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Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Huanxi Media Group Ltd stock HK$0.17, price HK$0.25, that is 31.7% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services HK · ISIN BMG4643J1062

HM Huanxi Media Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 14, 2026

Huanxi Media Group Ltd

1003 · HK

Expensive (fair value 32% below the price), weak company and falling price: meets none of the 3 rules.

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Low debt 
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −11.6 %/yr in HKD) 
Fair value HK$0.1700 · Overvalued 
Quality 36/100 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Loss-making · -145.7% net margin (FY2025) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (1/9) 
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data 
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.94 HK$0.1940 Fair Value HK$0.1700 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1940 – HK$1.94 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.2000 · the HK$0.2490 price screens above the HK$0.1700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 14, 2026.

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Company profile

Huanxi Media Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the media and entertainment, and related businesses in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company invests in and produces entertainment content, such as film and TV programs series.

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It also develops and operates huanxi.com, an online video platform, as well as offers internet audio-visual programs services. The company was formerly known as 21 Holdings Limited and changed its name to Huanxi Media Group Limited in October 2015.

Huanxi Media Group Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) currently trades at HK$0.2490, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1300 (bear) to HK$0.2000 (bull), the price of HK$0.2490 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2013: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2013.

Huanxi Media Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$342M in FY2025 versus HK$158M in FY2021, a compound +21.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$498M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$982M (≈ $125M) Micro · P/S ratio 6.30 · Net margin −146% · Return on equity −43.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −642% · Revenue (TTM) HK$168M · Revenue growth (YoY) −96.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −32%, 1003 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1300 Fair Value HK$0.1700 Bull HK$0.2000
Price HK$0.2490 · Downside -31.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 55
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2000 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 55

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 2
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 49
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 61
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 40
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 22
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 30
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2013: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2013.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−37.1% (2020) → −103.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1003 screens overvalued: fair value 32% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 249 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −31.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −35.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −145.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −96.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 5.85× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Netflix, Inc NFLX $62.15 $68.96 +11% vs 1003
Fox Corporation FOX $61.11 $65.92 +8% vs 1003
Universal Music Group UMG €17.63 €18.89 +7% vs 1003
Formula One Group FWONK $109.04 $112.18 +3% vs 1003
The Walt Disney Company DIS $118.97 $101.07 −15% vs 1003
News Corporation NWS $29.89 $17.05 −43% vs 1003
Liberty Live Holdings LLYVK $106.05 $38.31 −64% vs 1003
TKO Group TKO $195.42 $69.66 −64% vs 1003
Warner Music Group WMG $32.30 $10.61 −67% vs 1003
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.45 $47.75 −73% vs 1003

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Huanxi Media Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huanxi Media Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1003

Frequently asked questions

Is Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1700 versus a price of HK$0.2490, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1003?
Our model-based fair value for Huanxi Media Group Ltd is HK$0.1700 (as of Nov 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2490.
What is the quality score of 1003?
Huanxi Media Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1700 (as of Nov 14, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huanxi Media Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1700, about 32% lower versus a price of HK$0.2490 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1300, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Huanxi Media Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$168M (latest available figure, as of Nov 14, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huanxi Media Group Ltd it is HK$0.1700 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2490. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Huanxi Media Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 1003 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2490, fair value HK$0.1700, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1003?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2490); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1700). For Huanxi Media Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0790 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huanxi Media Group Ltd worth?
The market values Huanxi Media Group Ltd at about HK$982M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 14, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2490; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1003?
Our models span a range for Huanxi Media Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1300, base HK$0.1700, optimistic HK$0.2000 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026, price HK$0.2490). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Balance-sheet figures for Huanxi Media Group Ltd (as of Nov 14, 2026): return on equity −43.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1003 from its 52-week high?
Huanxi Media Group Ltd trades at HK$0.2490, about 29% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3500 and 28% above the low of HK$0.1940 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huanxi Media Group Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huanxi Media Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 14, 2026: price HK$0.2490, calculated fair value HK$0.1700 (−32%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1003 calculated?
We run Huanxi Media Group Ltd through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.1700 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Huanxi Media Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.2490. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1700, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huanxi Media Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Huanxi Media Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The market capitalisation of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is HK$982M (≈ $125M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is 6.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The net margin of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −146% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −43.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
The operating margin of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −642% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Revenue at Huanxi Media Group Ltd is growing −96.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003)?
Earnings per share at Huanxi Media Group Ltd are growing −93.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) generate?
The free cash flow of Huanxi Media Group Ltd is −HK$47.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Huanxi Media Group Ltd (1003) hold?
Huanxi Media Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$79.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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