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Atlas Copco AB (0XXV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Atlas Copco AB SEK 103, price SEK 181, upside -43.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · GB · Home Sweden · ISIN SE0011166628

AC Thin data Sep 29, 2026

Atlas Copco AB

0XXV · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value kr 103.16 · Strongly overvalued (−43.0%)
✓Quality 65/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +5.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
·1.7% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
✓Wide moat 77/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 184.45 kr 79.05 Fair Value kr 103.16 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 79.05 – kr 184.45 · fair‑value band kr 70.63 – kr 135.09 · the kr 180.90 price screens above the kr 103.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Atlas Copco AB (publ) provides compressed air and gas, air treatment systems, vacuum, industrial power tools and assembly systems, machine vision, and power and flow solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania.

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Atlas Copco AB (publ) provides compressed air and gas, air treatment systems, vacuum, industrial power tools and assembly systems, machine vision, and power and flow solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Compressor Technique, Vacuum Technique, Industrial Technique, and Power Technique segments. The company offers piston compressors, oil-free tooth and scroll compressors, rotary screw compressors, oil-free blowers, oil-free centrifugal compressors, gas and process compressors, air and gas treatment equipment, expanders and pumps, and medical air solutions. It also provides oil-sealed rotary vane, dry, and liquid ring vacuum pumps; turbomolecular and cryogenic pumps; abatement and integrated systems; industrial assembly tools and solutions; self-pierce riveting solutions; adhesive dispensing and flow drill fastening equipment; material removal tools, and drills and other pneumatic products; machine vision solutions; construction and demolition tools; mobile compressors, generators, and energy storage systems; and industrial flow, portable power, portable flow, and portable air products, as well as specialty rental services. The company serves the semiconductor and flat panel, industrial manufacturing, civil engineering, demolition, exploration drilling, automotive, off-highway vehicle producers, electronics, aerospace, energy, food, pharmaceutical, textile, and other industries. Atlas Copco AB (publ) was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Atlas Copco AB (0XXV) currently trades at kr 180.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 103.16, 43.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 114.21 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the kr 180.90 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 13.11, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: kr 70.63 (bear) to kr 135.09 (bull), the price of kr 180.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Atlas Copco AB reported revenue of 111B SEK in FY2021 versus 85.7B SEK in FY2017, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 18.1B SEK in FY2021, compounding +2.1%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap 625B SEK (≈ $62.3B) · P/S ratio 3.68 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 16.3% · Return on equity 25.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.0% · Operating margin 20.6% · Revenue (TTM) 170B SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −43%, 0XXV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 70.63 Fair Value kr 103.16 Bull kr 135.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 76.26 kr 120.51 kr 188.78 75
EPV kr 49.81 kr 58.20 kr 65.55 74
Growth DCF kr 77.43 kr 116.32 kr 172.50 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 76.26 kr 120.51 kr 188.78 75
5Y Revenue Exit kr 51.30 kr 77.00 kr 109.17 69
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 72.62 kr 117.20 kr 169.16 71
5Y P/E Exit kr 74.23 kr 120.24 kr 168.66 67
10Y Revenue Exit kr 58.33 kr 84.06 kr 117.73 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 73.20 kr 112.09 kr 163.86 65
10Y P/E Exit kr 74.24 kr 114.21 kr 163.47 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 35.66 kr 115.36 kr 154.00 62
Lynch FV kr 25.69 kr 36.71 kr 47.72 58
PEG = 1.0 kr 25.69 kr 36.71 kr 47.72 55
EPV kr 49.81 kr 58.20 kr 65.55 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 23.61 kr 49.08 kr 77.86 63
DDM Multi-Stage kr 23.61 kr 39.73 kr 51.51 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 82.59 kr 110.12 kr 137.64 63
P/S Multiple kr 48.12 kr 64.16 kr 80.20 58
P/B Multiple kr 66.02 kr 88.02 kr 110.03 55
EV/EBIT kr 86.33 kr 115.28 kr 144.24 66
EV/EBITDA kr 79.27 kr 105.88 kr 132.49 67
EV/Revenue kr 39.87 kr 57.19 kr 74.51 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 9.78 kr 13.11 kr 19.56 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 77.43 kr 116.32 kr 172.50 74
Rev-Margin DCF kr 51.30 kr 77.65 kr 108.52 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 30.77 kr 39.24 kr 66.88 70
ROIC Compounder kr 53.51 kr 67.46 kr 83.36 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 69.22 kr 98.88 kr 128.55 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.8% (2017) → 21.2% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0XXV screens overvalued: fair value 43% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 790 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −40.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 25.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.31× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.97× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.39× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.49 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atlas Copco AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0XXV

Frequently asked questions

Is Atlas Copco AB (0XXV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 103.16 versus a price of kr 180.90, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0XXV?
Our model-based fair value for Atlas Copco AB is kr 103.16 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 180.90.
What is the quality score of 0XXV?
Atlas Copco AB has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 103.16 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 70.63, optimistic scenario kr 135.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atlas Copco AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 103.16, about −43% upside versus a price of kr 180.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 70.63, optimistic scenario kr 135.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
Atlas Copco AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 170B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Atlas Copco AB pay a dividend?
Atlas Copco AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atlas Copco AB it is kr 103.16 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of kr 180.90. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Atlas Copco AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 0XXV trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 180.90, fair value kr 103.16, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0XXV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 180.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 103.16). For Atlas Copco AB the two are kr 77.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atlas Copco AB worth?
The market values Atlas Copco AB at about 625B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is kr 180.90; our models calculate a fair value of kr 103.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0XXV?
Our models span a range for Atlas Copco AB: cautious scenario kr 70.63, base kr 103.16, optimistic kr 135.09 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price kr 180.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atlas Copco AB (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 25.7%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0XXV from its 52-week high?
Atlas Copco AB trades at kr 180.90, about 2% below its 52-week high of kr 184.45 and 33% above the low of kr 136.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 103.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atlas Copco AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atlas Copco AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price kr 180.90, calculated fair value kr 103.16 (−43%), Quality Score 65/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0XXV calculated?
We run Atlas Copco AB through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 103.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Atlas Copco AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 180.90. Our model-based fair value is kr 103.16, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atlas Copco AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 135.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 70.63 to kr 135.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Atlas Copco AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
The market capitalisation of Atlas Copco AB is 625B SEK (≈ $62.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atlas Copco AB is 3.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
The dividend yield of Atlas Copco AB is 1.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
The net margin of Atlas Copco AB is 16.3% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atlas Copco AB is 25.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atlas Copco AB is 18.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
The operating margin of Atlas Copco AB is 20.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
Revenue at Atlas Copco AB is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Atlas Copco AB (0XXV)?
Earnings per share at Atlas Copco AB are growing +8.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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