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Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Phoenix Mecano AG £270, price £458, upside -41.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Switzerland · ISIN CH1261338102

PM Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Phoenix Mecano AG

0QKP · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value £270.08 · Strongly overvalued (−41.0%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!4.6% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Narrow moat 42/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£723.88 £294.56 Fair Value £270.08 Aug 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £294.56 – £723.88 · fair‑value band £240.76 – £352.21 · the £458.00 price screens above the £270.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Phoenix Mecano AG, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells components for industrial customers worldwide. It operates through three divisions: Enclosure Systems, DewertOkin Technology Group, and Industrial Components.

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Phoenix Mecano AG, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells components for industrial customers worldwide. It operates through three divisions: Enclosure Systems, DewertOkin Technology Group, and Industrial Components. The Enclosure Systems division develops, produces, sells, and trades in industrial and electronic enclosures made of aluminum, stainless steel, plastics, and glass-fibre reinforced polyester; human-machine interface solutions, consisting of panel PCs, industrial PCs, and industrial monitors; input units such as membrane keypads, short-stroke keys, and touchscreens; and provides system integration, toolmaking, plastic injection moulding, and aluminum die casting solutions. The DewertOkin Technology Group division manufactures drives, systems, and fittings technology for electrically adjustable comfort and healthcare furniture and ergonomic office workstation design, nursing and hospital bed; individual mechanical components; and customized and coordinated system solutions for use in smart furniture, medical applications, and control systems for height-adjustable desks, as well as smart-health software solutions. The Industrial Components division provides linear units and lifting columns, aluminium profile and tube connection systems, as well as ergonomic workstation systems; terminal blocks, connector systems, test probes, series terminals, inductors, and switches for industrial electronics; and measuring systems, transformers, and instrument transformers, as well as electric cylinders. Phoenix Mecano AG was formerly known as Phoenix Maschinentechnik AG and changed its name to Phoenix Mecano AG in 1986. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Stein am Rhein, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP) currently trades at £458.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £270.08, 41.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £608.13 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the £458.00 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £178.18, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: £240.76 (bear) to £352.21 (bull), the price of £458.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Phoenix Mecano AG reported revenue of £752M in FY2025 versus £813M in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was £30.5M in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap £425M · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) £33.07 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 9.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −41%, 0QKP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £240.76 Fair Value £270.08 Bull £352.21
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£9.17 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings £171.13 £217.78 £304.11 77
Residual Income £237.49 £263.57 £311.51 76
EPV £261.45 £297.53 £327.60 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings £171.13 £217.78 £304.11 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £215.85 £342.66 £412.10 67
EPV £261.45 £297.53 £327.60 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £153.51 £178.18 £203.92 69
DDM Multi-Stage £153.51 £192.57 £236.48 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple £499.96 £666.61 £833.26 63
P/S Multiple £404.73 £539.64 £674.54 58
P/B Multiple £404.73 £539.64 £674.54 55
EV/EBIT £596.37 £796.21 £996.04 66
EV/EBITDA £694.62 £927.20 £1,160 67
EV/Revenue £424.75 £608.13 £791.51 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £135.57 £181.66 £271.14 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income £237.49 £263.57 £311.51 76
ROIC Compounder £261.45 £300.37 £340.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £353.04 £504.34 £655.64 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+21.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.16.8% vs 4.5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

0QKP screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Phoenix Mecano AG · Fair Value
£270.08 −41%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Phoenix Mecano AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QKP

Frequently asked questions

Is Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £270.08 versus a price of £458.00, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QKP?
Our model-based fair value for Phoenix Mecano AG is £270.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £458.00.
What is the quality score of 0QKP?
Phoenix Mecano AG has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £270.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario £240.76, optimistic scenario £352.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Phoenix Mecano AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £270.08, about −41% upside versus a price of £458.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £240.76, optimistic scenario £352.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
Phoenix Mecano AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £749M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Phoenix Mecano AG pay a dividend?
Phoenix Mecano AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Phoenix Mecano AG it is £270.08 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £458.00. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Phoenix Mecano AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0QKP trades above its calculated fair value: price £458.00, fair value £270.08, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QKP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£458.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£270.08). For Phoenix Mecano AG the two are £187.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Phoenix Mecano AG worth?
The market values Phoenix Mecano AG at about £425M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £458.00; our models calculate a fair value of £270.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QKP?
Our models span a range for Phoenix Mecano AG: cautious scenario £240.76, base £270.08, optimistic £352.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £458.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0QKP from its 52-week high?
Phoenix Mecano AG trades at £458.00, at its 52-week high of £458.00 and 13% above the low of £404.82 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £270.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Phoenix Mecano AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Phoenix Mecano AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £458.00, calculated fair value £270.08 (−41%), Quality Score 60/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QKP calculated?
We run Phoenix Mecano AG through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £270.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Phoenix Mecano AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was £458.00. Our model-based fair value is £270.08, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Phoenix Mecano AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£352.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP) come from?
Earnings per share at Phoenix Mecano AG grew +9.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.0 %, EBIT margin +0.5 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Phoenix Mecano AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
The market capitalisation of Phoenix Mecano AG is £425M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Phoenix Mecano AG is 0.1 (as of Jul 29, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What are the earnings per share of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
Earnings per share at Phoenix Mecano AG are £33.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
The dividend yield of Phoenix Mecano AG is 4.6% (payout 63.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
The net margin of Phoenix Mecano AG is 4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Phoenix Mecano AG is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Phoenix Mecano AG is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
The operating margin of Phoenix Mecano AG is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
Revenue at Phoenix Mecano AG is growing −4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP)?
Earnings per share at Phoenix Mecano AG are growing −4.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP) generate?
The free cash flow of Phoenix Mecano AG is −£1.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Phoenix Mecano AG (0QKP) carry?
The net debt of Phoenix Mecano AG is £49.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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