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Ferrari N.V. (0RDT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ferrari N.V. €100, price €343, upside -70.8%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home US

FN Thin data Oct 1, 2026

Ferrari N.V.

0RDT · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €100.18 · Strongly overvalued (−70.8%)
!Quality 58/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y +0.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 22.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
·1.1% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
✓Wide moat 88/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 25 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 21 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€473.80 €131.69 Fair Value €100.18 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €131.69 – €473.80 · fair‑value band €72.14 – €128.22 · the €343.08 price screens above the €100.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in design, engineering, production, and sale of luxury performance sports cars worldwide. It offers sports, track, one-off, and road cars, as well as supercars.

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Ferrari N.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in design, engineering, production, and sale of luxury performance sports cars worldwide. It offers sports, track, one-off, and road cars, as well as supercars. The company also provides spare parts and engines, as well as after sales, repair, maintenance, and restoration services for cars; and licenses its Ferrari brand to various producers and retailers of luxury and lifestyle goods. In addition, it operates Ferrari museums in Modena and Maranello; Il Cavallino restaurant in Maranello; and theme parks in Abu Dhabi and Spain. Further, the company provides direct or indirect finance and leasing services; range of financial and ancillary services; special financing arrangements; and operates franchised and owned Ferrari stores. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Maranello, Italy.

Stock analysis

Ferrari N.V. (0RDT) currently trades at €343.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €100.18, 70.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €118.71 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the €343.08 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €10.73, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €72.14 (bear) to €128.22 (bull), the price of €343.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Ferrari N.V. reported revenue of €3.5B in FY2020 versus €3.1B in FY2016, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €608M in FY2020, compounding +11.1%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €38.3B · P/S ratio 5.20 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 17.6% · Return on equity 45.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.9% · Operating margin 31.1% · Revenue (TTM) €7.4B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −71%, 0RDT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (€10.73 to €162.96). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear €72.14 Fair Value €100.18 Bull €128.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €111.98 €158.68 €247.62 76
Growth DCF €117.49 €162.96 €242.69 75
EPV €29.14 €35.94 €41.89 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €111.98 €158.68 €247.62 76
5Y Revenue Exit €57.82 €76.85 €104.75 70
5Y EBITDA Exit €82.17 €118.71 €167.82 72
5Y P/E Exit €81.11 €116.90 €160.47 68
10Y Revenue Exit €76.96 €94.15 €111.67 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €92.83 €120.58 €149.86 67
10Y P/E Exit €92.18 €119.44 €145.42 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €37.07 €50.21 €58.14 65
EPV €29.14 €35.94 €41.89 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €20.55 €22.49 €25.45 67
DDM Multi-Stage €20.55 €26.29 €34.00 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €85.86 €114.48 €143.10 63
P/S Multiple €46.55 €62.06 €77.58 58
P/B Multiple €54.04 €72.05 €90.06 55
EV/EBIT €70.23 €97.53 €124.83 66
EV/EBITDA €76.19 €105.48 €134.76 67
EV/Revenue €27.44 €44.20 €60.95 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €8.01 €10.73 €16.01 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €117.49 €162.96 €242.69 75
Rev-Margin DCF €57.82 €79.72 €108.29 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income €29.34 €33.47 €49.25 72
ROIC Compounder €29.32 €37.72 €46.75 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €60.63 €86.61 €112.60 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.2% (2016) → 20.7% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0RDT screens overvalued: fair value 71% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Automobile Manufacturers” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5328 stocks

Beats the sector median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −70.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 45.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 22.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 31.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.49× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 24.12× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 5.86× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 18.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)42 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)25 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)21 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 372.25 TRY 63.11 TRY −83%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 441,000 KRW 485,100 KRW +10%
Airports of Thailand Public Company AOT 62.25 THB 54.20 THB −13%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ferrari N.V. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RDT

Frequently asked questions

Is Ferrari N.V. (0RDT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €100.18 versus a price of €343.08, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0RDT?
Our model-based fair value for Ferrari N.V. is €100.18 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €343.08.
What is the quality score of 0RDT?
Ferrari N.V. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €100.18 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €72.14, optimistic scenario €128.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ferrari N.V. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €100.18, about −71% upside versus a price of €343.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €72.14, optimistic scenario €128.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
Ferrari N.V. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €7.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Ferrari N.V. pay a dividend?
Ferrari N.V. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.05% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ferrari N.V. it is €100.18 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of €343.08. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ferrari N.V. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 0RDT trades above its calculated fair value: price €343.08, fair value €100.18, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RDT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€343.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€100.18). For Ferrari N.V. the two are €242.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ferrari N.V. worth?
The market values Ferrari N.V. at about €38.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is €343.08; our models calculate a fair value of €100.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RDT?
Our models span a range for Ferrari N.V.: cautious scenario €72.14, base €100.18, optimistic €128.22 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price €343.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ferrari N.V. (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 45.4%, debt of 1.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RDT from its 52-week high?
Ferrari N.V. trades at €343.08, about 19% below its 52-week high of €421.49 and 26% above the low of €271.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €100.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ferrari N.V.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Samsung C&T Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ferrari N.V. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price €343.08, calculated fair value €100.18 (−71%), Quality Score 58/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RDT calculated?
We run Ferrari N.V. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €100.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ferrari N.V. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €343.08. Our model-based fair value is €100.18, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ferrari N.V. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€128.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Ferrari N.V.

How large is the market capitalisation of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
The market capitalisation of Ferrari N.V. is €38.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ferrari N.V. is 5.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
The dividend yield of Ferrari N.V. is 1.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
The net margin of Ferrari N.V. is 17.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ferrari N.V. is 45.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ferrari N.V. is 15.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
The operating margin of Ferrari N.V. is 31.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
Revenue at Ferrari N.V. is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ferrari N.V. (0RDT)?
Earnings per share at Ferrari N.V. are growing +10.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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