Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Tikehau Capital SCA €52.94, price €15.78, upside +235.5%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €13.99 – €23.00 · fair‑value band €27.03 – €78.72 · the €15.78 price screens below the €52.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Tikehau Capital is an alternative asset management group with 46.1 billion euro of assets under management (as of 30 June 2024). Tikehau Capital has developed a wide range of expertise across four asset classes (private debt, real assets, private equity, and capital markets strategies), as well as multi-asset and special opportunities strategies.
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Tikehau Capital is an alternative asset management group with 46.1 billion euro of assets under management (as of 30 June 2024). Tikehau Capital has developed a wide range of expertise across four asset classes (private debt, real assets, private equity, and capital markets strategies), as well as multi-asset and special opportunities strategies. Tikehau Capital provides financing solutions to companies it invests in and seeks to create long-term value for its investors. Leveraging its strong equity base (3.1 billion euro of shareholders' equity as of 30 June 2024), the firm invests its own capital alongside its investor-clients within each of its strategies. The firm prefers to invest between $0.69 million and $324 million in companies having sales value between $12.11 million and $1080 million. Tikehau Capital has 723 employees (as of 31 March 2026). Tikehau Capital is based in Paris, France with across its 17 offices in Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and North America. Tikehau Capital is listed in compartment A of the regulated Euronext Paris market (ISIN code: FR0013230612; Ticker: TKO.FP).
Stock analysis
Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0) currently trades at €15.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €52.94, implying the stock looks roughly 70.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €60.56 per share, and 21 of the 25 models we run sit above the €15.78 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €13.81, and 4 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €27.03 (bear) to €78.72 (bull), the price of €15.78 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Tikehau Capital SCA reported revenue of €620M in FY2025 versus €568M in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was €136M in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €2.8B · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) €2.02 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 22.0% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 235%, 0RP0 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €27.03Fair Value €52.94Bull €78.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.9240 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−92.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−97.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−97.5% vs 6.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 41%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.8% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Professional Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5266 stocks
Beats the sector median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.8% · Below median
Return on assets2.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)21.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)63.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth43.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tikehau Capital SCA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RP0
Frequently asked questions
Is Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €52.94 versus a price of €15.78, about +235% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0RP0?
Our model-based fair value for Tikehau Capital SCA is €52.94 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €15.78.
What is the quality score of 0RP0?
Tikehau Capital SCA has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €52.94 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario €27.03, optimistic scenario €78.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tikehau Capital SCA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €52.94, about +235% upside versus a price of €15.78 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €27.03, optimistic scenario €78.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
Tikehau Capital SCA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €553M (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Tikehau Capital SCA pay a dividend?
Tikehau Capital SCA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Tikehau Capital SCA would have to grow free cash flow by +1.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +108.9 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0RP0 use?
Our models discount Tikehau Capital SCA at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.69, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Tikehau Capital SCA that is +1.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Tikehau Capital SCA grew +108.9 % a year. The price currently implies +1.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Tikehau Capital SCA (+1.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.45 %: that much free cash flow Tikehau Capital SCA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tikehau Capital SCA it is €52.94 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of €15.78. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tikehau Capital SCA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 0RP0 trades below its calculated fair value: price €15.78, fair value €52.94, a gap of about +235% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RP0?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€15.78); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€52.94). For Tikehau Capital SCA the two are €37.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tikehau Capital SCA worth?
The market values Tikehau Capital SCA at about €2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is €15.78; our models calculate a fair value of €52.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RP0?
Our models span a range for Tikehau Capital SCA: cautious scenario €27.03, base €52.94, optimistic €78.72 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price €15.78). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0RP0?
Tikehau Capital SCA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €52.94 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tikehau Capital SCA (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RP0 from its 52-week high?
Tikehau Capital SCA trades at €15.78, about 17% below its 52-week high of €18.94 and 13% above the low of €13.99 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €52.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tikehau Capital SCA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Samsung C&T Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tikehau Capital SCA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price €15.78, calculated fair value €52.94 (+235%), Quality Score 64/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RP0 calculated?
We run Tikehau Capital SCA through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €52.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Tikehau Capital SCA currently trades 70 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €15.78. Our model-based fair value is €52.94, about +235% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tikehau Capital SCA right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€27.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (€27.03 to €78.72). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Tikehau Capital SCA
How large is the market capitalisation of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
The market capitalisation of Tikehau Capital SCA is €2.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tikehau Capital SCA is 0.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
Earnings per share at Tikehau Capital SCA are €2.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
The dividend yield of Tikehau Capital SCA is 5.1% (payout 39.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
The net margin of Tikehau Capital SCA is 22.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tikehau Capital SCA is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tikehau Capital SCA is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
The operating margin of Tikehau Capital SCA is 63.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
Revenue at Tikehau Capital SCA is growing +43.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0)?
Earnings per share at Tikehau Capital SCA are growing +50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Tikehau Capital SCA (0RP0) carry?
The net debt of Tikehau Capital SCA is €1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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