Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Daqin Railway Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.55 – ¥7.78 · fair‑value band ¥3.26 – ¥6.06 · the ¥4.70 price screens above the ¥4.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. provides railway freight and passenger transport services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It transports coal, coke, steel, and ore, as well as containers and scattered bulk goods. The company also provides railway passenger and freight transportation, railway freight loading and unloading warehousing, etc.
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Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. provides railway freight and passenger transport services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It transports coal, coke, steel, and ore, as well as containers and scattered bulk goods. The company also provides railway passenger and freight transportation, railway freight loading and unloading warehousing, etc. services. In addition, it offers services to other domestic railway transportation enterprises, including locomotive traction, freight car use, track use, and freight car repair, etc. Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Taiyuan, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006) currently trades at ¥4.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.66, implying the stock looks roughly 0.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥5.54 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥4.70 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.88, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥3.26 (bear) to ¥6.06 (bull), the price of ¥4.70 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Daqin Railway Co Ltd reported revenue of 77.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 78.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 5.9B CNY in FY2025, compounding −16.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 94.7B CNY (≈ $14.2B) · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 1.23 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2900 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −1%, 601006 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.26Fair Value ¥4.66Bull ¥6.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0494 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.22/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−11.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17% vs −10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 7%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Railroads · 112 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Daqin Railway Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601006
Frequently asked questions
Is Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.66 versus a price of ¥4.70, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601006?
Our model-based fair value for Daqin Railway Co Ltd is ¥4.66 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.70.
What is the quality score of 601006?
Daqin Railway Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.66 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.26, optimistic scenario ¥6.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Daqin Railway Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.66, about −1% upside versus a price of ¥4.70 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥3.26, optimistic scenario ¥6.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
Daqin Railway Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 78.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Daqin Railway Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Daqin Railway Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Daqin Railway Co Ltd it is ¥4.66 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of ¥4.70. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Daqin Railway Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, 601006 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.70, fair value ¥4.66, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601006?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.66). For Daqin Railway Co Ltd the two are ¥0.0420 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Daqin Railway Co Ltd worth?
The market values Daqin Railway Co Ltd at about 94.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.70; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601006?
Our models span a range for Daqin Railway Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.26, base ¥4.66, optimistic ¥6.06 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price ¥4.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601006?
Daqin Railway Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 0.6, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
What is the PEG ratio of 601006?
The PEG ratio of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 1.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
Balance-sheet figures for Daqin Railway Co Ltd (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601006 from its 52-week high?
Daqin Railway Co Ltd trades at ¥4.70, about 31% below its 52-week high of ¥6.82 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Daqin Railway Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Union Pacific Corporation, CSX Corporation, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, Norfolk Southern Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Daqin Railway Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price ¥4.70, calculated fair value ¥4.66 (−1%), Quality Score 34/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601006 calculated?
We run Daqin Railway Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Daqin Railway Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ¥4.70. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.66, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Daqin Railway Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (¥3.26 to ¥6.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006) come from?
Earnings per share at Daqin Railway Co Ltd grew −4.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.2 %, EBIT margin −4.7 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Daqin Railway Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
The market capitalisation of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 94.7B CNY (≈ $14.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 1.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
Earnings per share at Daqin Railway Co Ltd are ¥0.2900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
The dividend yield of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 4.7% (payout 76.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
The net margin of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
The operating margin of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
Revenue at Daqin Railway Co Ltd is growing +4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006)?
Earnings per share at Daqin Railway Co Ltd are growing −7.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006) generate?
The free cash flow of Daqin Railway Co Ltd is −22.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Daqin Railway Co Ltd (601006) hold?
Daqin Railway Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 43.0B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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