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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft €154, price €141, upside +9.3%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · ISIN DE000HLAG475

HL Thin data Oct 1, 2026

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft

0RCG · LSE

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value €154.44 · Fairly valued (+9.3%)
✓Quality 72/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +8.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓2.1% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

€277.83 €90.37 Fair Value €154.44 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €90.37 – €277.83 · fair‑value band €110.72 – €194.83 · the €141.30 price screens below the €154.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Hapag-Lloyd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a liner shipping company in Germany, the United States, Asia, the rest of Europe, the Pacific, the Atlantic, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Liner Shipping; and Terminal & Infrastructure segments.

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Hapag-Lloyd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a liner shipping company in Germany, the United States, Asia, the rest of Europe, the Pacific, the Atlantic, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Liner Shipping; and Terminal & Infrastructure segments. The company's vessel and container fleets are used for transporting dry and special cargo, dangerous goods, coffee, and reefer cargo. It also offers bilateral EDI, a directly connected electronic data interchange; application programming interface (API) portals for offers, contract specifications, commercial schedules, track and trace, live reefer, and live positions; WAVE BL service for the digital release of original bills of lading; mobile app and security information services; and INTTRA, Infor Nexus, and CargoSmart portals for the management of customers' supply chain data and connection to carriers through one interface. In addition, the company provides inland container transportation services through truck, rail, and barge; hinterland transport from door to door; and logistics services, as well as operates container terminals. As of December 31, 2025, its fleet consisted of 301 container vessels with a transport capacity of 2.4 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU). The company was formerly known as Hapag-Lloyd Holding AG and changed its name to Hapag-Lloyd in August 2013. Hapag-Lloyd was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany.

Stock analysis

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, (0RCG) currently trades at €141.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €154.44, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.5%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €938.58 per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the €141.30 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €25.56, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €110.72 (bear) to €194.83 (bull), the price of €141.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, reported revenue of €12.8B in FY2020 versus €7.7B in FY2016, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was €927M in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap €49.6B · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) €68.49 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin −1.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 60% fair-value upside, at 9%, 0RCG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €110.72 Fair Value €154.44 Bull €194.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €1,318 €2,202 €3,633 75
EPV €44.22 €54.00 €62.56 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €538.85 €706.44 €885.77 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €1,318 €2,202 €3,633 75
5Y Revenue Exit €475.65 €582.96 €693.05 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €538.85 €706.44 €885.77 73
5Y P/E Exit €482.73 €596.80 €704.49 69
10Y Revenue Exit €757.02 €938.58 €1,147 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €800.15 €1,026 €1,301 67
10Y P/E Exit €763.75 €948.42 €1,156 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €35.85 €135.69 €183.65 61
Lynch FV €32.88 €46.98 €61.07 58
PEG = 1.0 €32.88 €46.98 €61.07 55
EPV €44.22 €54.00 €62.56 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €321.99 €669.48 €1,062 63
DDM Multi-Stage €321.99 €564.53 €702.64 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €83.04 €110.72 €138.40 63
P/S Multiple €67.22 €89.63 €112.04 58
P/B Multiple €67.22 €89.63 €112.04 55
EV/EBIT €78.65 €109.71 €140.76 66
EV/EBITDA €162.04 €220.89 €279.73 67
EV/Revenue €51.99 €80.48 €108.97 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €19.08 €25.56 €38.15 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €1,326 €2,183 €3,560 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income €37.12 €44.64 €58.94 73
ROIC Compounder €46.48 €65.76 €92.29 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €60.20 €86.00 €111.81 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.3% (2016) → 10.1% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 226 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −21.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −16.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.48× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,738 ₹1,041 −40%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥16.37 ¥40.37 +147%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.36 ¥6.41 +20%
SITC International Holdings 1308 HK$48.54 HK$64.78 +33%
Evergreen Marine Corporation 2603 238.00 TWD 582.03 TWD +145%
HMM Co 011200 21,500 KRW 33,795 KRW +57%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 115.50 TWD 191.50 TWD +66%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.40 ¥5.58 +64%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥9.75 ¥15.59 +60%
China Merchants Port Holdings 0144 HK$16.89 HK$24.25 +44%

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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, · Fair Value
€154.44 +9%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RCG

Frequently asked questions

Is Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €154.44 versus a price of €141.30, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0RCG?
Our model-based fair value for Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, is €154.44 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €141.30.
What is the quality score of 0RCG?
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €154.44 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €110.72, optimistic scenario €194.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €154.44, about +9% upside versus a price of €141.30 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €110.72, optimistic scenario €194.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €17.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, pay a dividend?
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.12% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, it is €154.44 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of €141.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 0RCG trades below its calculated fair value: price €141.30, fair value €154.44, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RCG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€141.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€154.44). For Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, the two are €13.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, worth?
The market values Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, at about €49.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is €141.30; our models calculate a fair value of €154.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RCG?
Our models span a range for Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,: cautious scenario €110.72, base €154.44, optimistic €194.83 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price €141.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0RCG?
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €154.44 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RCG from its 52-week high?
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, trades at €141.30, about 8% below its 52-week high of €154.00 and 32% above the low of €106.79 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €154.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, SITC International Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price €141.30, calculated fair value €154.44 (+9%), Quality Score 72/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RCG calculated?
We run Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €154.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €141.30. Our model-based fair value is €154.44, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,

How large is the market capitalisation of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
The market capitalisation of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, is €49.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
Earnings per share at Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, are €68.49 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
The dividend yield of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, is 2.1% (payout 4.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
The net margin of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, is 7.3% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
The operating margin of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
Revenue at Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, is growing −16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft (0RCG)?
Earnings per share at Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, are growing −89.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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