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Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Grand City Properties S.A. €10.52, price €7.08, upside +48.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GB · Home Germany

GC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Grand City Properties S.A.

0RPK · LSE

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value €10.52 · Undervalued (+48.7%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +2.5 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 79.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
·4.2% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
✓Wide moat 67/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 8 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€21.78 €6.01 Fair Value €10.52 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.01 – €21.78 · fair‑value band €7.10 – €12.27 · the €7.08 price screens below the €10.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Grand City Properties S.A. engages in the residential real estate business in Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It invests in, manages, and rents real estate properties in North Rhine-Westphalia and Berlin; and metropolitan regions of Dresden, Leipzig, and Halle. The company also engages in financing activities.

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Grand City Properties S.A. engages in the residential real estate business in Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It invests in, manages, and rents real estate properties in North Rhine-Westphalia and Berlin; and metropolitan regions of Dresden, Leipzig, and Halle. The company also engages in financing activities. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Grand City Properties S.A. is a subsidiary of Aroundtown SA.

Stock analysis

Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK) currently trades at €7.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.52, implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €14.11 per share, and 11 of the 19 models we run sit above the €7.08 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €1.40, and 8 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €7.10 (bear) to €12.27 (bull), the price of €7.08 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Grand City Properties S.A. reported revenue of €535M in FY2020 versus €443M in FY2016, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was €395M in FY2020, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €3.4B · P/S ratio 5.58 · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 73.8% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% · Operating margin 54.4% · Revenue (TTM) €604M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 49%, 0RPK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €7.10 Fair Value €10.52 Bull €12.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV €5.43 €7.16 €8.66 74
FCF DCF n/a €0.4400 >€1.76 73
Residual Income €8.72 €9.29 €10.26 73
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a €0.4400 >€1.76 73
5Y EBITDA Exit €3.23 €8.49 €14.86 68
5Y P/E Exit €3.10 €8.26 €13.84 64
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.46 €5.41 €10.09 60
10Y P/E Exit €1.38 €5.26 €9.40 57
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €5.64 €10.69 €13.31 63
EPV €5.43 €7.16 €8.66 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.04 €1.40 €1.75 67
DDM Multi-Stage €1.04 €1.42 €1.85 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €13.07 €17.42 €21.78 63
P/S Multiple €1.69 €2.25 €2.81 58
P/B Multiple €10.58 €14.11 €17.63 55
EV/EBIT €11.57 €17.28 €23.00 65
EV/EBITDA €7.75 €12.19 €16.63 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €5.27 €7.06 €10.54 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a €0.5100 >€2.04 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income €8.72 €9.29 €10.26 73
ROIC Compounder €5.43 €7.16 €8.66 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €9.35 €13.35 €17.36 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
185.9% (2016) → 119.6% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Real Estate Management & Development” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5298 stocks

Beats the sector median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +48.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.5% · Above median
Return on assets 1.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 79.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 54.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.81× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.76× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 6.28× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 19.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)98 · sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)8 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)60 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)85 · sector 37

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grand City Properties S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0RPK

Frequently asked questions

Is Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.52 versus a price of €7.08, about +49% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0RPK?
Our model-based fair value for Grand City Properties S.A. is €10.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €7.08.
What is the quality score of 0RPK?
Grand City Properties S.A. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €10.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 19 valuation models. Cautious scenario €7.10, optimistic scenario €12.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grand City Properties S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €10.52, about +49% upside versus a price of €7.08 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €7.10, optimistic scenario €12.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
Grand City Properties S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €604M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Grand City Properties S.A. pay a dividend?
Grand City Properties S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grand City Properties S.A. it is €10.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €7.08. It is the blended result of 19 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grand City Properties S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0RPK trades below its calculated fair value: price €7.08, fair value €10.52, a gap of about +49% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RPK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€7.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€10.52). For Grand City Properties S.A. the two are €3.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grand City Properties S.A. worth?
The market values Grand City Properties S.A. at about €3.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €7.08; our models calculate a fair value of €10.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RPK?
Our models span a range for Grand City Properties S.A.: cautious scenario €7.10, base €10.52, optimistic €12.27 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €7.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grand City Properties S.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.5%, debt of 0.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0RPK from its 52-week high?
Grand City Properties S.A. trades at €7.08, about 37% below its 52-week high of €11.15 and at the low of €7.05 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €10.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grand City Properties S.A.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value CPI FIM SA, 531381, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grand City Properties S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €7.08, calculated fair value €10.52 (+49%), Quality Score 49/100, from 19 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RPK calculated?
We run Grand City Properties S.A. through 19 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €10.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Grand City Properties S.A. currently trades 33 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €7.08. Our model-based fair value is €10.52, about +49% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grand City Properties S.A. right now?
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Grand City Properties S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
The market capitalisation of Grand City Properties S.A. is €3.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grand City Properties S.A. is 5.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
The dividend yield of Grand City Properties S.A. is 4.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
The net margin of Grand City Properties S.A. is 73.8% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grand City Properties S.A. is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grand City Properties S.A. is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
The operating margin of Grand City Properties S.A. is 54.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
Revenue at Grand City Properties S.A. is growing +1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grand City Properties S.A. (0RPK)?
Earnings per share at Grand City Properties S.A. are growing −51.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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