605.65). For Inficon Holding AG the two are CHF 402.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Inficon Holding AG worth?
The market values Inficon Holding AG at about CHF 340M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is CHF 203.00; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 605.65 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QK5?
Our models span a range for Inficon Holding AG: cautious scenario CHF 402.19, base CHF 605.65, optimistic CHF 885.55 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price CHF 203.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0QK5?
Inficon Holding AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 605.65 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
Balance-sheet figures for Inficon Holding AG (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 21.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QK5 from its 52-week high?
Inficon Holding AG trades at CHF 203.00, at its 52-week high of CHF 203.00 and 122% above the low of CHF 91.28 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 605.65 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Inficon Holding AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Samsung C&T Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Inficon Holding AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price CHF 203.00, calculated fair value CHF 605.65 (+198%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QK5 calculated?
We run Inficon Holding AG through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 605.65, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Inficon Holding AG currently trades 66 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was CHF 203.00. Our model-based fair value is CHF 605.65, about +198% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Inficon Holding AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (CHF 402.19). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (CHF 402.19 to CHF 885.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5) come from?
Earnings per share at Inficon Holding AG grew +12.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.3 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Inficon Holding AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
The market capitalisation of Inficon Holding AG is CHF 340M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
Earnings per share at Inficon Holding AG are CHF 31.80 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
The dividend yield of Inficon Holding AG is 1.2% (payout 7.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
The net margin of Inficon Holding AG is 12.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Inficon Holding AG is 21.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Inficon Holding AG is 25.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
The operating margin of Inficon Holding AG is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
Revenue at Inficon Holding AG is growing −0.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Inficon Holding AG (0QK5)?
Earnings per share at Inficon Holding AG are growing −29.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Inficon Holding AG (0QK5) hold?
Inficon Holding AG holds more cash than debt, £81.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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