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OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of OC Oerlikon Corporation CHF 4.73, price CHF 5.63, upside -16.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · GB · Home Switzerland · ISIN CH0000816824

OO Broad data Sep 24, 2026

OC Oerlikon Corporation

0QO3 · LSE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value CHF 4.73 · Overvalued (−16.0%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −33.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.6% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 17/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

CHF 8.34 CHF 2.55 Fair Value CHF 4.73 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 2.55 – CHF 8.34 · fair‑value band CHF 2.98 – CHF 6.51 · the CHF 5.63 price screens above the CHF 4.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division.

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OC Oerlikon Corporation AG provides surface engineering, polymer processing, and advanced manufacturing services in Europe, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through The Oerlikon Division and The Barmag Division. It offers actuation systems, aircraft interior, cold plates, engine fan and compressors, engine hot section, heat exchanger, hydraulic systems, landing gears, RF components, and rocket engine components for aerospace sector. The company also provides brake and safety systems, drive train, engine systems, exhaust systems, exterior, green hydrogen, heat exchangers and EGR coolers, interior, lighting, peripherals and design parts, piping and tubing systems, steering and suspension, thermoelectrical isolation system, and transmissions for automotive sector. In addition, it offers boiler, gas turbines, hydro turbines, green hydrogen, oil and gas, steam turbines, and wind turbines for energy sector; cutting, die casting, metal forming, and plastic processing for tooling industry; and artificial joints, dental implants/abutments, medical, minimally invasive surgical instruments, spine implants, surgical instruments, and veterinary implants for medical sector. Further, the company provides various products for agriculture, beauty and personal care, consumer goods, electronics, engineering, food and packaging, logistic and environmental, metal forming and processing, mining and heavy machinery, pulp, paper and printing, and semiconductor applications; and Luxury and semiconductor products. It offers its surface solutions under Oerlikon Balzers, Oerlikon Metco, Oerlikon AM, Oerlikon Riri, and Oerlikon Fineparts brand names; and provides friction systems, turbine components, and thermoelectrical insulation systems, as well as coating equipment and components. OC Oerlikon Corporation AG was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in the Pfäffikon, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3) currently trades at CHF 5.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 4.73, 16.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 4.45 per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the CHF 5.63 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 1.78, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: CHF 2.98 (bear) to CHF 6.51 (bull), the price of CHF 5.63 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

OC Oerlikon Corporation reported revenue of CHF 1.6B in FY2025 versus CHF 2.6B in FY2021, a compound −12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 19.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap CHF 2.4B · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 1.53 · EPS (TTM) CHF 0.4980 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 121% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −16%, 0QO3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear CHF 2.98 Fair Value CHF 4.73 Bull CHF 6.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (CHF 0.2253 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF CHF 3.85 CHF 5.19 CHF 7.59 81
Growth DCF CHF 4.01 CHF 5.30 CHF 7.43 79
Owner Earnings CHF 3.18 CHF 4.27 CHF 6.23 77
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 3.85 CHF 5.19 CHF 7.59 81
Owner Earnings CHF 3.18 CHF 4.27 CHF 6.23 77
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 2.91 CHF 3.93 CHF 5.40 73
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 5.42 CHF 8.27 CHF 12.05 75
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 3.21 CHF 3.99 CHF 4.80 68
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 4.76 CHF 6.61 CHF 8.61 69
Earnings-Based
EPV CHF 1.84 CHF 2.10 CHF 2.32 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 1.69 CHF 1.84 CHF 2.07 69
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 1.69 CHF 2.08 CHF 2.63 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT CHF 3.39 CHF 4.45 CHF 5.51 66
EV/EBITDA CHF 7.52 CHF 9.95 CHF 12.39 67
EV/Revenue CHF 2.47 CHF 3.45 CHF 4.43 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 1.33 CHF 1.78 CHF 2.65 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 4.01 CHF 5.30 CHF 7.43 79
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 2.91 CHF 4.02 CHF 5.40 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder CHF 1.84 CHF 2.10 CHF 2.32 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.8% (2020) → 5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.2% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.8%

0QO3 screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.17× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 3.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.89× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 28.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 21.7× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.49 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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OC Oerlikon Corporation · Fair Value
CHF 4.73 −16%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "OC Oerlikon Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QO3

Frequently asked questions

Is OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 4.73 versus a price of CHF 5.63, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QO3?
Our model-based fair value for OC Oerlikon Corporation is CHF 4.73 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 5.63.
What is the quality score of 0QO3?
OC Oerlikon Corporation has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 4.73 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 2.98, optimistic scenario CHF 6.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the OC Oerlikon Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 4.73, about −16% upside versus a price of CHF 5.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario CHF 2.98, optimistic scenario CHF 6.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
OC Oerlikon Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does OC Oerlikon Corporation pay a dividend?
OC Oerlikon Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, OC Oerlikon Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +7.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -7.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QO3 use?
Our models discount OC Oerlikon Corporation at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For OC Oerlikon Corporation that is +7.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at OC Oerlikon Corporation grew -7.0 % a year. The price currently implies +7.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into OC Oerlikon Corporation (+7.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.67 %: that much free cash flow OC Oerlikon Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For OC Oerlikon Corporation it is CHF 4.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of CHF 5.63. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is OC Oerlikon Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0QO3 trades above its calculated fair value: price CHF 5.63, fair value CHF 4.73, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QO3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 5.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 4.73). For OC Oerlikon Corporation the two are CHF 0.9000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is OC Oerlikon Corporation worth?
The market values OC Oerlikon Corporation at about CHF 2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is CHF 5.63; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 4.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QO3?
Our models span a range for OC Oerlikon Corporation: cautious scenario CHF 2.98, base CHF 4.73, optimistic CHF 6.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price CHF 5.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0QO3?
OC Oerlikon Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of CHF 4.73 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 21.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
Balance-sheet figures for OC Oerlikon Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.9%, debt of 0.17 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QO3 from its 52-week high?
OC Oerlikon Corporation trades at CHF 5.63, about 5% below its 52-week high of CHF 5.94 and 121% above the low of CHF 2.55 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 4.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to OC Oerlikon Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is OC Oerlikon Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price CHF 5.63, calculated fair value CHF 4.73 (−16%), Quality Score 45/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QO3 calculated?
We run OC Oerlikon Corporation through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 4.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. OC Oerlikon Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was CHF 5.63. Our model-based fair value is CHF 4.73, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with OC Oerlikon Corporation right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (CHF 2.98 to CHF 6.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3) come from?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corporation grew −11.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.3 %, EBIT margin −6.6 %, tax rate −3.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of OC Oerlikon Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
The market capitalisation of OC Oerlikon Corporation is CHF 2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 1.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corporation are CHF 0.4980 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
The dividend yield of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 3.6% (payout 40.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
The net margin of OC Oerlikon Corporation is −1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of OC Oerlikon Corporation is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
The operating margin of OC Oerlikon Corporation is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
Revenue at OC Oerlikon Corporation is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3)?
Earnings per share at OC Oerlikon Corporation are growing −60.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does OC Oerlikon Corporation (0QO3) carry?
The net debt of OC Oerlikon Corporation is CHF 1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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