Huanxi Media Group (1003) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$956M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +10.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1940 – HK$2.50 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2000 · the HK$0.2210 price screens above the HK$0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Huanxi Media Group (1003) currently trades at HK$0.2210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 23.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$342M. Revenue grew 56.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -53.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$79.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1300 (bear case) to HK$0.2000 (bull case); at HK$0.2210, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -23%, 1003 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1700) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1100). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Huanxi Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the media and entertainment, and related businesses in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company invests in and produces entertainment content, such as film and TV programs series.
Full company description
Huanxi Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the media and entertainment, and related businesses in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company invests in and produces entertainment content, such as film and TV programs series. It also develops and operates huanxi.com, an online video platform, as well as offers internet audio-visual programs services. The company was formerly known as 21 Holdings Limited and changed its name to Huanxi Media Group Limited in October 2015. Huanxi Media Group Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Huanxi Media Group reported revenue of HK$342M in FY2025 versus HK$158M in FY2021, a compound +21.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$498M in FY2025.
1003 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.08 | C$2.66 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $103.18 | $80.62 | -22% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | -67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $185.33 | $59.97 | -68% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 59.14 MXN | +8% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 370.00 IDR | 212.14 IDR | -43% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹268.00 | ₹63.45 | -76% |
| JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 | 46,000 KRW | 82,382 KRW | +79% |
| SM Entertainment Co 041510 | 75,500 KRW | 208,415 KRW | +176% |
| PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX | ₹1,176 | ₹467.91 | -60% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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