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Georg Fischer AG (0QP4) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Georg Fischer AG £22.21, price £57.50, upside -61.4%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Switzerland · ISIN CH1169151003

GF Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Georg Fischer AG

0QP4 · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value £22.21 · Strongly overvalued (−61.4%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −8.5 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -4.4% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2020 3.6%
!Moderate debt
✓2.3% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 20/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£76.98 £39.84 Fair Value £22.21 Mar 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £39.84 – £76.98 · fair‑value band £16.65 – £27.76 · the £57.50 price screens above the £22.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Georg Fischer AG engages in the provision of piping systems, and casting and machining solutions in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company operates through GF Industry and Infrastructure Flow Solutions and GF Building Flow Solutions.

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Georg Fischer AG engages in the provision of piping systems, and casting and machining solutions in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company operates through GF Industry and Infrastructure Flow Solutions and GF Building Flow Solutions. The GF Industry and Infrastructure Flow Solutions segment focuses on leak-free piping systems, fittings, valves, pipes, automation, fabrication, and jointing technologies. It serves a wide range of industries, including microelectronics, chemical processing, water, marine, data centers, food and beverage, energy and life sciences. The GF Building Flow Solutions segment offers safe drinking water systems, energy-efficient radiant heating and cooling systems, and infrastructure solutions used for increasing productivity in conserving, managing, and providing water indoor climate solutions for the residential and commercial construction, municipality, and utilities sectors. The company was founded in 1802 and is headquartered in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

Georg Fischer AG (0QP4) currently trades at £57.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £22.21, 61.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £31.18 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the £57.50 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £9.12, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: £16.65 (bear) to £27.76 (bull), the price of £57.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Georg Fischer AG reported revenue of CHF 3.2B in FY2020 versus CHF 3.7B in FY2016, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 116M in FY2020, compounding −14.4%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap £5.2B · P/S ratio 1.69 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity −39.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin −2.2% · Revenue (TTM) CHF 3.1B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −61%, 0QP4 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £16.65 Fair Value £22.21 Bull £27.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF £31.55 £43.21 £64.13 77
Growth DCF £32.90 £44.13 £62.74 75
Residual Income £11.51 £12.43 £13.85 73
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £31.55 £43.21 £64.13 77
5Y Revenue Exit £20.78 £27.77 £37.88 70
5Y EBITDA Exit £27.49 £39.39 £55.15 72
5Y P/E Exit £21.86 £29.64 £39.01 68
10Y Revenue Exit £24.54 £30.06 £35.71 65
10Y EBITDA Exit £28.91 £37.08 £45.62 67
10Y P/E Exit £25.56 £31.18 £36.36 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £7.94 £9.70 £10.91 65
EPV £11.68 £13.58 £15.21 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £9.10 £9.92 £11.16 67
DDM Multi-Stage £9.10 £11.25 £14.18 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple £18.38 £24.51 £30.64 63
P/S Multiple £14.88 £19.84 £24.80 58
P/B Multiple £14.88 £19.84 £24.80 55
EV/EBIT £20.98 £28.08 £35.18 66
EV/EBITDA £29.02 £38.80 £48.58 67
EV/Revenue £14.89 £21.40 £27.92 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £6.81 £9.12 £13.61 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £32.90 £44.13 £62.74 75
Rev-Margin DCF £20.78 £28.55 £38.35 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income £11.51 £12.43 £13.85 73
ROIC Compounder £11.68 £13.58 £15.69 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £12.98 £18.54 £24.11 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.3% (2016) → 5.2% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0QP4 screens overvalued: fair value 61% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.49 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Georg Fischer AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QP4

Frequently asked questions

Is Georg Fischer AG (0QP4) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £22.21 versus a price of £57.50, about −61% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QP4?
Our model-based fair value for Georg Fischer AG is £22.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £57.50.
What is the quality score of 0QP4?
Georg Fischer AG has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £22.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario £16.65, optimistic scenario £27.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Georg Fischer AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £22.21, about −61% upside versus a price of £57.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £16.65, optimistic scenario £27.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
Georg Fischer AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 3.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Georg Fischer AG pay a dividend?
Georg Fischer AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Georg Fischer AG it is £22.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £57.50. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Georg Fischer AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0QP4 trades above its calculated fair value: price £57.50, fair value £22.21, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QP4?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£57.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£22.21). For Georg Fischer AG the two are £35.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Georg Fischer AG worth?
The market values Georg Fischer AG at about £5.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £57.50; our models calculate a fair value of £22.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QP4?
Our models span a range for Georg Fischer AG: cautious scenario £16.65, base £22.21, optimistic £27.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £57.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0QP4 from its 52-week high?
Georg Fischer AG trades at £57.50, about 10% below its 52-week high of £63.90 and 44% above the low of £39.84 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £22.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Georg Fischer AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Georg Fischer AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £57.50, calculated fair value £22.21 (−61%), Quality Score 59/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QP4 calculated?
We run Georg Fischer AG through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £22.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Georg Fischer AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £57.50. Our model-based fair value is £22.21, about −61% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Georg Fischer AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£27.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Georg Fischer AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
The market capitalisation of Georg Fischer AG is £5.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Georg Fischer AG is 1.69 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
The dividend yield of Georg Fischer AG is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
The net margin of Georg Fischer AG is 3.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Georg Fischer AG is −39.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Georg Fischer AG is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
The operating margin of Georg Fischer AG is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
Revenue at Georg Fischer AG is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Georg Fischer AG (0QP4)?
Earnings per share at Georg Fischer AG are growing +65.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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