SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd stock HK$27.22, price HK$45.20, that is 39.8% below the price, quality 84 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$8.39 – HK$52.00 · fair‑value band HK$16.97 – HK$35.71 · the HK$45.20 price screens above the HK$27.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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SITC International Holdings Company Limited, a shipping logistics company, engages in the provision of integrated transportation and logistics solutions in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, and internationally.
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The company offers container transportation, freight forwarding, shipping agency, depot, warehousing services, container vessel leasing, land leasing, and other services.
As of December 31, 2024, the company operated a fleet of 114 vessels with a total capacity of 180,255 TEU, including 100 self-owned vessels with a capacity of 164,845 TEU and 14 chartered vessels with a capacity of 15,410 TEU. It also provides vessel holding and chartering, technology support, container marine transportation, container maintenance, customs declaration, marine, shipping management, and multimodal transportation services, as well as engages in the land and building holding activities.
SITC International Holdings Company Limited was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) currently trades at HK$45.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$27.22, 40% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$70.90 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$45.20 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$30.57, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$16.97 (bear) to HK$35.71 (bull), the price of HK$45.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $3.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$122B (≈ $15.6B) Large · P/E ratio 13.3 · P/S ratio 4.76 · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin 35.8% · Return on equity 46.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 37.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 35.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 87 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −40%, 1308 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$16.97Fair Value HK$27.22BullHK$35.71
Price HK$45.20 · Downside -39.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFHK$45.09HK$76.68HK$127.4978
Growth DCFHK$44.69HK$73.33HK$117.4377
Owner EarningsHK$45.15HK$76.79HK$127.6774
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFHK$45.09HK$76.68HK$127.4978
Owner EarningsHK$45.15HK$76.79HK$127.6774
5Y Revenue ExitHK$24.09HK$35.16HK$49.1073
5Y EBITDA ExitHK$38.79HK$65.12HK$97.5174
5Y P/E ExitHK$49.65HK$87.27HK$129.8570
10Y Revenue ExitHK$30.87HK$43.54HK$61.0067
10Y EBITDA ExitHK$40.60HK$64.52HK$99.5567
10Y P/E ExitHK$47.50HK$80.03HK$125.3163
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddHK$24.26HK$108.37HK$148.4864
Lynch FVHK$28.17HK$40.25HK$52.3261
PEG = 1.0HK$28.17HK$40.25HK$52.3257
EPVHK$27.45HK$31.52HK$35.0074
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGMHK$23.31HK$45.20HK$66.5867
DDM Multi-StageHK$23.31HK$39.67HK$47.8867
Multiples
P/E MultipleHK$56.20HK$74.93HK$93.6763
P/S MultipleHK$14.93HK$19.91HK$24.8958
P/B MultipleHK$15.56HK$20.75HK$25.9455
EV/EBITHK$42.78HK$57.12HK$71.4566
EV/EBITDAHK$37.79HK$50.46HK$63.1467
EV/RevenueHK$12.31HK$17.68HK$23.0653
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)HK$0.4300HK$0.6500HK$0.820054
Growth DCF
Growth DCFHK$44.69HK$73.33HK$117.4377
Rev-Margin DCFHK$24.09HK$35.51HK$50.2173
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeHK$19.14HK$24.12HK$44.8473
ROIC CompounderHK$29.77HK$37.01HK$45.1672
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EHK$46.00HK$65.71HK$85.4367
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.3% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+35.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.28.2% vs 25.5%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.21% → 34%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.8% a year for the price and +0.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (13 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare SITC International Holdings Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 220 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score84 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−40.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)46.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets35.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)35.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)35.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)10.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)7.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.3× · Pricier than median
P/B6.37× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.40× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)12.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA11.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)54· sector 60
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 36
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 61
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SITC International Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1308
Frequently asked questions
Is SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$27.22 versus a price of HK$45.20, about 40% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1308?
Our model-based fair value for SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is HK$27.22 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$45.20.
What is the quality score of 1308?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$27.22 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$16.97, optimistic scenario HK$35.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SITC International Holdings Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$27.22, about 40% lower versus a price of HK$45.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$16.97, optimistic scenario HK$35.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does SITC International Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 7.08% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) and when is the ex-dividend date?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd pays a dividend of HK$3.20 per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2011. The payout ratio is 89.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.18 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SITC International Holdings Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.2 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1308 use?
Our models discount SITC International Holdings Co Ltd at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.03, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SITC International Holdings Co Ltd that is -0.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SITC International Holdings Co Ltd grew +15.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (-0.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.31 %: that much free cash flow SITC International Holdings Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SITC International Holdings Co Ltd it is HK$27.22 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of HK$45.20. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is SITC International Holdings Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, 1308 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$45.20, fair value HK$27.22, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1308?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$45.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$27.22). For SITC International Holdings Co Ltd the two are HK$17.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SITC International Holdings Co Ltd worth?
The market values SITC International Holdings Co Ltd at about HK$122B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is HK$45.20; our models calculate a fair value of HK$27.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1308?
Our models span a range for SITC International Holdings Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$16.97, base HK$27.22, optimistic HK$35.71 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price HK$45.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1308?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.3 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$27.22 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 10.7. Other multiples: P/B 6.4, P/S 4.4, EV/EBITDA 11.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
Balance-sheet figures for SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 46.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 84/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1308 from its 52-week high?
SITC International Holdings Co Ltd trades at HK$45.20, about 13% below its 52-week high of HK$52.00 and 81% above the low of HK$24.99 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$27.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SITC International Holdings Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SITC International Holdings Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price HK$45.20, calculated fair value HK$27.22 (−40%), Quality Score 84/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1308 calculated?
We run SITC International Holdings Co Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$27.22 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. SITC International Holdings Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was HK$45.20. Our model-based fair value is HK$27.22, about 40% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SITC International Holdings Co Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 84/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$35.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (HK$16.97 to HK$35.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) come from?
Earnings per share at SITC International Holdings Co Ltd grew +24.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.3 %, EBIT margin +12.0 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
The market capitalisation of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is HK$122B (≈ $15.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is 4.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
The dividend yield of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is 7.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
The net margin of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is 35.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is 46.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is 37.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
The operating margin of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is 35.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
Revenue at SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is growing +10.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308)?
Earnings per share at SITC International Holdings Co Ltd are growing +8.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SITC International Holdings Co Ltd (1308) carry?
The net debt of SITC International Holdings Co Ltd is $80.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 9, 2026