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Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A €22.17, price €77.60, upside -71.4%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · Home Spain · ISIN ES0121975009

CY Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A

0RKF · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €22.17 · Strongly overvalued (−71.4%)
!Quality 52/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +23.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€78.75 €20.69 Fair Value €22.17 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €20.69 – €78.75 · the €77.60 price screens above the €22.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A. develops and sells rail and bus transport solutions in Spain, rest of Europe, the United States, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It offers trains, buses, components, signaling systems, and turnkey mobility solutions.

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Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A. develops and sells rail and bus transport solutions in Spain, rest of Europe, the United States, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It offers trains, buses, components, signaling systems, and turnkey mobility solutions. The company also provides rolling stock equipment and components; simulators; and aeronautical and digital mobility solutions. In addition, it offers repair and maintenance, engineering, and lease and marketing services. The company was formerly known as Compañía Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles S.A. and changed its name to Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A. in 1971. Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A. was incorporated in 1917 and is headquartered in Beasain, Spain.

Stock analysis

Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF) currently trades at €77.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €22.17, 71.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €127.76 per share, and 10 of the 25 models we run sit above the €77.60 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €9.88, and 15 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A reported revenue of €2.8B in FY2020 versus €1.3B in FY2016, a compound +20.3%/yr. Reported net income was €9.0M in FY2020, compounding −28.8%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €1.2B · P/S ratio 0.26 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 16.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% · Operating margin 5.4% · Revenue (TTM) €4.5B · Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −71%, 0RKF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €22.17 Fair Value €22.17 Bull €22.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV €28.86 €34.89 €39.91 74
Residual Income €27.09 €25.36 €24.36 73
FCF DCF €70.40 €128.52 €263.92 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €70.40 €128.52 €263.92 72
5Y Revenue Exit €61.58 €127.76 €222.03 66
5Y EBITDA Exit €89.48 €190.35 €325.34 69
5Y P/E Exit €19.97 €34.41 €49.85 67
10Y Revenue Exit €61.33 €124.18 €228.16 60
10Y EBITDA Exit €81.15 €168.22 €315.90 61
10Y P/E Exit €37.47 €58.50 €86.81 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.00 €24.21 €33.76 61
Lynch FV €6.92 €9.88 €12.85 58
PEG = 1.0 €6.92 €9.88 €12.85 55
EPV €28.86 €34.89 €39.91 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €18.36 €33.09 €45.55 65
DDM Multi-Stage €18.36 €30.23 €35.35 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €9.26 €12.35 €15.43 63
P/S Multiple €7.50 €9.99 €12.49 58
P/B Multiple €7.50 €9.99 €12.49 55
EV/EBIT €85.25 €118.77 €152.30 66
EV/EBITDA €106.94 €147.69 €188.44 67
EV/Revenue €56.46 €87.22 €117.98 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €20.65 €27.67 €41.29 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €67.25 €135.89 €232.47 72
Rev-Margin DCF €61.58 €125.17 €214.97 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income €27.09 €25.36 €24.36 73
ROIC Compounder €28.86 €34.89 €39.91 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €10.01 €14.31 €18.60 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.4% (2016) → 4.4% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0RKF screens overvalued: fair value 71% below the price. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 106 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.28× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $272.13 $153.47 −44%
CSX Corporation CSX $46.51 $12.91 −72%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $86.56 $37.51 −57%
Canadian National Railway Company CNI $121.14 $98.68 −19%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $309.00 $133.05 −57%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $288.00 $290.92 +1%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥4.69 ¥5.65 +20%
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥5.97 ¥9.21 +54%
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.66 ¥5.48 +18%
Getlink SE GET €18.83 €10.42 −45%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RKF

Frequently asked questions

Is Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €22.17 versus a price of €77.60, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0RKF?
Our model-based fair value for Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A is €22.17 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €77.60.
What is the quality score of 0RKF?
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €22.17 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €22.17, about −71% upside versus a price of €77.60 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A it is €22.17 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €77.60. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RKF trades above its calculated fair value: price €77.60, fair value €22.17, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€77.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€22.17). For Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A the two are €55.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A worth?
The market values Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A at about €1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €77.60; our models calculate a fair value of €22.17 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.1%, debt of 1.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RKF from its 52-week high?
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A trades at €77.60, about 1% below its 52-week high of €78.75 and 55% above the low of €49.91 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €22.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Canadian National Railway Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €77.60, calculated fair value €22.17 (−71%), Quality Score 52/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RKF calculated?
We run Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €22.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €77.60. Our model-based fair value is €22.17, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€22.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
The market capitalisation of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A is €1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
The net margin of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A is 0.3% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A is 16.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
The operating margin of Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
Revenue at Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A (0RKF)?
Earnings per share at Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A are growing +9.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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