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Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Huanxi Media Group Ltd HK$0.17, price HK$0.26, upside -34.6%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · HK · ISIN BMG4643J1062

HM Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Huanxi Media Group Ltd

1003 · HK

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value HK$0.1700 · Overvalued (−34.6%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -145.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.39 HK$0.1940 Fair Value HK$0.1700 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1940 – HK$2.39 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2000 · the HK$0.2600 price screens above the HK$0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Huanxi Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the media and entertainment, and related businesses in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company invests in and produces entertainment content, such as film and TV programs series.

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Huanxi Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the media and entertainment, and related businesses in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company invests in and produces entertainment content, such as film and TV programs series. It also develops and operates huanxi.com, an online video platform, as well as offers internet audio-visual programs services. The company was formerly known as 21 Holdings Limited and changed its name to Huanxi Media Group Limited in October 2015. Huanxi Media Group Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) currently trades at HK$0.2600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, 34.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1300 (bear) to HK$0.2000 (bull), the price of HK$0.2600 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Huanxi Media Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$342M in FY2025 versus HK$158M in FY2021, a compound +21.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$498M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$951M (≈ $121M) · P/S ratio 2.79 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Net margin −146% · Return on equity −53.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin −246% · Revenue (TTM) HK$342M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −35%, 1003 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1300 Fair Value HK$0.1700 Bull HK$0.2000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1600 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1600 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−37.1% (2020) → −103.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1003 screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 242 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −19.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −145.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 56.2% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.17× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $71.15 $78.27 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $106.15 $101.23 −5%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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HK$0.1700 −35%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huanxi Media Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1003

Frequently asked questions

Is Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1700 versus a price of HK$0.2600, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1003?
Our model-based fair value for Huanxi Media Group Ltd is HK$0.1700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2600.
What is the quality score of 1003?
Huanxi Media Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huanxi Media Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1700, about −35% upside versus a price of HK$0.2600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Huanxi Media Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$342M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huanxi Media Group Ltd it is HK$0.1700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2600. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Huanxi Media Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1003 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2600, fair value HK$0.1700, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1003?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1700). For Huanxi Media Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huanxi Media Group Ltd worth?
The market values Huanxi Media Group Ltd at about HK$951M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2600; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1003?
Our models span a range for Huanxi Media Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1300, base HK$0.1700, optimistic HK$0.2000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Balance-sheet figures for Huanxi Media Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −53.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1003 from its 52-week high?
Huanxi Media Group Ltd trades at HK$0.2600, about 42% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4450 and 34% above the low of HK$0.1940 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huanxi Media Group Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huanxi Media Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2600, calculated fair value HK$0.1700 (−35%), Quality Score 46/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1003 calculated?
We run Huanxi Media Group Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Huanxi Media Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.2600. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1700, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huanxi Media Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Huanxi Media Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The market capitalisation of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is HK$951M (≈ $121M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is 2.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Earnings per share at Huanxi Media Group Ltd are HK$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The net margin of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −146% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −53.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The operating margin of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −246% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Revenue at Huanxi Media Group Ltd is growing +56.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +193%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Earnings per share at Huanxi Media Group Ltd are growing −93.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) generate?
The free cash flow of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −HK$47.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) hold?
Huanxi Media Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$79.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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